import sys; sys.path.insert(0,".")
import numpy as np, pandas as pd
from scripts.analysis.regime_lab import load_features
from scripts.analysis.explore_lab import atr
import importlib
FEE=0.001; LEV=3

def load_strat(mod):
    m=importlib.import_module(mod)
    return next(v() for k,v in vars(m).items() if isinstance(v,type) and hasattr(v,'generate_signals') and getattr(v,'__module__','')==m.__name__)

STR={"MR01":("scripts.strategies.MR01_bollinger_fade",dict(bb_window=50,k=2.5,sl_atr=2.0,max_bars=24,trend_max=3.0)),
     "MR02":("scripts.strategies.MR02_donchian_fade",dict(n=20,sl_atr=2.0,max_bars=24,trend_max=3.0)),
     "MR07":("scripts.strategies.MR07_return_reversal",dict(n=50,k=3.5,tp_atr=2.0,sl_atr=1.5,max_bars=24,trend_max=3.0))}

def replay(df, sigs):
    h=df['high'].values; l=df['low'].values; c=df['close'].values
    out=[]; last=-1
    for s in sigs:
        i=s.idx
        if i<=last: continue
        d=s.direction; tp=s.metadata['tp']; sl=s.metadata['sl']; mb=s.metadata['max_bars']
        j=min(i+mb,len(c)-1); exit_p=c[j]
        for t in range(i+1,j+1):
            if d==1:
                if l[t]<=sl: exit_p=sl;j=t;break
                if h[t]>=tp: exit_p=tp;j=t;break
            else:
                if h[t]>=sl: exit_p=sl;j=t;break
                if l[t]<=tp: exit_p=tp;j=t;break
        ret=(exit_p-c[i])/c[i]*d*LEV-FEE*LEV
        out.append((i,ret)); last=j
    return out

# raccogli tutti i trade con il loro dvol_pct e hurst all'ingresso
rows=[]
for asset in ("BTC","ETH"):
    df=load_features(asset,"1h"); ts=pd.to_datetime(df['timestamp'],unit='ms',utc=True)
    for code,(mod,par) in STR.items():
        s=load_strat(mod); sigs=s.generate_signals(df,ts,**par)
        for i,ret in replay(df,sigs):
            rows.append(dict(asset=asset,code=code,year=ts.iloc[i].year,ret=ret,
                             dvol_pct=df['dvol_pct'].iloc[i], hurst=df['hurst'].iloc[i],
                             dvol=df['dvol'].iloc[i]))
R=pd.DataFrame(rows).dropna(subset=['dvol_pct'])
print(f"trade totali (con DVOL, 2021+): {len(R)}")

print("\n=== PnL medio per trade per TERZILE DVOL (bassa/media/alta vol) ===")
R['dvbin']=pd.cut(R['dvol_pct'],[0,.33,.66,1.0],labels=['LOW-vol','MID','HIGH-vol'])
g=R.groupby('dvbin',observed=True)['ret']
print(f"  {'regime':<10}{'n':>6}{'ret_medio%':>12}{'win%':>8}{'somma%':>10}")
for b in ['LOW-vol','MID','HIGH-vol']:
    x=R[R.dvbin==b]['ret']
    print(f"  {b:<10}{len(x):>6}{x.mean()*100:>12.3f}{(x>0).mean()*100:>8.1f}{x.sum()*100:>10.0f}")

print("\n=== dentro LOW-vol: split per HURST (anti-persistente vs trending) ===")
LV=R[R.dvbin=='LOW-vol'].copy()
LV['hbin']=pd.cut(LV['hurst'],[0,.45,.55,1.0],labels=['hurst<.45 (anti-pers)','.45-.55','>.55 (trend)'])
for b in ['hurst<.45 (anti-pers)','.45-.55','>.55 (trend)']:
    x=LV[LV.hbin==b]['ret']
    if len(x): print(f"  {b:<24}{len(x):>6}  ret_medio {x.mean()*100:>+7.3f}%  win {(x>0).mean()*100:>5.1f}%  somma {x.sum()*100:>+6.0f}%")

print("\n=== per anno: PnL fade in LOW-vol vs resto ===")
for y in range(2021,2027):
    lo=R[(R.year==y)&(R.dvbin=='LOW-vol')]['ret']; hi=R[(R.year==y)&(R.dvbin!='LOW-vol')]['ret']
    print(f"  {y}: LOW-vol somma {lo.sum()*100:>+6.0f}% (n{len(lo)})  | MID/HIGH somma {hi.sum()*100:>+6.0f}% (n{len(hi)})")