"""TRD06 — Heikin-Ashi Trend Streak HYPOTHESIS: Build HA candles; long while HA close > HA open (green streak), flat on color flip. Also test vol-targeted variant and streak-length filter. Configs tested (<=4 param sets, total backtests = 4 configs * 2 assets * 2 TFs = 16): 1. Raw HA signal (long green, flat red) on 1d + 12h 2. Vol-targeted HA signal (We do 2 param sets * 2 TFs in study_weights call for a total of 8 runs x 2 assets = 16 cells) """ import sys sys.path.insert(0, "/opt/docker/PythagorasGoal/scripts/research/alt") import altlib as al import numpy as np def ha_candles(df): """Compute Heikin-Ashi OHLC causally. HA_close[i] = (open[i] + high[i] + low[i] + close[i]) / 4 HA_open[i] = (HA_open[i-1] + HA_close[i-1]) / 2 This is causal: HA_open[i] uses only past HA values, HA_close[i] uses current bar data. """ o = df["open"].values.astype(float) h = df["high"].values.astype(float) l = df["low"].values.astype(float) c = df["close"].values.astype(float) n = len(c) ha_o = np.zeros(n) ha_c = np.zeros(n) # HA_close is just the average of OHLC — uses current bar only, causal ha_c = (o + h + l + c) / 4.0 # HA_open: bootstrapped from first bar, then recursively ha_o[0] = (o[0] + c[0]) / 2.0 for i in range(1, n): ha_o[i] = (ha_o[i - 1] + ha_c[i - 1]) / 2.0 return ha_o, ha_c def trd06_base(df): """Long when HA candle is green (ha_close > ha_open), flat otherwise.""" ha_o, ha_c = ha_candles(df) # signal: +1 when green, 0 when red/doji signal = np.where(ha_c > ha_o, 1.0, 0.0) return signal def trd06_vt(df): """Vol-targeted version of TRD06: scale green signal by vol target.""" ha_o, ha_c = ha_candles(df) direction = np.where(ha_c > ha_o, 1.0, 0.0) return al.vol_target(direction, df, target_vol=0.20, vol_win_days=30, leverage_cap=2.0) def trd06_streak2(df): """Long only when HA has been green for >= 2 consecutive bars (reduces noise).""" ha_o, ha_c = ha_candles(df) green = (ha_c > ha_o).astype(float) n = len(green) streak = np.zeros(n) cnt = 0 for i in range(n): if green[i] > 0: cnt += 1 else: cnt = 0 streak[i] = cnt # long only when streak >= 2 signal = np.where(streak >= 2, 1.0, 0.0) return signal def trd06_streak2_vt(df): """Vol-targeted streak>=2 variant.""" ha_o, ha_c = ha_candles(df) green = (ha_c > ha_o).astype(float) n = len(green) streak = np.zeros(n) cnt = 0 for i in range(n): if green[i] > 0: cnt += 1 else: cnt = 0 streak[i] = cnt direction = np.where(streak >= 2, 1.0, 0.0) return al.vol_target(direction, df, target_vol=0.20, vol_win_days=30, leverage_cap=2.0) if __name__ == "__main__": print("=== TRD06: Heikin-Ashi Trend Streak ===\n") # Config 1: raw HA green/flat print("--- Config 1: Raw HA green signal (1d, 12h) ---") rep1 = al.study_weights("TRD06-base", trd06_base, tfs=("1d", "12h")) print(al.fmt(rep1)) print("JSON:", al.as_json(rep1)) print() # Config 2: vol-targeted HA print("--- Config 2: Vol-targeted HA (1d, 12h) ---") rep2 = al.study_weights("TRD06-VT", trd06_vt, tfs=("1d", "12h")) print(al.fmt(rep2)) print("JSON:", al.as_json(rep2)) print() # Config 3: streak>=2 filter print("--- Config 3: HA streak>=2 (1d only) ---") rep3 = al.study_weights("TRD06-streak2", trd06_streak2, tfs=("1d",)) print(al.fmt(rep3)) print("JSON:", al.as_json(rep3)) print() # Config 4: streak>=2 vol-targeted print("--- Config 4: HA streak>=2 vol-targeted (1d only) ---") rep4 = al.study_weights("TRD06-streak2-VT", trd06_streak2_vt, tfs=("1d",)) print(al.fmt(rep4)) print("JSON:", al.as_json(rep4)) # Summary: pick best config all_reps = [ ("TRD06-base-1d", rep1, "1d"), ("TRD06-base-12h", rep1, "12h"), ("TRD06-VT-1d", rep2, "1d"), ("TRD06-VT-12h", rep2, "12h"), ("TRD06-streak2-1d", rep3, "1d"), ("TRD06-streak2-VT-1d", rep4, "1d"), ] print("\n=== SUMMARY ===") for label, rep, tf in all_reps: cell = next((c for c in rep["cells"] if c["tf"] == tf), None) if cell: print(f"{label:30s}: minFull={cell['min_asset_full_sharpe']:+.3f} " f"minHold={cell['min_asset_holdout_sharpe']:+.3f} " f"feeOK={cell['fee_survives']} grade={rep['verdict']['grade']}")