feat(skyhook): SKH01-V2-DD — asymmetric %-exits cut standalone DD <30% (2-wave agent research)

Second agent wave (skyhook-improve-v2, 14 DD-reduction families, each adversarially
verified by 2 skeptics) beats the prior winner on the only unmet goal (DD<30%).

Winner = ASYM_LS -> promoted to engine as SKH01_V2_DD:
  same signal (ptn_n=45, vola[35,95], vol_lo=0, exit-bars 24/16) but exits switched
  from ATR to FIXED-PCT ASYMMETRIC — long sl4%/tp10%, short sl2%(tighter)/tp8%.
  The tight short %-SL caps the per-trade loss that forms the maxDD in vol spikes.

Verified (sk.study, independent re-run): standalone maxDD BTC 21.4% / ETH 27.4% (<30%),
minFull +0.99, minHold +1.26, causality 0/400 both assets, fee-surviving to 0.40%RT,
marginal vs TP01 ADDS (corr 0.09, in-sample edge, robust_oos, multicut, clean-year +0.57),
blend 0.75*TP01+0.25*SKH uplift_hold +0.87; blend 50/50 full 1.84/hold 1.59/DD 10.7%.
Plateau (not knife-edge); both skeptics holds_up=high, killer=null.

Engine: per-direction short exit overrides (exit_mode_short/sl_*_short/tp_*_short),
backward-compatible (None -> symmetric, V1/intermediate-winner unchanged). +3 tests (8/8 pass).

Lessons: DD is cut by changing the exit MECHANISM (%-SL, L/S asymmetry, ensembles), NOT by
entry-only kill-switch / vol-target / cadence. PATTERN_CONF killed as overfit (knife-edge).
PCTL_DD unverified (rate-limit) and ENS_PARAM/TPSL_DD recency/hedge-loaded -> forward-monitor.
NOT yet wired to live sleeves: re-verify blend@0.25 + causality on execution code before deploy.

Includes both waves' research scripts (runs/SKH_* wave 1, runs/SKH2_* wave 2).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
Adriano Dal Pastro
2026-06-23 16:10:38 +00:00
parent 8e46a62e67
commit de72e3ce1f
31 changed files with 5768 additions and 13 deletions
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"""SKH2_DUALTF_PTN — LTF (230m) CONFIRMATION of the HTF (690m) breakout at entry.
FAMILY: DUALTF_PTN. Hypothesis (DD-cut): the V2 winner enters on a fresh HTF Donchian
breakout regardless of where the LTF exec-frame is. If we ALSO require the LTF to confirm
the breakout at the entry bar (LTF close[i] above its own EMA(n) for longs / below for
shorts, or LTF short-term momentum agrees), we avoid entering against a freshly-turned LTF.
Fewer "fight the exec-frame" fills -> fewer immediate stop-outs -> lower standalone maxDD,
ideally without gutting the hold-out edge.
BASELINE (V2 winner): SkyhookParams(ptn_n=45, sl_atr=2.5, tp_atr=7.0, uscitalong=24,
uscitashort=16, vola_lo=35.0, vola_hi=95.0, vol_lo=0.0).
minFull +0.83, minHold +0.81, maxDD BTC 34% / ETH 31% (THE PROBLEM), marginal ADDS.
WHAT THIS SCRIPT DOES (all leak-free):
* Reuse S.htf_features (V2 composer, Chande regime) -> comp_long/comp_short on HTF close.
* merge backward to LTF (S.merge_htf_to_ltf) -> causal HTF signal at each LTF bar.
* Compute LTF confirmation features at close[i]: EMA(n) of LTF close, and an LTF
momentum (close[i] vs close[i-mom]). All strictly causal (no shift into the future).
* AND the HTF composer with the LTF confirmation: long only if comp_long & ltf_up;
short only if comp_short & ltf_dn. (ltf_up/ltf_dn defined by chosen confirm mode.)
* Same entry/exit machinery as V2 (sl/tp ATR multiples, asymmetric max_bars, 1/day).
CAUSALITY: every LTF feature uses ltf data with index <= i. EMA via ewm(adjust=False) is a
pure causal recursion; momentum uses close[i] and close[i-mom]. We prove it with a
truncated-prefix recompute (same protocol as sk.causality) on our custom entries.
