refactor: riorganizzazione script — Strategy ABC, folder strategies/waste/analysis
- src/strategies/base.py: Strategy ABC con Signal, BacktestResult, YearlyStats - src/strategies/indicators.py: keltner_ratio, detect_squeezes, ema, atr, rv, corr - scripts/strategies/: SQ01-SQ04 (squeeze puro/filtri), ML01 (squeeze+GBM) - scripts/waste/: W01-W22 script scartati + REF originali - scripts/analysis/: compare, best_yearly, final_report, paper_status - CLAUDE.md aggiornato con nuova struttura e tabella strategie Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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"""Analisi finale — S1 (squeeze puro) vs Script 13 (squeeze+ML GBM).
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Metriche: PnL, num trades, DD max, tempo medio a mercato, descrizione.
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"""
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from __future__ import annotations
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import sys
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sys.path.insert(0, ".")
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import numpy as np
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import pandas as pd
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from sklearn.ensemble import GradientBoostingClassifier
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from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler
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from src.data.downloader import load_data
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from src.fractal.patterns import encode_candles
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FEE_PERP = 0.002
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FEE_ML = 0.001
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INITIAL = 1000
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LEVERAGE = 3
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TF_MINUTES = {"1m": 1, "5m": 5, "15m": 15, "1h": 60, "4h": 240, "1d": 1440}
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# ── helpers ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
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def keltner_ratio(close, high, low, window=14):
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n = len(close)
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r = np.full(n, np.nan)
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for i in range(window, n):
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wc, wh, wl = close[i-window:i], high[i-window:i], low[i-window:i]
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ma = np.mean(wc)
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bb_std = np.std(wc)
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tr = np.maximum(wh-wl, np.maximum(np.abs(wh-np.roll(wc,1)), np.abs(wl-np.roll(wc,1))))
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atr = np.mean(tr[1:])
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kc = (ma+1.5*atr)-(ma-1.5*atr)
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bb = (ma+2*bb_std)-(ma-2*bb_std)
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if kc > 0:
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r[i] = bb/kc
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return r
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def detect_squeezes(close, high, low, kcr, sq_thr=0.8, min_dur=5):
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events = []
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in_sq = False
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sq_start = 0
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for i in range(1, len(close)):
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if np.isnan(kcr[i]):
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continue
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is_sq = kcr[i] < sq_thr
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if is_sq and not in_sq:
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in_sq = True
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sq_start = i
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elif not is_sq and in_sq:
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in_sq = False
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dur = i - sq_start
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if dur < min_dur:
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continue
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events.append({"idx": i, "dur": dur, "sq_start": sq_start,
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"avg_vol_squeeze": np.mean(close[sq_start:i]),
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"kcr_at_release": kcr[i]})
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return events
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def _build_result(yearly, capital, max_dd, all_t, all_w, time_pct, avg_dur_h):
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acc = all_w / all_t * 100
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tot_pnl = sum(p for d in yearly.values() for p in d["pnls"])
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years_active = len(yearly)
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all_pnls = [p for d in yearly.values() for p in d["pnls"]]
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sharpe = np.mean(all_pnls) / np.std(all_pnls) * np.sqrt(252) if len(all_pnls) > 1 and np.std(all_pnls) > 0 else 0
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year_details = {}
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for y in sorted(yearly):
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d = yearly[y]
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ya = d["w"] / d["t"] * 100 if d["t"] > 0 else 0
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yp = sum(d["pnls"])
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year_details[y] = {"trades": d["t"], "acc": ya, "pnl": yp}
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valid_years = {y: d for y, d in year_details.items() if d["trades"] >= 10}
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if valid_years:
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worst_y = min(valid_years, key=lambda y: valid_years[y]["acc"])
