1c6baaee83
Implementa tre miglioramenti dalla roadmap di "📚 Strategia" + scaffolding del quarto. Tutti retro-compatibili: i defaults della golden config disabilitano le nuove funzioni così il comportamento attuale resta invariato finché l'operatore non le accende esplicitamente in `strategy.yaml`. Il profilo `strategy.aggressiva.yaml` opta-in agli incrementi più impattanti. **F — Auto-pause su drawdown rolling (§7-bis)** Circuit breaker sopra il kill-switch tecnico. Quando le ultime N posizioni chiuse hanno cumulato perdite oltre `max_drawdown_pct × capitale_attuale`, l'engine si auto-mette in pausa per `pause_weeks` settimane. Difende dai regime change non rilevati dai filtri quant — se i filtri stanno fallendo sistematicamente, fermarsi è meglio che continuare a sanguinare. - `AutoPauseConfig` + `cfg.auto_pause` (top-level, default disabled). - Migrazione SQL `0004_auto_pause.sql`: `system_state.auto_pause_until` e `auto_pause_reason` (NULL = engine attivo). - Nuovo modulo puro `runtime/auto_pause.py` con `is_paused()` (gate I/O-free) e `evaluate_drawdown_breach()` (decide se armare). - `entry_cycle` consulta `is_paused` subito dopo il kill-switch e arma la pausa dopo aver calcolato il capitale; nuovo status `_STATUS_AUTO_PAUSED`. - Repository: `set_auto_pause`, `recent_closed_position_pnls_usd`. - 12 test unitari: gate filter on/off, lookback insufficiente, soglia esatta, capitale non valido, transizioni paused → not-paused. **D — Vol-collapse harvest (§7-bis)** Exit opportunistica: quando DVOL è scesa di tot punti rispetto all'entry e siamo in profit, esce subito. Edge IV-RV catturato, non c'è motivo di tenere fino al profit-take. Nuovo `ExitAction = "CLOSE_VOL_HARVEST"`, gate `exit.vol_harvest_dvol_decrease` (default 0 = off). 5 test unitari. **A — Delta target dinamico per regime DVOL (§3.2)** Strike short adattivo alla volatilità: a DVOL bassa il margine OTM è generoso ⇒ posso prendere più premio (delta 0.15); a DVOL alta voglio più safety distance (delta 0.10). Nuovo `DeltaByDvolBand` (step function); quando `delta_by_dvol` è popolato, `_select_short` legge la prima banda ascending con `dvol_now ≤ dvol_under`. Default vuoto = comportamento invariato. `select_strikes` accetta nuovo kwarg `dvol_now`, propagato da `entry_cycle`. 4 test unitari. **C — Scaffolding profit-take graduale (§7.1bis)** Schema in place ma runtime non ancora wirato. Aggiunge `PartialProfitLevel` e `exit.profit_take_partial_levels` (default vuoto). Nuovo `ExitAction = "CLOSE_PROFIT_PARTIAL"` nella Literal. La pipeline di chiusure parziali nel runtime (entry_cycle / repository / clients) richiede refactor del position model — lasciato come TODO per un PR dedicato. La schema è pronta a recepire la config futura senza altri breaking change. **Profili aggiornati** - `strategy.yaml` (golden, 1.2.0): tutto disabilitato by default. - `strategy.conservativa.yaml` (1.2.0-cons): identico al golden. - `strategy.aggressiva.yaml` (1.2.0-aggr): A+D+F enabled (delta_by_dvol 0.15/0.12/0.10, vol_harvest a 15 pt vol, auto_pause @ 15% DD su 5 trade, 2 settimane pausa). Bump versioni 1.1.0 → 1.2.0, hash ricalcolati, test pinning aggiornato. Suite: 426 passed. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
362 lines
11 KiB
Python
362 lines
11 KiB
Python
"""TDD for :mod:`cerbero_bite.core.exit_decision`.
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Spec: ``docs/01-strategy-rules.md §7`` and ``docs/03-algorithms.md §6``.
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The eight mandatory cases listed in §6 are exercised here, with the
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``mark=30% credit`` case re-interpreted to satisfy the time-stop
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exception consistently with rule 1 (which always fires earlier when
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mark ≤ 50% credit).
