feat(paper): ETH a tick 5m + tooling per-year/per-tick analysis

scripts/run_paper_trading.py: AssetConfig ETH ora usa timeframe="5m" invece
del default 1h. Il winner c04dff7086 e' stato trovato dal GA su dati 5m
e a 1h la strategia perde:
- ETH @ 5m (native): +359.50% cum 7y, 77% winrate, max DD/yr 19%
- ETH @ 1h (precedente): -33.03% cum 7y, 67% winrate, max DD 74%
BTC resta a 1h (winner 238e4812 native a 1h, +104% 7y, Sharpe 2+ in 3 anni).

Nuovi script di analisi:
- scripts/yearly_strategies.py: breakdown per anno (2019-2025) di 4
  strategie su tick di discovery (trade/winrate/return/maxDD/Sharpe).
- scripts/multi_tick_strategies.py: confronto cross-tick (5m/15m/1h)
  per i 2 winner correnti. Documenta la divergenza tick-paper di ETH.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>

README.md

@@ -12,23 +12,23 @@ git clone ssh://git@git.tielogic.xyz:222/Adriano/Multi_Swarm_Coevolutive.git
 
 ## Layout monorepo (uv workspace)
 
-Il repo è un **workspace uv** con due member packages indipendenti:
+Il repo è un **workspace uv** con due member packages indipendenti, principio "**core = framework, strategy = contenuto**":
 
 ```
 multi_swarm_coevolutive/             repo root (workspace coordinator)
 ├── pyproject.toml                    workspace + dev deps + ruff/mypy/pytest
-├── docker-compose.yml                strategy-crypto-paper + strategy-crypto-gui
+├── docker-compose.yml                3 servizi su immagine condivisa
 ├── Dockerfile                        immagine multi-swarm-coevolutive:dev
 ├── uv.lock                           lock unico del workspace
 ├── data/, series/, state/            cache OHLCV + DB (runtime, gitignored)
 ├── scripts/                          CLI entrypoints (run_phase1, run_paper_trading, ...)
 └── src/
     ├── multi_swarm_core/             WORKSPACE MEMBER (wheel: multi-swarm-core)
-    │   ├── pyproject.toml             deps: pandas, numpy, openai, pydantic, ...
+    │   ├── pyproject.toml             core deps (pandas, numpy, openai, pydantic, nicegui, ...)
     │   ├── multi_swarm_core/          GA + genome + protocol + backtest + cerbero +
     │   │                              data + llm + agents + ga + orchestrator +
-    │   │                              metrics + persistence + config
+    │   │                              metrics + persistence + config + dashboard (GA-only)
-    │   ├── tests/                     unit + integration (182 test)
+    │   ├── tests/                     unit + integration
     │   └── docs/                      design/ + decisions/ + reports/
     │
     └── strategy_crypto/              WORKSPACE MEMBER (wheel: strategy-crypto)
@@ -36,27 +36,73 @@ multi_swarm_coevolutive/             repo root (workspace coordinator)
         ├── README.md                  overview strategia + pattern per nuove strategie
         ├── strategy_crypto/
         │   ├── backend/               paper-trading (executor, portfolio, persistence, schema)
-        │   ├── frontend/               NiceGUI dashboard dual-DB
+        │   ├── frontend/              NiceGUI paper-only dashboard
-        │   └── strategies/             JSON freezate (btc_*.json, eth_*.json)
+        │   ├── strategies/            JSON freezate (btc_*.json, eth_*.json)
-        └── tests/                      smoke regression (import + json + schema)
+        │   └── prompts.json           v3.2: agent_role/pattern_guidance/instruction/
+        │                              domain_warnings/anti_patterns/output_priorities +
+        │                              7 stili cognitive (directive + focus_metrics)
+        └── tests/                     smoke regression
 ```
 
 **DB separati per dominio:** `state/runs.db` (GA core universale) + `state/strategy_crypto.db` (paper della strategia crypto). Pattern scala a N strategie senza naming collision.
 