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worst_acc = valid_years[worst_y]["acc"]
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elif year_details:
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worst_y = min(year_details, key=lambda y: year_details[y]["acc"])
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worst_acc = year_details[worst_y]["acc"]
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else:
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worst_y = "N/A"
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worst_acc = 0
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daily_pnl = tot_pnl / (years_active * 365) if years_active > 0 else 0
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return {
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"trades": all_t, "acc": acc, "pnl": tot_pnl, "capital": capital,
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"max_dd": max_dd * 100, "sharpe": sharpe, "daily_pnl": daily_pnl,
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"time_in_market_pct": time_pct, "avg_dur_h": avg_dur_h,
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"years_active": years_active, "worst_year": str(worst_y),
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"worst_acc": worst_acc, "year_details": year_details,
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}
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# ── S1: Squeeze breakout puro ────────────────────────────────────────
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def run_s1_squeeze(asset, tf, hold=3):
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df = load_data(asset, tf)
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c, h, l, v = df["close"].values, df["high"].values, df["low"].values, df["volume"].values
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n = len(c)
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ts = pd.to_datetime(df["timestamp"], unit="ms", utc=True)
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kcr = keltner_ratio(c, h, l, 14)
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events = detect_squeezes(c, h, l, kcr)
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yearly = {}
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capital = float(INITIAL)
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peak = capital
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max_dd = 0
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total_bars = 0
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for ev in events:
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i = ev["idx"]
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if i + hold + 1 >= n:
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continue
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first_ret = (c[i] - c[i-1]) / c[i-1] if c[i-1] > 0 else 0
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if abs(first_ret) < 0.001:
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continue
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direction = 1 if first_ret > 0 else -1
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entry = c[i-1]
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exit_price = c[min(i + hold - 1, n - 1)]
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actual = (exit_price - entry) / entry * direction
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net = actual * LEVERAGE - FEE_PERP * LEVERAGE
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capital += capital * 0.15 * net
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capital = max(capital, 10)
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if capital > peak: peak = capital
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dd = (peak - capital) / peak
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max_dd = max(max_dd, dd)
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total_bars += hold
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year = ts.iloc[i].year
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if year not in yearly:
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yearly[year] = {"w": 0, "t": 0, "pnls": []}
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yearly[year]["t"] += 1
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if actual > 0: yearly[year]["w"] += 1
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yearly[year]["pnls"].append(net * INITIAL)
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all_t = sum(d["t"] for d in yearly.values())
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all_w = sum(d["w"] for d in yearly.values())
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if all_t == 0: return None
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return _build_result(yearly, capital, max_dd, all_t, all_w,
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total_bars / n * 100, hold * TF_MINUTES.get(tf, 60) / 60)
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def run_s1_antifake_vol(asset, tf, hold=3):
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df = load_data(asset, tf)
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c, h, l, v = df["close"].values, df["high"].values, df["low"].values, df["volume"].values
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n = len(c)
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ts = pd.to_datetime(df["timestamp"], unit="ms", utc=True)
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kcr = keltner_ratio(c, h, l, 14)
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events = detect_squeezes(c, h, l, kcr)
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yearly = {}
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capital = float(INITIAL)
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peak = capital
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max_dd = 0
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total_bars = 0
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for ev in events:
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i = ev["idx"]
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if i + hold + 1 >= n:
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continue
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first_ret = (c[i] - c[i-1]) / c[i-1] if c[i-1] > 0 else 0
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if abs(first_ret) < 0.001:
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continue
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br = h[i] - l[i]
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if br > 0:
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if c[i] > c[i-1]:
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if (h[i] - c[i]) / br > 0.6:
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continue
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else:
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if (c[i] - l[i]) / br > 0.6:
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continue
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avg_v = np.mean(v[ev["sq_start"]:i])
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if avg_v > 0 and v[i] <= avg_v * 1.3:
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continue
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direction = 1 if first_ret > 0 else -1
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entry = c[i-1]
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exit_price = c[min(i + hold - 1, n - 1)]
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actual = (exit_price - entry) / entry * direction
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net = actual * LEVERAGE - FEE_PERP * LEVERAGE
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capital += capital * 0.15 * net
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capital = max(capital, 10)
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if capital > peak: peak = capital
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dd = (peak - capital) / peak
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max_dd = max(max_dd, dd)
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total_bars += hold
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year = ts.iloc[i].year
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if year not in yearly:
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yearly[year] = {"w": 0, "t": 0, "pnls": []}
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yearly[year]["t"] += 1
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if actual > 0: yearly[year]["w"] += 1
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yearly[year]["pnls"].append(net * INITIAL)
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all_t = sum(d["t"] for d in yearly.values())
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all_w = sum(d["w"] for d in yearly.values())
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if all_t == 0: return None
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return _build_result(yearly, capital, max_dd, all_t, all_w,
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total_bars / n * 100, hold * TF_MINUTES.get(tf, 60) / 60)
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# ── Script 13: Squeeze + ML ibrida (GBM walk-forward) ────────────────
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def build_features_at(df, i, squeeze_info):
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if i < 100:
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return None
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o = df["open"].values
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h = df["high"].values
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l = df["low"].values
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c = df["close"].values
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v = df["volume"].values
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feats = []
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for w in [12, 24, 48]:
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win_c = c[i-w:i]
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win_o = o[i-w:i]
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win_h = h[i-w:i]
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win_l = l[i-w:i]
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win_v = v[i-w:i]
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mn, mx = win_l.min(), max(win_h.max(), win_c.max())
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rng = mx - mn if mx - mn > 0 else 1e-10
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total = win_h - win_l
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total = np.where(total == 0, 1e-10, total)
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body = np.abs(win_c - win_o) / total
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direction = np.sign(win_c - win_o)
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log_c = np.log(np.where(win_c == 0, 1e-10, win_c))
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rets = np.diff(log_c)
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v_mean = np.mean(win_v)
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feats.extend([
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np.mean(rets) if len(rets) > 0 else 0,
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np.std(rets) if len(rets) > 0 else 0,
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np.sum(rets) if len(rets) > 0 else 0,
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float(pd.Series(rets).skew()) if len(rets) > 2 else 0,
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float(pd.Series(rets).kurtosis()) if len(rets) > 3 else 0,
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np.mean(body), np.std(body),
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np.mean(direction), np.mean(direction[-min(3, w):]),
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(win_c[-1] - mn) / rng,
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win_v[-1] / v_mean if v_mean > 0 else 1,
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np.corrcoef(rets[:-1], rets[1:])[0, 1] if len(rets) > 1 and np.std(rets) > 0 else 0,
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])
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sq = squeeze_info
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feats.extend([
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sq["dur"], sq["dur"] / 24, sq["kcr_at_release"],
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v[i-1] / sq["avg_vol_squeeze"] if sq["avg_vol_squeeze"] > 0 else 1,
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np.mean(v[i:min(i+3, len(v))]) / sq["avg_vol_squeeze"] if sq["avg_vol_squeeze"] > 0 else 1,