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"""
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from __future__ import annotations
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from datetime import UTC, datetime, timedelta
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from decimal import Decimal
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from uuid import uuid4
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import pytest
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from cerbero_bite.config import SpreadType, StrategyConfig, golden_config
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from cerbero_bite.core.exit_decision import PositionSnapshot, evaluate
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from cerbero_bite.core.types import OptionLeg
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@pytest.fixture
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def cfg() -> StrategyConfig:
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return golden_config()
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def _legs(spread_type: SpreadType = "bull_put", size: int = 1) -> list[OptionLeg]:
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expiry = datetime(2026, 5, 15, 8, 0, tzinfo=UTC)
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if spread_type == "bull_put":
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return [
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OptionLeg(
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instrument="ETH-X-2475-P",
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side="SELL",
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strike=Decimal("2475"),
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expiry=expiry,
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type="P",
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size=size,
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mid_price_eth=Decimal("0.020"),
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delta=Decimal("-0.12"),
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gamma=Decimal("0.001"),
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theta=Decimal("-0.0005"),
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vega=Decimal("0.10"),
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),
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OptionLeg(
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instrument="ETH-X-2350-P",
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side="BUY",
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strike=Decimal("2350"),
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expiry=expiry,
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type="P",
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size=size,
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mid_price_eth=Decimal("0.005"),
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delta=Decimal("-0.08"),
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gamma=Decimal("0.001"),
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theta=Decimal("-0.0003"),
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vega=Decimal("0.07"),
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),
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]
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return [
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OptionLeg(
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instrument="ETH-X-3525-C",
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side="SELL",
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strike=Decimal("3525"),
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expiry=expiry,
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type="C",
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size=size,
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mid_price_eth=Decimal("0.020"),
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delta=Decimal("0.12"),
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gamma=Decimal("0.001"),
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theta=Decimal("-0.0005"),
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vega=Decimal("0.10"),
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),
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OptionLeg(
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instrument="ETH-X-3645-C",
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side="BUY",
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strike=Decimal("3645"),
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expiry=expiry,
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type="C",
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size=size,
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mid_price_eth=Decimal("0.005"),
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delta=Decimal("0.08"),
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gamma=Decimal("0.001"),
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theta=Decimal("-0.0003"),
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vega=Decimal("0.07"),
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),
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]
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def _snapshot(
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*,
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spread_type: SpreadType = "bull_put",
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credit_received_eth: str = "0.030",
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mark_combo_now_eth: str = "0.020",
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dvol_at_entry: str = "50",
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dvol_now: str = "50",
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delta_short_now: str | None = None,
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return_4h_now: str = "0",
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days_to_expiry: int = 14,
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spot_at_entry: str = "3000",
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spot_now: str = "3000",
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eth_price_usd_now: str = "3000",
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) -> PositionSnapshot:
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now = datetime(2026, 4, 27, 14, 0, tzinfo=UTC)
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expiry = now + timedelta(days=days_to_expiry)
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if delta_short_now is None:
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delta_short_now = "-0.12" if spread_type == "bull_put" else "0.12"
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legs = _legs(spread_type=spread_type)
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return PositionSnapshot(
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proposal_id=uuid4(),
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spread_type=spread_type,
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legs=legs,
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credit_received_eth=Decimal(credit_received_eth),
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credit_received_usd=Decimal(credit_received_eth) * Decimal(eth_price_usd_now),
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spot_at_entry=Decimal(spot_at_entry),
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dvol_at_entry=Decimal(dvol_at_entry),
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expiry=expiry,
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opened_at=now - timedelta(days=4),
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eth_price_usd_now=Decimal(eth_price_usd_now),
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spot_now=Decimal(spot_now),
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dvol_now=Decimal(dvol_now),
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mark_combo_now_eth=Decimal(mark_combo_now_eth),
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delta_short_now=Decimal(delta_short_now),
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return_4h_now=Decimal(return_4h_now),
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now=now,
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)
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# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
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# Mandatory cases from docs/03-algorithms.md §6
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# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
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def test_mark_at_50pct_credit_triggers_close_profit(cfg: StrategyConfig) -> None:
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snap = _snapshot(credit_received_eth="0.030", mark_combo_now_eth="0.015")
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res = evaluate(snap, cfg)
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assert res.action == "CLOSE_PROFIT"
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def test_mark_at_250pct_credit_triggers_close_stop(cfg: StrategyConfig) -> None:
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snap = _snapshot(credit_received_eth="0.030", mark_combo_now_eth="0.075")
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res = evaluate(snap, cfg)
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assert res.action == "CLOSE_STOP"
