"""Valida il PairsWorker: replay bar-per-bar sui dati storici == backtest pairs_sim? Come validate_worker_mr01 per MR01: alimenta il PairsWorker con finestre trailing crescenti (simula il feed live) e confronta trade/capitale finale col backtest di riferimento scripts/analysis/pairs_research.pairs_sim. Se combaciano, la semantica live (z-score causale, exit |z|<=z_exit o max_bars, fee 2 gambe) e' fedele. """ from __future__ import annotations import shutil import sys import tempfile from pathlib import Path import pandas as pd PROJECT_ROOT = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[2] sys.path.insert(0, str(PROJECT_ROOT)) from src.live.pairs_worker import PairsWorker from scripts.analysis.pairs_research import aligned, aligned_ohlc, pairs_sim, pairs_sim_flat from scripts.strategies.PR01_pairs_reversion import PAIRS # Config 15m promossa dal gate (gioco Blind Traders + flat-skip): vedi # docs/diary/2026-06-09-pairs15m-port06-gate.md CFG_15M = dict(n=66, z_in=1.674, z_exit=1.0, max_bars=35, flat_skip=True) def replay(a, b, params, data_dir, tf="1h", ohlc=False) -> PairsWorker: if ohlc: m = aligned_ohlc(a, b, tf) df_a = pd.DataFrame({"timestamp": m["timestamp"], "open": m["open_a"], "high": m["high_a"], "low": m["low_a"], "close": m["close_a"]}) df_b = pd.DataFrame({"timestamp": m["timestamp"], "open": m["open_b"], "high": m["high_b"], "low": m["low_b"], "close": m["close_b"]}) else: m = aligned(a, b, tf) df_a = m[["timestamp"]].copy(); df_a["close"] = m["close_a"].values df_b = m[["timestamp"]].copy(); df_b["close"] = m["close_b"].values w = PairsWorker(a, b, tf, params=params, fee_rt=0.001, data_dir=data_dir) w._save_state = lambda: None w._log = lambda *a, **k: None w._notify = lambda *a, **k: None window = max(60, w.n + 6) # finestra trailing >= n+? : z[i] corretto for k in range(w.n + 2, len(m) + 1): lo = max(0, k - window) w.tick(df_a.iloc[lo:k], df_b.iloc[lo:k]) return w def _row(label, w, bt): bt_cap = 1000.0 * (1 + bt["ret"] / 100) cap_match = abs(w.capital - bt_cap) / bt_cap < 0.02 if bt_cap else False trd_match = abs(w.total_trades - bt["trades"]) <= max(2, bt["trades"] * 0.02) ok = "OK" if (cap_match and trd_match) else "DIFF" ww = w.total_wins / w.total_trades * 100 if w.total_trades else 0 print(f" {label:<16s}{w.capital:>13.0f}{w.total_trades:>6d}{ww:>6.1f} | " f"{bt_cap:>14.0f}{bt['trades']:>6d}{bt['win']:>6.1f} {ok}") return ok == "OK" def main(): print("=" * 100) print(" VALIDAZIONE PairsWorker — replay live == backtest (fee 0.20% RT/coppia)") print("=" * 100) print(f" {'caso':<16s}{'WORKER cap':>13s}{'trd':>6s}{'win%':>6s} | " f"{'BACKTEST cap':>14s}{'trd':>6s}{'win%':>6s} match?") print(" " + "-" * 92) tmp = Path(tempfile.mkdtemp(prefix="pairs_validate_")) allok = True try: # [A] REGRESSIONE 1h (flat_skip=False, close-only) vs pairs_sim for a, b, p in [pp for pp in PAIRS if (pp[0], pp[1]) in {("ETH", "BTC"), ("BTC", "LTC")}]: w = replay(a, b, p, tmp, tf="1h", ohlc=False) allok &= _row(f"{a}/{b} 1h", w, pairs_sim(a, b, **p)) # [B] NUOVO: 15m flat-skip (OHLC) vs pairs_sim_flat w = replay("ETH", "BTC", CFG_15M, tmp, tf="15m", ohlc=True) bt = pairs_sim_flat("ETH", "BTC", tf="15m", **CFG_15M) allok &= _row("ETH/BTC 15m-flat", w, bt) finally: shutil.rmtree(tmp, ignore_errors=True) print(" " + "-" * 92) print(" match = capitale e trade entro 2% del backtest (diff minime = bar finale aperta).") print(f" ESITO COMPLESSIVO: {'TUTTO OK' if allok else 'DIFFERENZE -> INDAGARE'}") if __name__ == "__main__": main()