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])
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h48 = np.max(h[max(0, i-48):i])
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l48 = np.min(l[max(0, i-48):i])
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r48 = h48 - l48
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feats.append((c[i-1] - l48) / r48 if r48 > 0 else 0.5)
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tr = np.maximum(h[i-14:i] - l[i-14:i],
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np.maximum(np.abs(h[i-14:i] - np.roll(c[i-14:i], 1)),
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np.abs(l[i-14:i] - np.roll(c[i-14:i], 1))))
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atr = np.mean(tr[1:])
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feats.append(atr / c[i-1] if c[i-1] > 0 else 0)
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first_ret = (c[i] - c[i-1]) / c[i-1] if c[i-1] > 0 else 0
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feats.append(first_ret)
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return np.nan_to_num(np.array(feats), nan=0, posinf=1e6, neginf=-1e6)
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def run_s13_hybrid(asset, tf, bb_w, sq_thr, brk_bars, leverage, pos_pct, ml_thr):
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df = load_data(asset, tf)
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close = df["close"].values
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high = df["high"].values
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low = df["low"].values
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volume = df["volume"].values
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n = len(df)
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ts = pd.to_datetime(df["timestamp"], unit="ms", utc=True)
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kcr = keltner_ratio(close, high, low, bb_w)
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events = detect_squeezes(close, high, low, kcr, sq_thr)
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X_all, y_all, ev_all = [], [], []
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for ev in events:
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i = ev["idx"]
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if i + brk_bars >= n or i < 100:
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continue
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feats = build_features_at(df, i, ev)
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if feats is None:
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continue
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actual_ret = (close[i + brk_bars - 1] - close[i - 1]) / close[i - 1]
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X_all.append(feats)
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y_all.append(1 if actual_ret > 0 else 0)
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ev_all.append(ev)
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if len(X_all) < 50:
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return None
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X = np.array(X_all)
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y = np.array(y_all)
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TRAIN_SIZE = max(int(len(X) * 0.5), 50)
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STEP_SIZE = max(int(len(X) * 0.1), 10)
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yearly = {}
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capital = float(INITIAL)
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peak = capital
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max_dd = 0
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total_bars = 0
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all_t = 0
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all_w = 0
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start = 0
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while start + TRAIN_SIZE + STEP_SIZE <= len(X):
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train_end = start + TRAIN_SIZE
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test_end = min(train_end + STEP_SIZE, len(X))
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X_tr, y_tr = X[start:train_end], y[start:train_end]
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X_te = X[train_end:test_end]
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if len(np.unique(y_tr)) < 2:
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start += STEP_SIZE
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continue
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scaler = StandardScaler()
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X_tr_s = scaler.fit_transform(X_tr)
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X_te_s = scaler.transform(X_te)
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model = GradientBoostingClassifier(
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n_estimators=150, max_depth=4, min_samples_leaf=10,
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learning_rate=0.05, subsample=0.8, random_state=42,
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)
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model.fit(X_tr_s, y_tr)
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up_idx = list(model.classes_).index(1) if 1 in model.classes_ else -1
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if up_idx < 0:
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start += STEP_SIZE
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continue
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for j in range(len(X_te)):
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proba = model.predict_proba(X_te_s[j:j+1])[0]
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p_up = proba[up_idx]
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ev = ev_all[train_end + j]
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i = ev["idx"]
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actual_ret = (close[i + brk_bars - 1] - close[i - 1]) / close[i - 1]
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direction = None