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def test_dvol_increase_above_band_triggers_close_vol(cfg: StrategyConfig) -> None:
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snap = _snapshot(
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credit_received_eth="0.030",
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mark_combo_now_eth="0.020", # 67% credit, no profit/stop
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dvol_at_entry="50",
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dvol_now="62", # +12, above +10 trigger
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)
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res = evaluate(snap, cfg)
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assert res.action == "CLOSE_VOL"
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def test_six_days_left_mark_above_skip_threshold_triggers_close_time(
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cfg: StrategyConfig,
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) -> None:
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# mark = 80% credit > 70% credit (skip threshold) → CLOSE_TIME
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snap = _snapshot(
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credit_received_eth="0.030",
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mark_combo_now_eth="0.024",
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days_to_expiry=6,
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)
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res = evaluate(snap, cfg)
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assert res.action == "CLOSE_TIME"
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def test_six_days_left_mark_in_skip_zone_holds(cfg: StrategyConfig) -> None:
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# mark = 60% credit ∈ (50%, 70%] → close to profit, time stop is skipped.
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snap = _snapshot(
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credit_received_eth="0.030",
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mark_combo_now_eth="0.018",
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days_to_expiry=6,
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)
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res = evaluate(snap, cfg)
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assert res.action == "HOLD"
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def test_short_delta_breach_triggers_close_delta(cfg: StrategyConfig) -> None:
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snap = _snapshot(
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credit_received_eth="0.030",
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mark_combo_now_eth="0.020",
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delta_short_now="-0.32",
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)
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res = evaluate(snap, cfg)
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assert res.action == "CLOSE_DELTA"
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def test_4h_adverse_move_bull_put_triggers_close_averse(cfg: StrategyConfig) -> None:
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snap = _snapshot(
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spread_type="bull_put",
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credit_received_eth="0.030",
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mark_combo_now_eth="0.020",
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return_4h_now="-0.07",
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)
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res = evaluate(snap, cfg)
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assert res.action == "CLOSE_AVERSE"
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def test_4h_adverse_move_bear_call_triggers_close_averse(cfg: StrategyConfig) -> None:
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snap = _snapshot(
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spread_type="bear_call",
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credit_received_eth="0.030",
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mark_combo_now_eth="0.020",
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return_4h_now="0.07",
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)
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res = evaluate(snap, cfg)
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assert res.action == "CLOSE_AVERSE"
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def test_neutral_state_returns_hold(cfg: StrategyConfig) -> None:
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snap = _snapshot(
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credit_received_eth="0.030",
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mark_combo_now_eth="0.020",
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)
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res = evaluate(snap, cfg)
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assert res.action == "HOLD"
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# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
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# Trigger ordering — first match wins
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# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
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def test_profit_wins_over_vol_stop(cfg: StrategyConfig) -> None:
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# mark = 30% credit AND DVOL +12 → profit takes precedence
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snap = _snapshot(
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credit_received_eth="0.030",
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mark_combo_now_eth="0.009",
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dvol_at_entry="50",
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dvol_now="62",
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)
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res = evaluate(snap, cfg)
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assert res.action == "CLOSE_PROFIT"
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def test_stop_wins_over_delta_breach(cfg: StrategyConfig) -> None:
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snap = _snapshot(
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credit_received_eth="0.030",
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mark_combo_now_eth="0.075", # 250% → stop
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delta_short_now="-0.40", # would also be CLOSE_DELTA
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)
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res = evaluate(snap, cfg)
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assert res.action == "CLOSE_STOP"
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# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
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# PnL reporting
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# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
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def test_pnl_in_eth_and_usd_reflect_credit_minus_debit(cfg: StrategyConfig) -> None:
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snap = _snapshot(
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credit_received_eth="0.030",
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mark_combo_now_eth="0.018",
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eth_price_usd_now="3100",
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)
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res = evaluate(snap, cfg)
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# pnl_eth = 0.030 - 0.018 = 0.012; pnl_usd = 0.012 × 3100 = 37.2
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assert res.pnl_estimate_eth == Decimal("0.012")
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assert res.pnl_estimate_usd == Decimal("37.2")
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def test_iron_condor_adverse_move_either_direction(cfg: StrategyConfig) -> None:
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snap = _snapshot(
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spread_type="iron_condor",
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credit_received_eth="0.030",
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mark_combo_now_eth="0.020",
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return_4h_now="-0.06",
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)
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res = evaluate(snap, cfg)
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assert res.action == "CLOSE_AVERSE"
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# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
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# §7-bis (D): vol-collapse harvest
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# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
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def _harvest_cfg(
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cfg: StrategyConfig, *, threshold: str = "15"
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) -> StrategyConfig:
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"""Clona la golden config con la soglia di vol-harvest abilitata."""