-**Pattern N strategie future:** aggiungere `src/strategy_<asset>/` con lo stesso scheletro (`backend/`, `frontend/`, `strategies/`, `tests/`), DB dedicato `state/strategy_<asset>.db`, servizi Docker `strategy-<asset>-paper` + `strategy-<asset>-gui`, GUI su `/strategy_<asset>_gui`.
+**Pattern N strategie future:** aggiungere `src/strategy_<asset>/` con stesso scheletro (`backend/`, `frontend/`, `strategies/`, `tests/`, `prompts.json`), DB dedicato `state/strategy_<asset>.db`, servizi Docker `strategy-<asset>-paper` + `strategy-<asset>-gui`, GUI su `/strategy_<asset>_gui`. **Zero modifiche al core** richieste.
+
+## Architettura prompt (v3.2)
+
+**Compositor**: il SYSTEM prompt al LLM viene COMPOSTO at-runtime da scaffold core + contenuto strategy:
+
+```
+[1] agent_role           ← strategy (prompts.json — chi è l'agente)
+[2] cognitive_style + directive  ← genome (evoluti dal GA)
+[3] GRAMMAR_SPEC         ← core scaffold (operatori, indicatori, units rules)
+[4] pattern_guidance     ← strategy (forme di curva astratte, no indicatori prescritti)
+[5] domain_warnings      ← strategy (es. "crypto trada 24/7, NON inferire funding rate")
+[6] CONSTRAINTS          ← core scaffold (validator semantics)
+[7] anti_patterns        ← strategy (7 voci: no >4 AND, no chattering, isteresi, ecc.)
+[8] output_priorities    ← strategy (5 voci, #1 coerenza con lente cognitiva)
+[9] EXAMPLE              ← core scaffold
+```
+
+**Input USER (calcolato da `build_market_summary`):**
+- Base (5): mean, std, skew, kurt, vol_regime
+- Regime recente rolling 500 (6): autocorr_lag1 (recent + baseline), hurst, vol_percentile, seasonality (hour + dow)
+- Geometria & frattali (7): efficiency_ratio (Kaufman), tail_index (left + right Hill), structural_uptrend (HH/HL), compression, spectral_entropy, dominant_cycle (gated)
+- Feature accessibili dal genome + lookback_window
+- **Focus per la tua lente**: blocco style-aware (4 metriche prioritarie da `focus_metrics` di prompts.json)
+- Instruction finale (da strategy)
+
+**Grammar protocol JSON (8 indicatori):**
+| Indicatore | Output | Range |
+|------------|--------|-------|
+| `sma(length)` | media mobile | unità prezzo |
+| `sma_pct(length)` | (close-sma)/sma | ±0.1 frazione |
+| `rsi(length)` | oscillator | 0-100 |
+| `atr(length)` | true range | unità prezzo |
+| `atr_pct(length)` | atr/close | 0-0.1 frazione |
+| `realized_vol(window)` | std returns | 0-0.1 frazione |
+| `macd(fast,slow,signal)` | momentum | unità prezzo |
+| `macd_pct(...)` | macd/close | ±0.02 frazione |
+
+**7 stili cognitive** (in `prompts.json`, editable): physicist, biologist, historian, meteorologist, engineer, military_strategist, psychologist. Ognuno con directive 800-950 char, ASCII-strict, archetipo dominante + lookback consigliato + 4 focus_metrics.
 
 ## Stato del progetto
 
-**Phase 3 (paper-trading forward-test) in corso** dal 13 maggio 2026 su VPS. Runner `scripts/run_paper_trading.py` long-running in Docker, dashboard NiceGUI su `https://swarm.tielogic.xyz/strategy_crypto_gui/`. Due strategie freezate:
+**Phase 3 (paper-trading forward-test) in corso** dal 13 maggio 2026 su VPS. Runner `scripts/run_paper_trading.py` long-running in Docker, dashboard NiceGUI su `https://swarm.tielogic.xyz/strategy_crypto_gui/`. Due strategie freezate in `src/strategy_crypto/strategy_crypto/strategies/`:
 
-- `strategy_crypto/strategies/btc_fb63e851.json` — BTC-PERPETUAL, RSI estremi + ATR vs SMA + filtro orario 9-17 (Sharpe OOS +0,26 su 7,33 anni).
+- `btc_fb63e851.json` — BTC-PERPETUAL, RSI estremi + ATR vs SMA + filtro orario 9-17 (Sharpe OOS +0,26 su 7,33 anni).
-- `strategy_crypto/strategies/eth_facd6af85d5d.json` — ETH-PERPETUAL, regime-based (Sharpe OOS +0,19 su 6,75 anni).
+- `eth_facd6af85d5d.json` — ETH-PERPETUAL, regime-based (con `atr_pct` post-fix bug unità).
 