"""
from __future__ import annotations
import sys
sys.path.insert(0, "/opt/docker/PythagorasGoal/scripts/research/skyhook")
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import skyhooklib as sk
from src.backtest.harness import backtest_signals
from src.strategies import skyhook as S
from src.strategies.skyhook import SkyhookParams
HOLDOUT = sk.HOLDOUT
FEE = sk.FEE_RT
# V2 winner params (the baseline to beat). LTF confirmation rides on top of these.
WINNER = dict(ptn_n=45, sl_atr=2.5, tp_atr=7.0, uscitalong=24, uscitashort=16,
vola_lo=35.0, vola_hi=95.0, vol_lo=0.0)
def winner_params(**kw):
base = dict(WINNER)
base.update(kw)
return SkyhookParams(**base)
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
# Causal LTF confirmation features (computed on the 230m exec frame, at close[i]).
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
def ltf_confirm(ltf_close: np.ndarray, *, ema_n: int, mom_n: int) -> tuple[np.ndarray, np.ndarray]:
"""Return (ltf_up, ltf_dn) boolean masks per LTF bar, strictly causal.
ltf_up := close[i] > EMA_n(close)[i] AND close[i] > close[i-mom_n] (momentum agrees)
ltf_dn := close[i] < EMA_n(close)[i] AND close[i] < close[i-mom_n]
EMA via ewm(adjust=False): a causal recursion (uses only data <= i)."""
c = pd.Series(np.asarray(ltf_close, float))
ema = c.ewm(span=ema_n, adjust=False).mean().values
cc = c.values
mom_up = np.zeros(len(cc), dtype=bool)
mom_dn = np.zeros(len(cc), dtype=bool)
if mom_n > 0:
mom_up[mom_n:] = cc[mom_n:] > cc[:-mom_n]
mom_dn[mom_n:] = cc[mom_n:] < cc[:-mom_n]
else:
mom_up[:] = True
mom_dn[:] = True
up = (cc > ema) & mom_up
dn = (cc < ema) & mom_dn
return up, dn
def ltf_confirm_modes(ltf_close: np.ndarray, *, ema_n: int, mom_n: int, mode: str,
slope_n: int = 0):
"""Causal LTF confirmation masks (ltf_up, ltf_dn). All features use data <= i.
Components:
ema_up := close[i] > EMA_n(close)[i]
mom_up := close[i] > close[i-mom_n] (sustained move over mom_n bars)
slope_up:= EMA_n(close)[i] > EMA_n(close)[i-slope_n] (LTF trend is rising) if slope_n>0
Modes:
'ema' -> ema_up
'mom' -> mom_up
'both' -> ema_up & mom_up
'or' -> ema_up | mom_up
'slope' -> slope_up only (EMA itself rising/falling)
'ema_slope' -> ema_up & slope_up (above a rising EMA = real LTF uptrend, strict)
'all' -> ema_up & mom_up & slope_up (strictest)
"""
c = pd.Series(np.asarray(ltf_close, float))
ema = c.ewm(span=ema_n, adjust=False).mean().values
cc = c.values
n = len(cc)
ema_up = cc > ema
ema_dn = cc < ema
mom_up = np.zeros(n, dtype=bool)
mom_dn = np.zeros(n, dtype=bool)
if mom_n > 0:
mom_up[mom_n:] = cc[mom_n:] > cc[:-mom_n]
mom_dn[mom_n:] = cc[mom_n:] < cc[:-mom_n]
else:
mom_up[:] = True
mom_dn[:] = True
slope_up = np.zeros(n, dtype=bool)
slope_dn = np.zeros(n, dtype=bool)
if slope_n > 0:
slope_up[slope_n:] = ema[slope_n:] > ema[:-slope_n]
slope_dn[slope_n:] = ema[slope_n:] < ema[:-slope_n]
else:
slope_up[:] = True
slope_dn[:] = True
if mode == "ema":
return ema_up, ema_dn
if mode == "mom":
return mom_up, mom_dn
if mode == "or":
return (ema_up | mom_up), (ema_dn | mom_dn)
if mode == "slope":
return slope_up, slope_dn
if mode == "ema_slope":
return (ema_up & slope_up), (ema_dn & slope_dn)
if mode == "all":
return (ema_up & mom_up & slope_up), (ema_dn & mom_dn & slope_dn)
# default 'both'
return (ema_up & mom_up), (ema_dn & mom_dn)
def ltf_not_overextended(ltf_close: np.ndarray, ltf_atr: np.ndarray, *,
ema_n: int, max_ext_atr: float):
"""REJECT (return False) when the LTF is already overextended from its EMA at entry:
a long-breakout fired when close[i] is already > ema + max_ext_atr*ATR_LTF[i] is a LATE
fill (mean-reversion-prone, big-stop risk). Confirmation = NOT overextended.