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from cerbero_bite.config import ExitConfig
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return cfg.model_copy(
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update={
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"exit": ExitConfig(
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**{
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**cfg.exit.model_dump(),
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"vol_harvest_dvol_decrease": Decimal(threshold),
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}
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)
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}
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)
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def test_vol_harvest_disabled_by_default_does_not_fire(cfg: StrategyConfig) -> None:
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# Default: vol_harvest_dvol_decrease = 0 ⇒ filtro disabilitato.
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snap = _snapshot(
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credit_received_eth="0.030",
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mark_combo_now_eth="0.022", # in profit (debit < credit)
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dvol_at_entry="60",
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dvol_now="40", # crollato di 20 punti
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)
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res = evaluate(snap, cfg)
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assert res.action == "HOLD"
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def test_vol_harvest_fires_when_dvol_collapsed_in_profit(
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cfg: StrategyConfig,
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) -> None:
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harvest = _harvest_cfg(cfg, threshold="15")
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snap = _snapshot(
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credit_received_eth="0.030",
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mark_combo_now_eth="0.022", # in profit ma sopra profit_take 50%
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dvol_at_entry="60",
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dvol_now="42", # −18, supera la soglia 15
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)
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res = evaluate(snap, harvest)
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assert res.action == "CLOSE_VOL_HARVEST"
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assert "harvest" in res.reason
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def test_vol_harvest_does_not_fire_when_in_loss(cfg: StrategyConfig) -> None:
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# Anche se DVOL crolla, se siamo in perdita non vogliamo harvest:
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# è una funzione di "esci con il profitto in mano", non un panico.
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harvest = _harvest_cfg(cfg, threshold="15")
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snap = _snapshot(
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credit_received_eth="0.030",
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mark_combo_now_eth="0.040", # debit > credit ⇒ in perdita
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dvol_at_entry="60",
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dvol_now="42",
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)
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res = evaluate(snap, harvest)
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assert res.action != "CLOSE_VOL_HARVEST"
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def test_vol_harvest_does_not_fire_below_threshold(cfg: StrategyConfig) -> None:
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harvest = _harvest_cfg(cfg, threshold="15")
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snap = _snapshot(
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credit_received_eth="0.030",
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mark_combo_now_eth="0.022",
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dvol_at_entry="60",
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dvol_now="50", # −10, sotto la soglia 15
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)
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res = evaluate(snap, harvest)
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assert res.action == "HOLD"
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def test_profit_take_wins_over_vol_harvest(cfg: StrategyConfig) -> None:
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# Quando il profit-take è già colpito, non passiamo per vol-harvest.
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harvest = _harvest_cfg(cfg, threshold="15")
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snap = _snapshot(
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credit_received_eth="0.030",
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mark_combo_now_eth="0.014", # ≤ 50% credit ⇒ profit-take
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dvol_at_entry="60",
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dvol_now="42",
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)
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res = evaluate(snap, harvest)
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assert res.action == "CLOSE_PROFIT"
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