-Phase 1 → 2.7 chiuse (30 run GA, $3.74 cumulato LLM).
+Phase 1 → 2.7 chiuse (30 run GA, $3.74 cumulato LLM). Sessione refactor 15 maggio 2026:
+- Split repo invertito, monorepo unificato come uv workspace
+- Family `*_pct` completa (atr_pct, sma_pct, macd_pct) per fix bug unità
+- Dashboard split: core (GA) vs strategy (paper)
+- Prompt architecture compositor + prompts.json v3.2 (vedi decision log)
 
-- [**Stato progetto e roadmap (14 maggio 2026)**](src/multi_swarm_core/docs/reports/2026-05-14-stato-progetto-e-roadmap.md) — riepilogo fasi, decisioni, caveat, roadmap.
+Documenti:
-- Decision log: [`src/multi_swarm_core/docs/decisions/`](src/multi_swarm_core/docs/decisions/) (gate Phase 1, scelta nemotron).
+- [**Stato progetto e roadmap (14 maggio 2026)**](src/multi_swarm_core/docs/reports/2026-05-14-stato-progetto-e-roadmap.md)
-- Design docs concettuali: [`src/multi_swarm_core/docs/design/`](src/multi_swarm_core/docs/design/).
+- Decision log: [`src/multi_swarm_core/docs/decisions/`](src/multi_swarm_core/docs/decisions/) (gate Phase 1, nemotron, atr_pct fix)
+- Design docs concettuali: [`src/multi_swarm_core/docs/design/`](src/multi_swarm_core/docs/design/)
 
 Stack: Python 3.13, uv workspace, hatchling, pytest+pytest-mock+responses, openai SDK (verso OpenRouter), requests+tenacity, pandas+numpy+scipy, sqlmodel+sqlite, nicegui+plotly, yfinance.
 
@@ -65,7 +111,7 @@ Stack: Python 3.13, uv workspace, hatchling, pytest+pytest-mock+responses, opena
 ```bash
 uv sync                           # installa entrambi i workspace member come editable
 cp .env.example .env              # compila CERBERO_*_TOKEN e OPENROUTER_API_KEY
-uv run pytest                     # 186 test attesi (182 core + 4 smoke strategy_crypto)
+uv run pytest                     # 252 test attesi (248 core + 4 smoke strategy_crypto)
 ```
 
 ### Variabili .env richieste
@@ -84,10 +130,9 @@ OPENROUTER_API_KEY=<sk-or-v1-...>
 GA_DB_PATH=./state/runs.db
 STRATEGY_CRYPTO_DB_PATH=./state/strategy_crypto.db
 