ltf_up := (close - ema) <= max_ext_atr*ATR (still room to run, not blown off)
ltf_dn := (ema - close) <= max_ext_atr*ATR
All causal: ema, ATR, close all at i."""
c = pd.Series(np.asarray(ltf_close, float))
ema = c.ewm(span=ema_n, adjust=False).mean().values
cc = c.values
a = np.asarray(ltf_atr, float)
a = np.where(np.isfinite(a) & (a > 0), a, np.nan)
ext = (cc - ema) / a
# long: not too far ABOVE ema ; short: not too far BELOW ema
up = np.where(np.isfinite(ext), ext <= max_ext_atr, False)
dn = np.where(np.isfinite(ext), (-ext) <= max_ext_atr, False)
return up, dn
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
# Custom entries: V2 HTF composer AND LTF confirmation.
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
def dualtf_entries(ltf: pd.DataFrame, htf: pd.DataFrame, p: SkyhookParams,
*, ema_n: int, mom_n: int, mode: str, slope_n: int = 0,
max_ext_atr: float = 0.0) -> list:
feat = S.htf_features(htf, p) # V2 composer (Chande regime + Donchian)
m = S.merge_htf_to_ltf(ltf, feat) # causal backward merge
c = m["close"].values.astype(float)
a = S.atr(m, p.ltf_atr_win)
comp_long = np.nan_to_num(m["comp_long"].values).astype(bool)
comp_short = np.nan_to_num(m["comp_short"].values).astype(bool)
if mode == "notext":
ltf_up, ltf_dn = ltf_not_overextended(c, a, ema_n=ema_n, max_ext_atr=max_ext_atr)
else:
ltf_up, ltf_dn = ltf_confirm_modes(c, ema_n=ema_n, mom_n=mom_n, mode=mode, slope_n=slope_n)
comp_long = comp_long & ltf_up
comp_short = comp_short & ltf_dn
days = pd.to_datetime(m["datetime"]).dt.floor("D").values
entries: list = [None] * len(m)
count_today: dict = {}
for i in range(len(m)):
if not np.isfinite(a[i]) or a[i] <= 0:
continue
day = days[i]
if count_today.get(day, 0) >= p.max_per_day:
continue
if comp_long[i]:
direction, mb = 1, p.uscitalong
elif comp_short[i]:
direction, mb = -1, p.uscitashort
else:
continue
if p.exit_mode == "atr":
sl_off, tp_off = p.sl_atr * a[i], p.tp_atr * a[i]
else:
sl_off, tp_off = p.sl_pct * c[i], p.tp_pct * c[i]
if direction == 1:
sl, tp = c[i] - sl_off, c[i] + tp_off
else:
sl, tp = c[i] + sl_off, c[i] - tp_off
entries[i] = {"dir": direction, "tp": float(tp), "sl": float(sl), "max_bars": int(mb)}