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if p_up >= ml_thr:
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direction = 1
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elif p_up <= (1 - ml_thr):
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direction = -1
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if direction is None:
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continue
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is_correct = (direction == 1 and actual_ret > 0) or (direction == -1 and actual_ret < 0)
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trade_ret = actual_ret * direction
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net = trade_ret * leverage - FEE_ML * 2 * leverage
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capital += capital * pos_pct * net
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capital = max(capital, 10)
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if capital > peak: peak = capital
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dd = (peak - capital) / peak
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max_dd = max(max_dd, dd)
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total_bars += brk_bars
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all_t += 1
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if is_correct: all_w += 1
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year = ts.iloc[i].year
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if year not in yearly:
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yearly[year] = {"w": 0, "t": 0, "pnls": []}
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yearly[year]["t"] += 1
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if is_correct: yearly[year]["w"] += 1
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yearly[year]["pnls"].append(net * INITIAL)
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start += STEP_SIZE
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if all_t == 0:
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return None
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return _build_result(yearly, capital, max_dd, all_t, all_w,
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total_bars / n * 100, brk_bars * TF_MINUTES.get(tf, 60) / 60)
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# ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
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# ESECUZIONE
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# ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
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print("Calcolo in corso...\n")
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strategies = []
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def add(name, desc, cat, result):
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if result and result["trades"] >= 20:
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strategies.append({"name": name, "desc": desc, "cat": cat, **result})
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# ── S1: Squeeze puro ────────────────────────────────────────────
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add("S1 Squeeze BTC 15m", "Squeeze breakout puro, BBw=14, hold 3×15m, leva 3x",
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"S1", run_s1_squeeze("BTC", "15m"))
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add("S1 Squeeze ETH 15m", "Squeeze breakout puro, BBw=14, hold 3×15m, leva 3x",
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"S1", run_s1_squeeze("ETH", "15m"))
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add("S1 Squeeze BTC 1h", "Squeeze breakout puro, BBw=14, hold 3×1h, leva 3x",
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"S1", run_s1_squeeze("BTC", "1h"))
|
||||
add("S1 Squeeze ETH 1h", "Squeeze breakout puro, BBw=14, hold 3×1h, leva 3x",
|
||||
"S1", run_s1_squeeze("ETH", "1h"))
|
||||
add("S1 AF+Vol BTC 15m", "Squeeze + antifakeout + volume confirm >1.3× media",
|
||||
"S1", run_s1_antifake_vol("BTC", "15m"))
|
||||
add("S1 AF+Vol ETH 15m", "Squeeze + antifakeout + volume confirm >1.3× media",
|
||||
"S1", run_s1_antifake_vol("ETH", "15m"))
|
||||
add("S1 AF+Vol BTC 1h", "Squeeze + antifakeout + volume confirm >1.3× media",
|
||||
"S1", run_s1_antifake_vol("BTC", "1h"))
|
||||
add("S1 AF+Vol ETH 1h", "Squeeze + antifakeout + volume confirm >1.3× media",
|
||||
"S1", run_s1_antifake_vol("ETH", "1h"))
|
||||
|
||||
# ── Script 13: Squeeze + ML (GBM walk-forward) ─────────────────
|
||||
print(" Training ML models...")
|
||||
add("S13 ETH 15m bb14 ml70", "Squeeze+GBM walk-forward, BBw=14 sq=0.8 ml≥0.70, 3x leva 15% pos",
|
||||
"S13", run_s13_hybrid("ETH", "15m", 14, 0.8, 3, 3, 0.15, 0.70))
|
||||
add("S13 ETH 15m bb14 ml65", "Squeeze+GBM walk-forward, BBw=14 sq=0.8 ml≥0.65, 3x leva 15% pos",
|
||||
"S13", run_s13_hybrid("ETH", "15m", 14, 0.8, 3, 3, 0.15, 0.65))
|
||||
add("S13 ETH 15m bb20 ml70", "Squeeze+GBM walk-forward, BBw=20 sq=0.9 ml≥0.70, 3x leva 15% pos",
|
||||
"S13", run_s13_hybrid("ETH", "15m", 20, 0.9, 3, 3, 0.15, 0.70))
|
||||
add("S13 BTC 15m bb14 ml70", "Squeeze+GBM walk-forward, BBw=14 sq=0.9 ml≥0.70, 3x leva 15% pos",
|
||||
"S13", run_s13_hybrid("BTC", "15m", 14, 0.9, 3, 3, 0.15, 0.70))
|
||||
add("S13 BTC 15m bb14 ml65", "Squeeze+GBM walk-forward, BBw=14 sq=0.9 ml≥0.65, 3x leva 15% pos",
|
||||
"S13", run_s13_hybrid("BTC", "15m", 14, 0.9, 3, 3, 0.15, 0.65))
|
||||
add("S13 BTC 1h bb14 ml70", "Squeeze+GBM walk-forward, BBw=14 sq=0.8 ml≥0.70, 3x leva 20% pos",
|
||||
"S13", run_s13_hybrid("BTC", "1h", 14, 0.8, 3, 3, 0.20, 0.70))
|
||||
add("S13 BTC 1h bb14 ml65", "Squeeze+GBM walk-forward, BBw=14 sq=0.8 ml≥0.65, 3x leva 20% pos",
|
||||
"S13", run_s13_hybrid("BTC", "1h", 14, 0.8, 3, 3, 0.20, 0.65))
|
||||
add("S13 ETH 1h bb14 ml70", "Squeeze+GBM walk-forward, BBw=14 sq=0.8 ml≥0.70, 3x leva 20% pos",
|
||||
"S13", run_s13_hybrid("ETH", "1h", 14, 0.8, 3, 3, 0.20, 0.70))
|
||||
|
||||
strategies.sort(key=lambda x: x["acc"], reverse=True)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
|
||||
# TABELLA 1: Classifica
|
||||
# ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
|
||||
|
||||
W = 150
|
||||
print("=" * W)
|
||||
print(" S1 (SQUEEZE PURO) vs S13 (SQUEEZE + GBM) — CLASSIFICA FINALE")
|
||||
print(f" Fee: 0.2% RT. Dati OHLCV reali 2018-2026. Position 15%. Leva 3x.")
