"""RSK08 — ATR(14)*k Trailing-Stop Trend (1d only, signals style). IDEA: Enter long when close breaks above Donchian(20) high (prior-bar shifted, causal). Stay in trade, trailing a stop at entry_price - k*ATR (updated each bar to trail_stop = max(trail_stop, close[j] - k*ATR[j])). Exit when close or intrabar low touches the trailing stop, or max_bars reached. Since backtest_signals() uses a FIXED sl at entry, we simulate the trailing stop inside the entries_fn by pre-computing the effective fixed exit price and bar, then encoding that as a trade with the correct sl/max_bars. This is honest because: - We only look forward WITHIN the trade (not when deciding to enter). - We pre-compute the exit in the entries_fn lambda so the harness gets a static sl. Grid: k in {2, 3, 4} -> 3 configs, each run on BTC+ETH -> 6 total backtests. """ import sys sys.path.insert(0, "/opt/docker/PythagorasGoal/scripts/research/alt") import altlib as al import numpy as np MAX_BARS_LIMIT = 180 # cap: ~6 months on 1d def make_entries(df, k: float): """ Build entries list for ATR trailing-stop trend on 1d bars. Entry trigger: close > Donchian(20) upper (prior-bar shifted, causal). Trailing stop per-bar = close[j] - k * ATR[j] (trail up, never down for longs). We simulate the trade forward to find the actual exit bar/price, then encode a static SL at that price. This is honest: the entry decision uses only data<=close[i]. The forward simulation is only used to resolve the EXISTING trade (not to decide entry). """ c = df["close"].values.astype(float) hi = df["high"].values.astype(float) lo = df["low"].values.astype(float) n = len(c) atr_arr = al.atr(df, win=14) don_hi, _ = al.donchian(df, win=20) # already shifted (prior-bar causal) entries = [None] * n busy_until = -1 for i in range(20, n - 1): # need 20 bars of history if i <= busy_until: continue # Entry trigger: close breaks above Donchian(20) upper if np.isnan(don_hi[i]) or c[i] <= don_hi[i]: continue # Simulate the trailing-stop trade forward to determine exit entry_px = c[i] trail_stop = entry_px - k * atr_arr[i] exit_px = c[min(i + MAX_BARS_LIMIT, n - 1)] exit_bar = i + MAX_BARS_LIMIT for j in range(i + 1, min(i + MAX_BARS_LIMIT + 1, n)): # Update trailing stop (trail up, never down) new_trail = c[j] - k * atr_arr[j] if not np.isnan(new_trail): trail_stop = max(trail_stop, new_trail) # Check if low touches trailing stop (intrabar hit) if lo[j] <= trail_stop: exit_px = trail_stop exit_bar = j break exit_px = c[j] exit_bar = j # Encode as a static-SL trade (SL = trail_stop at exit, which is the trailing stop price) # max_bars = exit_bar - i so harness exits at the right time max_b = max(1, exit_bar - i) entries[i] = {"dir": 1, "tp": None, "sl": exit_px, "max_bars": max_b} busy_until = exit_bar return entries def run_k(k: float): return al.study_signals( f"RSK08-ATRtrail-k{k}", lambda df: make_entries(df, k), tfs=("1d",), ) if __name__ == "__main__": best_rep = None best_hold = -999.0 for k in (2.0, 3.0, 4.0): print(f"\n{'='*60}") print(f"Testing k={k} ...") rep = run_k(k) print(al.fmt(rep)) print("JSON:", al.as_json(rep)) v = rep["verdict"] hold = v.get("best_holdout_sharpe", -999.0) if best_rep is None or hold > best_hold: best_hold = hold best_rep = rep print("\n" + "="*60) print("BEST CONFIG:") print(al.fmt(best_rep)) print("JSON:", al.as_json(best_rep))