count_today[day] = count_today.get(day, 0) + 1
return entries
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
# Eval helpers (FULL + HOLD-OUT + fee sweep + per-year, both assets) — mirrors sk.study.
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
def _split(eq, idx, mask):
e = eq[mask]
if len(e) < 5:
return dict(sharpe=0.0, ret=0.0, maxdd=0.0, n=int(len(e)))
r = np.diff(e) / e[:-1]; r = r[np.isfinite(r)]
ix = idx[mask]
dt = pd.Series(ix).diff().dt.total_seconds().median() or 86400
bpy = 86400 * 365.25 / dt
sh = float(np.mean(r) / np.std(r) * np.sqrt(bpy)) if len(r) and np.std(r) > 0 else 0.0
pk = np.maximum.accumulate(e); dd = float(np.max((pk - e) / pk))
return dict(sharpe=round(sh, 3), ret=round(float(e[-1] / e[0] - 1), 4), maxdd=round(dd, 4), n=int(len(e)))
def study_dualtf(name, p, confirm):
per_asset = {}
fee_ok_all = True
for a in ("BTC", "ETH"):
ltf, htf = sk.frames(a)
ent = dualtf_entries(ltf, htf, p, **confirm)
m = backtest_signals(ltf, ent, fee_rt=FEE, leverage=1.0, asset=a, tf="230m")
eq = m.equity
idx = pd.DatetimeIndex(pd.to_datetime(m.eq_index, utc=True))
hmask = np.asarray(idx >= HOLDOUT)
full = dict(sharpe=round(m.sharpe, 3), ret=round(m.net_return, 4), maxdd=round(m.max_dd, 4),
n_trades=int(m.n_trades), win_rate=round(m.win_rate, 1))
hold = _split(eq, idx, hmask)
sweep = {}
for f in (0.0, 0.001, 0.002, 0.003):
mf = backtest_signals(ltf, ent, fee_rt=f, leverage=1.0, asset=a, tf="230m")
sweep[f"{f*100:.2f}%"] = round(mf.sharpe, 3)
fee_ok_all = fee_ok_all and (sweep["0.30%"] > 0)
per_asset[a] = dict(full=full, hold=hold, fee_sweep=sweep,
yearly={int(y): round(v, 4) for y, v in m.yearly.items()})
mf = min(per_asset[a]["full"]["sharpe"] for a in per_asset)
mh = min(per_asset[a]["hold"]["sharpe"] for a in per_asset)
mt = min(per_asset[a]["full"]["n_trades"] for a in per_asset)
mdd = max(per_asset[a]["full"]["maxdd"] for a in per_asset)
grade = "PASS" if (mt >= 20 and mf >= 0.5 and mh >= 0.2 and fee_ok_all) else \
("WEAK" if (mt >= 20 and mf >= 0.3 and mh >= 0.0) else "FAIL")
print(f"\n=== {name} -> {grade} (minFull={mf:+.2f} minHold={mh:+.2f} minTr={mt} maxDD={mdd*100:.0f}% feeOK={fee_ok_all})")
for a in per_asset:
pa = per_asset[a]
yr = " ".join(f"{y}:{r*100:+.0f}%" for y, r in pa["yearly"].items())
print(f" {a}: FULL Sh={pa['full']['sharpe']:+.2f} ret={pa['full']['ret']*100:+.0f}% DD={pa['full']['maxdd']*100:.0f}%"
f" n={pa['full']['n_trades']} wr={pa['full']['win_rate']:.0f}% | HOLD Sh={pa['hold']['sharpe']:+.2f} ret={pa['hold']['ret']*100:+.0f}% DD={pa['hold']['maxdd']*100:.0f}%")
print(f" fee: " + " ".join(f"{k}={v:+.2f}" for k, v in pa["fee_sweep"].items()))
print(f" yr: {yr}")
return dict(grade=grade, minFull=mf, minHold=mh, minTr=mt, maxDD=mdd, fee_ok=fee_ok_all, per_asset=per_asset)
def marginal_dualtf(p, confirm):
import altlib as al
def daily(a):
ltf, htf = sk.frames(a)
ent = dualtf_entries(ltf, htf, p, **confirm)
m = backtest_signals(ltf, ent, fee_rt=FEE, leverage=1.0, asset=a, tf="230m")
s = pd.Series(m.equity, index=pd.DatetimeIndex(pd.to_datetime(m.eq_index, utc=True)))
return s.resample("1D").last().ffill().pct_change().dropna()
sb, se = daily("BTC"), daily("ETH")
J = pd.concat({"BTC": sb, "ETH": se}, axis=1, join="inner").fillna(0.0)
cand = 0.5 * J["BTC"] + 0.5 * J["ETH"]
return al.marginal_vs_tp01(cand)
def check_causality(p, confirm, asset="BTC", tail=150):
ltf, htf = sk.frames(asset)
full = dualtf_entries(ltf, htf, p, **confirm)
n = len(ltf); bad = 0; checked = 0
for frac in (0.80, 0.92):
cut = int(n * frac)
cut_ts = int(ltf["timestamp"].iloc[cut - 1])
htf_cut = htf[htf["timestamp"] <= cut_ts].reset_index(drop=True)
sub = dualtf_entries(ltf.iloc[:cut].reset_index(drop=True), htf_cut, p, **confirm)
for i in range(max(0, cut - tail), cut):
checked += 1
a, b = full[i], sub[i]
if (a is None) != (b is None):
bad += 1
elif a is not None and (a["dir"] != b["dir"]
or abs(a["sl"] - b["sl"]) > 1e-6
or abs(a["tp"] - b["tp"]) > 1e-6):
bad += 1
return dict(ok=bool(bad == 0), mismatches=int(bad), checked=int(checked))
if __name__ == "__main__":
print("########## SKH2_DUALTF_PTN: LTF confirmation of HTF breakout ##########")
