chore(reset): v2.0.0 — storico certificato Deribit mainnet, ripartenza pulita

Reset del progetto su fondamenta verificate dopo la scoperta che l'intera libreria "validata OOS" era artefatto di feed contaminato (print fantasma del feed Cerbero TESTNET + storico Binance/USDT). - Storico ricostruito da Deribit MAINNET (ccxt pubblico, tokenless) e CERTIFICATO (certify_feed.py): BTC/ETH puliti su TUTTA la storia (mediana 2-6 bps vs Coinbase USD), integrita' OHLC + coerenza resample (maxΔ 0.00) + cross-venue OK. Alt esclusi (illiquidi/divergenti: LTC/DOGE 50-82% barre flat; XRP/BNB non certificabili). - Verdetto sul feed pulito: FADE / PAIRS / XS01 / TSM01 morti (ogni portafoglio Sharpe -2.3..-3.0, DD ~40%); solo SH01 e frammenti HONEST con segnale residuo, da ri-validare in isolamento. - Cleanup "restart pulito": strategie, stack live (src/live, src/portfolio, runner/executor, yml, docker), ~100 script ricerca/gate, waste/games/ portfolios, dati non certificati + cache e 60+ diari -> archiviati in Old/ (preservati, non cancellati). Diario consolidato in un unico documento. - Skeleton ricerca tenuto: Strategy ABC + indicatori + src/fractal + src/backtest/engine + load_data; tool dati certificati (rebuild_history, certify_feed, audit_feed, multi_source_check). - Universo dati ATTIVO: solo BTC/ETH (5m/15m/1h); guardrail fisico (load_data su alt -> FileNotFoundError). Esecuzione DISABILITATA, conto flat. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-19 15:16:03 +00:00
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+"""DC01 — Donchian Channel Breakout con filtri.
+
+Trend-following classico: quando il prezzo rompe il massimo/minimo degli
+ultimi N periodi, entra nella direzione del breakout.
+
+Completamente diverso dallo squeeze (che usa Bollinger/Keltner).
+Donchian cattura breakout di RANGE, non di VOLATILITÀ.
+
+IN:
+    - OHLCV DataFrame
+    - Parametri: channel_period, volume_filter, atr_stop, trend_filter
+
+OUT:
+    - Signal al breakout del canale Donchian
+    - BacktestResult
+
+Logica:
+    1. Donchian upper = max(high, N periodi), lower = min(low, N periodi)
+    2. Close > upper → LONG (breakout rialzista)
+    3. Close < lower → SHORT (breakout ribassista)
+    4. Filtri: volume, trend EMA, ATR minimo
+"""
+from __future__ import annotations
+import sys
+sys.path.insert(0, ".")
+
+import numpy as np
+import pandas as pd
+from src.strategies.base import Strategy, Signal
+
+
+class DonchianBreakout(Strategy):
+    name = "DC01_donchian"
+    description = "Donchian Channel breakout — trend-following su range"
+    default_assets = ["BTC", "ETH"]
+    default_timeframes = ["15m", "1h"]
+    fee_rt = 0.002
+
+    def generate_signals(self, df, ts, **params):
+        c = df["close"].values
+        h = df["high"].values
+        l = df["low"].values
+        v = df["volume"].values
+        n = len(c)
+
+        period = params.get("channel_period", 48)
+        use_vol = params.get("vol_filter", False)
+        use_trend = params.get("trend_filter", False)
+        cooldown = params.get("cooldown", 6)
+
+        # EMA per trend filter
+        ema_50 = np.full(n, np.nan)
+        k = 2 / 51
+        ema_50[49] = np.mean(c[:50])
+        for i in range(50, n):
+            ema_50[i] = c[i] * k + ema_50[i - 1] * (1 - k)
+
+        # Volume media
+        vol_ma = np.full(n, np.nan)
+        for i in range(20, n):
+            vol_ma[i] = np.mean(v[i - 20:i])
+
+        signals = []
+        last_signal_idx = -cooldown
+
+        for i in range(period + 1, n):
+            if i - last_signal_idx < cooldown:
+                continue
+
+            upper = np.max(h[i - period:i])
+            lower = np.min(l[i - period:i])
+
+            direction = 0
+            if c[i] > upper:
+                direction = 1
+            elif c[i] < lower:
+                direction = -1
+
+            if direction == 0:
+                continue
+
+            # Trend filter: breakout must align with EMA trend
+            if use_trend and not np.isnan(ema_50[i]):
+                if direction == 1 and c[i] < ema_50[i]:
+                    continue
+                if direction == -1 and c[i] > ema_50[i]:
+                    continue
+
+            # Volume filter
+            if use_vol and not np.isnan(vol_ma[i]):
+                if v[i] < vol_ma[i] * 1.3:
+                    continue
+
+            signals.append(Signal(
+                idx=i, direction=direction, entry_price=c[i],
+                metadata={"upper": float(upper), "lower": float(lower)},
+            ))
+            last_signal_idx = i
+
+        return signals
+
+
+if __name__ == "__main__":
+    strategy = DonchianBreakout()
+
+    configs = [
+        ("p=24", {"channel_period": 24}),
+        ("p=48", {"channel_period": 48}),
+        ("p=96", {"channel_period": 96}),
+        ("p=48+trend", {"channel_period": 48, "trend_filter": True}),
+        ("p=48+vol", {"channel_period": 48, "vol_filter": True}),
+        ("p=48+t+v", {"channel_period": 48, "trend_filter": True, "vol_filter": True}),
+        ("p=96+t+v", {"channel_period": 96, "trend_filter": True, "vol_filter": True}),
+    ]
+
+    all_results = []
+    for label, params in configs:
+        for asset in ["BTC", "ETH"]:
+            for tf in ["15m", "1h"]:
+                for hold in [3, 6, 12]:
+                    r = strategy.backtest(asset, tf, hold=hold, **params)
+                    if r and r.trades >= 30:
+                        r.strategy_name = f"DC01 {label} h={hold}"
+                        all_results.append(r)
+
+    all_results.sort(key=lambda r: r.accuracy, reverse=True)
+    print(f"\n{'=' * 120}")
+    print(f"  DC01 DONCHIAN BREAKOUT — TOP 20")
+    print(f"{'=' * 120}")
+    for r in all_results[:20]:
+        r.print_summary()
+    if all_results:
+        all_results[0].print_yearly()