"""BRK02 — Donchian55 + Chandelier ATR trailing stop. IDEA: - Enter LONG when close[i] breaks above the 55-bar Donchian high (prior bars, causal). - Exit (go flat) when close[i] falls below the Chandelier trailing stop: chandelier_stop = highest_close(22 bars, ending at i) - 3 * ATR(22, ending at i). - Position is 0 (flat) or 1 (long). No short. Vol-targeted to 20% with 2x cap. Implementation (weights style, continuous position): - Donchian high computed on PRIOR bars (shift(1) already done by al.donchian). - Chandelier stop computed causally on current+prior bars: hc[i] = max(close[i-21..i]) -> rolling max of close, window=22 atr22[i] = ATR(22 bars) at i stop[i] = hc[i] - 3 * atr22[i] - State machine: if flat and close[i] > donchian_high[i]: go long if long and close[i] < stop[i]: go flat Params tried: (don_win=55, atr_win=22, atr_mult=3.0) — canonical (don_win=40, atr_win=22, atr_mult=2.5) — tighter Best picked by min_asset_holdout_sharpe. """ import sys sys.path.insert(0, "/opt/docker/PythagorasGoal/scripts/research/alt") import altlib as al import numpy as np import pandas as pd def chandelier_signal(df: pd.DataFrame, don_win: int = 55, atr_win: int = 22, atr_mult: float = 3.0) -> np.ndarray: """Return a direction array in {0, 1} (0=flat, 1=long) using Donchian+Chandelier. Causal: decision at i uses only data <= close[i].""" close = df["close"].values.astype(float) n = len(close) # Donchian upper channel: highest HIGH over prior don_win bars (shift(1) in al.donchian) don_high, _ = al.donchian(df, don_win) # don_high[i] = max(high[i-don_win..i-1]) # ATR(atr_win) — causal, uses bars up to and including i atr22 = al.atr(df, atr_win) # Highest CLOSE over trailing atr_win bars (inclusive of i) — causal highest_close = pd.Series(close).rolling(atr_win, min_periods=atr_win).max().values # Chandelier stop at i chandelier_stop = highest_close - atr_mult * atr22 # State machine: flat=0, long=1 pos = np.zeros(n, dtype=float) state = 0 # start flat for i in range(n): c = close[i] dh = don_high[i] cs = chandelier_stop[i] if state == 0: # Enter long if close breaks above prior Donchian high (valid only if dh is defined) if np.isfinite(dh) and c > dh: state = 1 else: # state == 1 # Exit long if close drops below chandelier stop (and stop is defined) if np.isfinite(cs) and c < cs: state = 0 pos[i] = float(state) return pos def make_target(don_win: int = 55, atr_win: int = 22, atr_mult: float = 3.0): """Factory returning a vol-targeted weight function for a given param set.""" def target_fn(df: pd.DataFrame) -> np.ndarray: direction = chandelier_signal(df, don_win=don_win, atr_win=atr_win, atr_mult=atr_mult) return al.vol_target(direction, df, target_vol=0.20, vol_win_days=30, leverage_cap=2.0) return target_fn # --- Small param grid (4 configurations, TFs: 1d and 12h -> 8 backtest cells total) CONFIGS = [ dict(don_win=55, atr_win=22, atr_mult=3.0, label="D55-A22-M3.0"), dict(don_win=40, atr_win=22, atr_mult=2.5, label="D40-A22-M2.5"), dict(don_win=55, atr_win=14, atr_mult=3.0, label="D55-A14-M3.0"), dict(don_win=70, atr_win=22, atr_mult=3.5, label="D70-A22-M3.5"), ] TFS = ("1d", "12h") best_rep = None best_score = -999.0 for cfg in CONFIGS: lbl = cfg["label"] fn = make_target(don_win=cfg["don_win"], atr_win=cfg["atr_win"], atr_mult=cfg["atr_mult"]) rep = al.study_weights(f"BRK02[{lbl}]", fn, tfs=TFS) score = rep["verdict"].get("best_holdout_sharpe", -9) print(f"Config {lbl}: grade={rep['verdict']['grade']} score(hold)={score:.3f}") if score > best_score: best_score = score best_rep = rep # Rename best result to canonical BRK02 best_rep["name"] = "BRK02" print() print(al.fmt(best_rep)) print("JSON:", al.as_json(best_rep))