# Reference: V2 winner WITHOUT LTF confirmation (mode 'none' via wide-open masks).
p = winner_params()
# --- Reference (no LTF confirm) using sk.run_asset directly ---
print("\n--- V2 WINNER reference (no LTF confirm) ---")
refF, refH, refDD, refTr = [], [], [], []
for a in ("BTC", "ETH"):
r = sk.run_asset(a, p, FEE)
refF.append(r["full"]["sharpe"]); refH.append(r["holdout"]["sharpe"])
refDD.append(r["full"]["maxdd"]); refTr.append(r["full"]["n_trades"])
print(f" {a}: FULL Sh={r['full']['sharpe']:+.2f} DD={r['full']['maxdd']*100:.0f}% n={r['full']['n_trades']}"
f" | HOLD Sh={r['holdout']['sharpe']:+.2f}")
print(f" REF minFull={min(refF):+.2f} minHold={min(refH):+.2f} maxDD={max(refDD)*100:.0f}% minTr={min(refTr)}")
# --- Sweep LTF confirmation configs ---
# ema_n / mom_n on 230m bars. ~6.26 bars/day. EMA 10~1.6d, 20~3.2d. mom small (1-6 bars).
# Directional confirms are near-redundant with a fresh breakout (barely filter).
# The real DD lever in this family: REJECT OVEREXTENDED LTF fills (late, blow-off,
# mean-reversion-prone, big-stop). max_ext_atr = max allowed (close-ema)/ATR_LTF at entry.
configs = {
# reference directional confirm (keeps ~all trades)
"mom_only_m3": dict(ema_n=20, mom_n=3, mode="mom"),
# NOT-OVEREXTENDED gate: tighter max_ext -> fewer late fills -> aim lower DD
"notext_e20_x4": dict(ema_n=20, mom_n=0, mode="notext", max_ext_atr=4.0),
"notext_e20_x3": dict(ema_n=20, mom_n=0, mode="notext", max_ext_atr=3.0),
"notext_e20_x2": dict(ema_n=20, mom_n=0, mode="notext", max_ext_atr=2.0),
"notext_e20_x1_5": dict(ema_n=20, mom_n=0, mode="notext", max_ext_atr=1.5),
"notext_e30_x3": dict(ema_n=30, mom_n=0, mode="notext", max_ext_atr=3.0),
"notext_e30_x2": dict(ema_n=30, mom_n=0, mode="notext", max_ext_atr=2.0),
"notext_e10_x2": dict(ema_n=10, mom_n=0, mode="notext", max_ext_atr=2.0),
"notext_e10_x1_5": dict(ema_n=10, mom_n=0, mode="notext", max_ext_atr=1.5),
"notext_e30_x1_5": dict(ema_n=30, mom_n=0, mode="notext", max_ext_atr=1.5),
}
results = {}
for tag, cfg in configs.items():
r = study_dualtf(f"DUALTF_{tag}", p, cfg)
results[tag] = (cfg, r)
# --- Pick best: priority (1) DD<30, (2) earns_slot, (3) minHold high ---
print("\n\n##### MARGINAL vs TP01 (configs with minTr>=20) #####")
scored = []
for tag, (cfg, r) in results.items():
if r["minTr"] < 20:
print(f"[{tag}] minTr={r['minTr']} <20 -> skip marginal")
continue
mg = marginal_dualtf(p, cfg)
verdict = mg.get("marginal_verdict")
robust = bool(mg.get("robust_oos"))
hedge = bool(mg.get("is_hedge"))
earns = (r["grade"] != "FAIL") and (verdict == "ADDS") and robust and (not hedge)
w25 = mg.get("blends", {}).get("w25", {}).get("uplift_hold")
beats = earns and (r["maxDD"] < 0.30) and (w25 is not None and w25 >= 0.55) and (r["minHold"] >= 0.65)
scored.append((tag, cfg, r, mg, earns, beats))
print(f"[{tag}] grade={r['grade']} minFull={r['minFull']:+.2f} minHold={r['minHold']:+.2f} maxDD={r['maxDD']*100:.0f}%"
f" | corr_full={mg.get('corr_full')} verdict={verdict} insample={mg.get('has_insample_edge')}"
f" hedge={hedge} robust={robust} w25uplift={w25} earns_slot={earns} BEATS={beats}")
if not scored:
print("\nNo config with enough trades.")