|
||||
print("=" * W)
|
||||
hdr = (f" {'#':>2s} {'Cat':>3s} {'Nome':<26s} {'Trades':>6s} {'Acc':>6s} "
|
||||
f"{'PnL€':>9s} {'DD%':>6s} {'€/day':>7s} {'Sharpe':>7s} "
|
||||
f"{'Mkt%':>5s} {'Dur':>6s} {'Worst':>12s} {'Anni':>4s}")
|
||||
print(hdr)
|
||||
print(f" {'─'*(W-4)}")
|
||||
|
||||
for idx, s in enumerate(strategies, 1):
|
||||
worst = f"{s['worst_year']}({s['worst_acc']:.0f}%)"
|
||||
dur_str = f"{s['avg_dur_h']:.0f}h" if s['avg_dur_h'] >= 1 else f"{s['avg_dur_h']*60:.0f}m"
|
||||
tag = " ★★" if s["acc"] >= 78 else " ★" if s["acc"] >= 76 else ""
|
||||
print(f" {idx:>2d} {s['cat']:>3s} {s['name']:<26s} {s['trades']:>6d} {s['acc']:>5.1f}% "
|
||||
f"€{s['pnl']:>+8.0f} {s['max_dd']:>5.1f}% {s['daily_pnl']:>+6.2f} {s['sharpe']:>7.2f} "
|
||||
f"{s['time_in_market_pct']:>4.1f}% {dur_str:>6s} {worst:>12s} {s['years_active']:>4d}{tag}")
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
|
||||
# TABELLA 2: Descrizione
|
||||
# ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n\n{'=' * W}")
|
||||
print(" DESCRIZIONE")
|
||||
print(f"{'=' * W}")
|
||||
print(f" {'#':>2s} {'Nome':<26s} {'Descrizione'}")
|
||||
print(f" {'─'*(W-4)}")
|
||||
for idx, s in enumerate(strategies, 1):
|
||||
print(f" {idx:>2d} {s['name']:<26s} {s['desc']}")
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
|
||||
# TABELLA 3: Breakdown per anno
|
||||
# ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
|
||||
|
||||
top_n = min(12, len(strategies))
|
||||
top = strategies[:top_n]
|
||||
all_years = sorted(set(y for s in top for y in s["year_details"]))
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n\n{'=' * W}")
|
||||
print(f" BREAKDOWN PER ANNO — TOP {top_n} (accuracy% / trades)")
|
||||
print(f"{'=' * W}")
|
||||
|
||||
header = f" {'Nome':<26s}"
|
||||
for y in all_years:
|
||||
header += f" {y:>10d}"
|
||||
print(header)
|
||||
print(f" {'─'*(W-4)}")
|
||||
|
||||
for s in top:
|
||||
line = f" {s['name']:<26s}"
|
||||
for y in all_years:
|
||||
if y in s["year_details"]:
|
||||
d = s["year_details"][y]
|
||||
line += f" {d['acc']:>4.0f}%/{d['trades']:<4d}"
|
||||
else:
|
||||
line += f" {'—':>10s}"
|
||||
print(line)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
|
||||
# TABELLA 4: Robustezza
|
||||
# ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n\n{'=' * W}")
|
||||
print(f" ANALISI ROBUSTEZZA")
|
||||
print(f"{'=' * W}")
|
||||
print(f" {'#':>2s} {'Nome':<26s} {'MinAcc':>7s} {'MaxAcc':>7s} {'Spread':>7s} "
