Commit Graph

6 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Adriano c6cb32325e docs: design spec feature temporali Phase 2
Aggiunge hour/dow/is_weekend/minute_of_hour come FeatureNode nella
grammatica esistente. Universal access (non passa da feature_access),
riuso di FeatureNode (no nuovo tipo AST), few-shot examples nel prompt
Hypothesis. Cinque file toccati, ~120 LOC, backward-compatible.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-11 16:52:28 +02:00
Adriano 1a171acfb2 docs: decision memo Phase 1.5 nemotron run (NO-GO)
Run phase1.5-nemotron-001 completato in 2h26min, costo $0.1244.
Max fitness 0.0215 stagnante (15x peggio del baseline qwen 0.3347),
DSR=0 universale, Sharpe -1.08/-1.15. Loop non converge.

Adversarial Phase 1.5 attivo: 98 finding totali, 35 fees_eat_alpha
HIGH + 15 flat_too_long + 8 time_in_market — i 3 nuovi check killano
correttamente, ma popolazione non ha materiale sano da cui evolvere.

Tre direzioni candidate per Phase 2: A) rollback qwen-2.5-72b,
B) prompt re-tuning nemotron, C) promuovere deepseek-v4-flash.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-11 14:46:35 +02:00
Adriano 943aa38cf2 docs: finalize Phase 1 decision memo + technical report
Phase 1 chiusa con tutti i 5 hard gate passati (run phase1-real-005):

- Loop converge: 3 gen consecutive crescita median 0.0001 -> 0.0188.
- Parse success: 100% (98/98) grazie a JSON grammar.
- Top-5 vs median: 1116x ratio (top-1 fit 0.3347 vs median 0.0003).
- Entropy fitness: 0.914 a gen 9 (sopra soglia 0.5).
- Cost: $0.069 reale vs $700 cap.

Decision: GO Phase 2 con 3 aggiustamenti (Adversarial soglie piu' strette,
speciation di base, walk-forward 70/30).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-10 22:56:42 +02:00
Adriano 6a201c7e49 docs: scaffolding decision memo + technical report Phase 1
Aggiunge i template per gate decision memo (sez. 4.4 spec) e technical
report (sez. 4.5 spec). Da popolare con numeri reali a chiusura del run
phase1-real-001 (in corso).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-10 11:21:26 +02:00
Adriano c46525805b docs(plans): Phase 1 lean spike implementation plan
Plan TDD a 38 task per la Phase 1 del PoC Multi-Swarm Coevolutivo:
project skeleton, data layer (OHLCV via ccxt + walk-forward),
backtest engine, metrics (Sharpe + Deflated Sharpe Ratio), Cerbero
wrapper, protocollo S-expression (parser/validator/compiler),
genome + mutation/crossover, LLM client (OpenRouter Qwen + Anthropic
Sonnet), cost tracker, agents (hypothesis LLM-driven, falsification
e adversarial hand-crafted), GA (fitness/selection/loop/summary),
persistence SQLite, orchestrator end-to-end, dashboard Streamlit
(Overview/GA Convergence/Genomes), scripts CLI, smoke run, run reale,
gate decision memo + report tecnico.

Plan generato tramite skill writing-plans dopo decisione strategica B3
(spec docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-09-decisione-strategica-design.md).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-09 18:45:09 +02:00
Adriano eb6b52ff04 Initial commit: framework concettuale + design strategico PoC
Stato iniziale del progetto Multi_Swarm_Coevolutive:

- 00_documento_zero.md: framework concettuale (Renaissance → swarm
  co-evolutivo LLM, tre layer cognitivi, decisione strategica A/B/C).
- coevolutive_swarm_system.md: design Filone A (sistema completo,
  co-evoluzione 4 popolazioni, 12-18 mesi).
- poc_trading_swarm.md: design Filone B (PoC trading focalizzato,
  3-4 mesi, scope semplificato).
- docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-09-decisione-strategica-design.md:
  decisione strategica B3 (PoC trading incrementale a 3 fasi con
  gate go/no-go), prodotta tramite skill brainstorming.
- .gitignore: pattern Python, editor, secrets, artefatti runtime
  (runs.db, series/, dataset binari) non versionati.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-09 18:19:55 +02:00