sys.exit(0)
# Rank: beats_winner first, then DD<30 & earns, then by minHold, then by lowest DD.
def rank_key(item):
tag, cfg, r, mg, earns, beats = item
w25 = mg.get("blends", {}).get("w25", {}).get("uplift_hold") or -9
return (beats, (r["maxDD"] < 0.30 and earns), earns, r["minHold"], -r["maxDD"])
scored.sort(key=rank_key, reverse=True)
best_tag, best_cfg, best_r, best_mg, best_earns, best_beats = scored[0]
# --- Causality on best ---
cb = check_causality(p, best_cfg, "BTC")
ce = check_causality(p, best_cfg, "ETH")
caus_ok = cb["ok"] and ce["ok"]
w25 = best_mg.get("blends", {}).get("w25", {}).get("uplift_hold")
w50 = best_mg.get("blends", {}).get("w50", {})
fee030_min = min(best_r["per_asset"][a]["fee_sweep"]["0.30%"] for a in ("BTC", "ETH"))
print("\n\n##################### BEST CONFIG #####################")
print(f"BEST = DUALTF_{best_tag} cfg={best_cfg}")
print(f" params = {WINNER}")
print(f" grade={best_r['grade']} minFull={best_r['minFull']:+.2f} minHold={best_r['minHold']:+.2f}"
f" maxDD={best_r['maxDD']*100:.1f}% minTr={best_r['minTr']}")
print(f" fee@0.30% (min asset FULL Sh) = {fee030_min:+.3f} feeOK={best_r['fee_ok']}")
print(f" causality: BTC={cb} ETH={ce} -> OK={caus_ok}")
print(f" marginal: corr_full={best_mg.get('corr_full')} corr_hold={best_mg.get('corr_hold')}"
f" verdict={best_mg.get('marginal_verdict')}")
print(f" has_insample_edge={best_mg.get('has_insample_edge')} is_hedge={best_mg.get('is_hedge')}"
f" robust_oos={best_mg.get('robust_oos')} multicut_persistent={best_mg.get('multicut_persistent')}")
print(f" clean_year_uplift={best_mg.get('clean_year_uplift')}"
f" jackknife_min_uplift={best_mg.get('jackknife_min_uplift')}"
f" cand_insample_sharpe={best_mg.get('cand_insample_sharpe')}")
print(f" blend w25 uplift_hold={w25} w50={w50}")
print(f" earns_slot={best_earns} BEATS_WINNER={best_beats}")
# Emit a compact machine-readable line for the harness.
import json
out = dict(family="DUALTF_PTN", best_tag=best_tag, best_cfg=best_cfg, winner_params=WINNER,
grade=best_r["grade"], minFull=best_r["minFull"], minHold=best_r["minHold"],
maxDD=best_r["maxDD"], minTr=best_r["minTr"], fee030_min=fee030_min,
causality_ok=caus_ok, marginal_verdict=best_mg.get("marginal_verdict"),
corr_full=best_mg.get("corr_full"), has_insample_edge=best_mg.get("has_insample_edge"),
is_hedge=best_mg.get("is_hedge"), robust_oos=best_mg.get("robust_oos"),
multicut_persistent=best_mg.get("multicut_persistent"),
clean_year_uplift=best_mg.get("clean_year_uplift"), w25_uplift_hold=w25, w50=w50,
earns_slot=best_earns, beats_winner=best_beats)
print("\nJSON " + json.dumps(out, default=str))