"""Valida il PairsWorker: replay bar-per-bar sui dati storici == backtest pairs_sim? Come validate_worker_mr01 per MR01: alimenta il PairsWorker con finestre trailing crescenti (simula il feed live) e confronta trade/capitale finale col backtest di riferimento scripts/analysis/pairs_research.pairs_sim. Se combaciano, la semantica live (z-score causale, exit |z|<=z_exit o max_bars, fee 2 gambe) e' fedele. """ from __future__ import annotations import shutil import sys import tempfile from pathlib import Path import pandas as pd PROJECT_ROOT = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[2] sys.path.insert(0, str(PROJECT_ROOT)) from src.live.pairs_worker import PairsWorker from scripts.analysis.pairs_research import aligned, pairs_sim from scripts.strategies.PR01_pairs_reversion import PAIRS WINDOW = 60 # finestra trailing minima (>= n+2): z[i] corretto, replay veloce def replay(a: str, b: str, params: dict, data_dir: Path) -> PairsWorker: m = aligned(a, b) df_a = m[["timestamp"]].copy(); df_a["close"] = m["close_a"].values df_b = m[["timestamp"]].copy(); df_b["close"] = m["close_b"].values w = PairsWorker(a, b, "1h", params=params, fee_rt=0.001, data_dir=data_dir) # replay veloce: niente I/O su file / log / notifiche ad ogni tick (servono solo le metriche finali) w._save_state = lambda: None w._log = lambda *a, **k: None w._notify = lambda *a, **k: None n = w.n for k in range(n + 2, len(m) + 1): lo = max(0, k - WINDOW) w.tick(df_a.iloc[lo:k], df_b.iloc[lo:k]) # chiudi eventuale posizione aperta a fine serie (come fa il backtest col troncamento) return w def main(): print("=" * 96) print(" VALIDAZIONE PairsWorker — replay live vs backtest pairs_sim (fee 0.20% RT/coppia)") print("=" * 96) print(f" {'coppia':<10s}{'WORKER cap':>12s}{'trd':>5s}{'win%':>6s} | {'BACKTEST cap':>13s}{'trd':>5s}{'win%':>6s} match?") print(" " + "-" * 88) # Sottoinsieme rappresentativo: il codice del worker e' identico per ogni coppia, # quindi 2 coppie con strutture diverse (alt/major e major/alt) bastano a provare # l'equivalenza. ~135s/coppia su 73k barre orarie. Per validarle tutte: usa PAIRS. subset = [pp for pp in PAIRS if (pp[0], pp[1]) in {("ETH", "BTC"), ("BTC", "LTC")}] tmp = Path(tempfile.mkdtemp(prefix="pairs_validate_")) try: for a, b, p in subset: w = replay(a, b, p, tmp) bt = pairs_sim(a, b, **p) bt_cap = 1000.0 * (1 + bt["ret"] / 100) cap_match = abs(w.capital - bt_cap) / bt_cap < 0.02 if bt_cap else False trd_match = abs(w.total_trades - bt["trades"]) <= max(2, bt["trades"] * 0.02) ok = "OK" if (cap_match and trd_match) else "DIFF" ww = w.total_wins / w.total_trades * 100 if w.total_trades else 0 print(f" {a+'/'+b:<10s}{w.capital:>12.0f}{w.total_trades:>5d}{ww:>6.1f} | " f"{bt_cap:>13.0f}{bt['trades']:>5d}{bt['win']:>6.1f} {ok}") finally: shutil.rmtree(tmp, ignore_errors=True) print(" " + "-" * 88) print(" match = capitale entro 2% e trade entro 2% del backtest. Differenze minime sono") print(" attese (gestione bar finale/troncamento), ma la semantica deve coincidere.") if __name__ == "__main__": main()