|
||||
f"{'AnniOK':>7s} {'€/trade':>8s} {'Verdict':<12s}")
|
||||
print(f" {'─'*90}")
|
||||
|
||||
for idx, s in enumerate(strategies, 1):
|
||||
yd = s["year_details"]
|
||||
valid = {y: d for y, d in yd.items() if d["trades"] >= 10}
|
||||
accs = [d["acc"] for d in (valid if valid else yd).values()]
|
||||
if not accs:
|
||||
continue
|
||||
min_a, max_a = min(accs), max(accs)
|
||||
spread = max_a - min_a
|
||||
years_ok = sum(1 for a in accs if a >= 70)
|
||||
avg_pnl = s["pnl"] / s["trades"] if s["trades"] > 0 else 0
|
||||
n_valid = len(valid if valid else yd)
|
||||
|
||||
if n_valid < 4:
|
||||
verdict = "⚠ CORTO"
|
||||
elif min_a < 60:
|
||||
verdict = "⚠ FRAGILE"
|
||||
elif min_a >= 72 and s["acc"] >= 77:
|
||||
verdict = "✅ SOLIDO"
|
||||
elif min_a >= 65 and s["acc"] >= 74:
|
||||
verdict = "~ BUONO"
|
||||
else:
|
||||
verdict = "~ OK"
|
||||
|
||||
print(f" {idx:>2d} {s['name']:<26s} {min_a:>6.1f}% {max_a:>6.1f}% {spread:>6.1f}% "
|
||||
f"{years_ok:>3d}/{n_valid:<3d} €{avg_pnl:>+7.1f} {verdict:<12s}")
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
# ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
|
||||
# VERDETTO
|
||||
# ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
|
||||
|
||||
print(f"\n\n{'=' * W}")
|
||||
print(f" VERDETTO FINALE")
|
||||
print(f"{'=' * W}")
|
||||
|
||||
solidi = [s for s in strategies if s["trades"] >= 200 and s["years_active"] >= 5 and s["worst_acc"] >= 65]
|
||||
solidi_s1 = [s for s in solidi if s["cat"] == "S1"]
|
||||
solidi_ml = [s for s in solidi if s["cat"] == "S13"]
|
||||
solidi_s1.sort(key=lambda x: x["acc"], reverse=True)
|
||||
solidi_ml.sort(key=lambda x: x["daily_pnl"], reverse=True)
|
||||
|
||||
if solidi_s1:
|
||||
b = solidi_s1[0]
|
||||
print(f"\n MIGLIORE S1 (regole pure, facile da deployare):")
|
||||
print(f" {b['name']} — {b['acc']:.1f}% acc, {b['trades']} trades, DD {b['max_dd']:.1f}%, €{b['daily_pnl']:+.2f}/day, Sharpe {b['sharpe']:.2f}")
|
||||
|
||||
if solidi_ml:
|
||||
m = solidi_ml[0]
|
||||
print(f"\n MIGLIORE S13 (squeeze+GBM, più complesso):")
|
||||
print(f" {m['name']} — {m['acc']:.1f}% acc, {m['trades']} trades, DD {m['max_dd']:.1f}%, €{m['daily_pnl']:+.2f}/day, Sharpe {m['sharpe']:.2f}")
|
||||
|
||||
max_pnl = max(strategies, key=lambda x: x["pnl"])
|
||||
print(f"\n MAX PnL: {max_pnl['name']} — €{max_pnl['pnl']:+,.0f}")
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user