"""BRK09 — Inside-bar breakout (1d, discrete signals). HYPOTHESIS: An "inside bar" is a bar whose high < previous bar's high AND low > previous bar's low (fully within the "mother bar"). This signals consolidation. When the NEXT bar's close breaks above the mother-bar's high -> long entry at that close. If it breaks below the mother-bar's low -> short entry. TP/SL based on ATR multiples. CAUSAL GUARANTEE: All signals decided with data <= close[i], filled at close[i]. GRID (<=4 configs, total <=6 backtests = 4 configs * 1 TF, plus 2 extra for fee sweep handled internally by study_signals): We vary: - sl_atr: stop-loss in ATR multiples (1.5 or 2.0) - max_bars: max holding period in bars (5 or 10) That gives 4 combinations on 1d. Total cells = 4 * 2 assets = 8 backtests per config, but study_signals runs BTC+ETH per config automatically. We pick best. ENTRY: close of the breakout bar (the bar that breaks mother-bar high/low). EXIT: TP = entry +/- sl_atr * atr (2:1 R:R), SL = entry -/+ sl_atr * atr, max_bars. """ import sys sys.path.insert(0, "/opt/docker/PythagorasGoal/scripts/research/alt") import altlib as al import numpy as np def make_entries(df, sl_atr: float = 1.5, max_bars: int = 5): """Generate inside-bar breakout entries on 1d bars. Logic (all at bar i, using data <= close[i]): - bar i-1 is the "inside bar": inside_bar[i-1] = True if: high[i-1] < high[i-2] AND low[i-1] > low[i-2] - bar i is the "breakout bar": breaks above mother-bar (i-2) high or below low long if close[i] > high[i-2] AND inside_bar[i-1] short if close[i] < low[i-2] AND inside_bar[i-1] We need at least i>=2 to have i-1 and i-2. We also check that the inside bar hasn't already seen a breakout mid-bar (i.e., we only care about close-to-close). """ h = df["high"].values l = df["low"].values c = df["close"].values atr_vals = al.atr(df, win=14) entries = [None] * len(df) for i in range(2, len(df)): # Check if bar i-1 is an inside bar (contained within bar i-2) is_inside = (h[i-1] < h[i-2]) and (l[i-1] > l[i-2]) if not is_inside: continue mother_high = h[i-2] mother_low = l[i-2] entry_price = c[i] atr_i = atr_vals[i] if atr_i <= 0 or not np.isfinite(atr_i): continue sl_dist = sl_atr * atr_i tp_dist = 2.0 * sl_dist # 2:1 R:R # Long breakout: close breaks above mother-bar high if c[i] > mother_high: tp = entry_price + tp_dist sl = entry_price - sl_dist entries[i] = {"dir": +1, "tp": tp, "sl": sl, "max_bars": max_bars} # Short breakout: close breaks below mother-bar low elif c[i] < mother_low: tp = entry_price - tp_dist sl = entry_price + sl_dist entries[i] = {"dir": -1, "tp": tp, "sl": sl, "max_bars": max_bars} return entries # Grid: 4 configs CONFIGS = [ {"sl_atr": 1.5, "max_bars": 5}, {"sl_atr": 1.5, "max_bars": 10}, {"sl_atr": 2.0, "max_bars": 5}, {"sl_atr": 2.0, "max_bars": 10}, ] best_rep = None best_score = -999.0 for cfg in CONFIGS: name = f"BRK09_sl{cfg['sl_atr']}_mb{cfg['max_bars']}" rep = al.study_signals( name, lambda df, c=cfg: make_entries(df, sl_atr=c["sl_atr"], max_bars=c["max_bars"]), tfs=("1d",), ) v = rep["verdict"] score = v.get("best_holdout_sharpe", -999.0) or -999.0 print(f" {name}: grade={v['grade']} full={v.get('best_full_sharpe')} hold={v.get('best_holdout_sharpe')}") if score > best_score: best_score = score best_rep = rep best_rep["name"] = "BRK09" # rename to canonical print() print(al.fmt(best_rep)) print("JSON:", al.as_json(best_rep))