-# Deploy Docker
+# Deploy Docker — DASHBOARD_ROOT_PATH ora per-servizio (vedi docker-compose.yml)
 DOMAIN_NAME=tielogic.xyz
 SWARM_DASHBOARD_PORT=8080
-DASHBOARD_ROOT_PATH=/strategy_crypto_gui   # subpath traefik per la dashboard
 ```
 
 Backcompat: `DB_PATH` legacy continua a funzionare come alias di `GA_DB_PATH`.
@@ -105,14 +150,27 @@ uv run mypy src/ scripts/
 # Smoke run (MockLLM + OHLCV sintetico, no API calls)
 uv run python scripts/smoke_run.py
 
-# Run reale Phase 1/2 (Cerbero + OpenRouter, ~$0.07 per run K=20 10gen)
+# Run reale Phase 1/2 (Cerbero + OpenRouter, ~$0.15-0.25 per run K=20 10gen,
+# ~$0.40-0.55 per run esteso K=40 20gen con WFA OOS).
+# Default --start ora 2018-09-01 (7.3y, copre bear+halving+covid+ATH+winter+ETF).
 uv run python scripts/run_phase1.py \
   --name run-XXX \
   --exchange deribit --symbol BTC-PERPETUAL --timeframe 1h \
-  --start 2024-01-01T00:00:00+00:00 \
-  --end 2026-01-01T00:00:00+00:00 \
   --population-size 20 --n-generations 10 \
-  --prompt-mutation-weight 0.30 --fitness-v2
+  --prompt-mutation-weight 0.30 --fitness-v2 \
+  --llm-concurrency 8                          # 5-8x speedup wall time (default 1)
+# fitness-v2 hardened: hard-kill su {no_trades, degenerate, undertrading,
+# fees_eat_alpha, negative_net_pnl}. Override via --fitness-hard-kill CSV.
+# Default --prompt-library: importlib.resources del package strategy_crypto/prompts.json
+
+# Multi-fold validation di un run esistente (anti-overfit, 7y expanding-window)
+uv run python scripts/validate_run.py \
+  --run-id <run_id> \
+  --top-k 10 --n-folds 4 --train-ratio 0.5 \
+  --start 2018-09-01T00:00:00+00:00 --end 2026-01-01T00:00:00+00:00 \
+  --fitness-v2 \
+  --output-json state/validation-XXX.json
+# Ranking per "robust_score" = min(fitness_oos) su tutti i fold.
 
 # Backtest standalone di una strategia JSON
 uv run python scripts/backtest_strategy.py \
@@ -123,32 +181,50 @@ uv run python scripts/backtest_strategy.py \
 uv run python scripts/run_paper_trading.py \
   --name phase3-papertrade-XXX \
   --initial-capital 1000 --poll-seconds 300
-# Default --strategies-dir: importlib.resources del package strategy_crypto
 
-# Dashboard NiceGUI locale
+# Dashboard NiceGUI locale (2 distinte)
-uv run python -m strategy_crypto.frontend.nicegui_app
+uv run python -m multi_swarm_core.dashboard.nicegui_app   # GA core (/, /convergence, /genomes)
-# → http://localhost:8080 (env SWARM_DASHBOARD_PORT)
+uv run python -m strategy_crypto.frontend.nicegui_app     # Strategy crypto (/ paper)
 ```
 
-## Dashboard
+## Performance & Validation
 
-NiceGUI dashboard (dark palette) — **dual-DB reader** (GA + paper):
+**Backtest engine vettorializzato** (`backtest/engine.py`): rimosso il loop `pd.iterrows()` a favore di state machine numpy. Speedup misurati:
 
+| Dataset | Before (iterrows) | After (vectorized) | Speedup |
+|---------|-------------------|--------------------|---------|
+| 2 anni (17545 bar) | 470 ms | **28 ms** | **16.8×** |
+| 7 anni (64297 bar) | 1744 ms | **154 ms** | **11.3×** |
+
+Equivalenza numerica garantita: 5 parity test parametrici vs. reference implementation legacy (`test_backtest_engine_vectorized.py`).
+
+**Parallel propose LLM** (`orchestrator/run.py`): `--llm-concurrency N` lancia N chiamate `hypothesis_agent.propose()` concorrenti per generazione tramite `ThreadPoolExecutor`. OpenRouter qwen-2.5 regge 6-10 concorrenti senza rate-limit. Default 1 = backward-compat.
+
+**Multi-fold validation tool** (`scripts/validate_run.py`): qualunque run completato puo' essere rivalutato post-hoc su N fold expanding-window di un dataset esteso (tipicamente 7 anni). Vital per evitare il single-hold-out overfit: il GA puo' selezionare un genome con `fitness_is` alta che collassa OOS (osservato su `phase1-extended-001`: elite IS Sharpe 1.93, OOS Sharpe -1.00). Ranking finale per `robust_score = min(fitness_oos)`. Output JSON con per-fold breakdown + aggregati mean/min/std.
+
+## Dashboard (split core + strategy)
+
+Due NiceGUI dashboard distinte (dark palette, palette neon):
+
+**Core GA** — `multi_swarm_core.dashboard.nicegui_app` → `https://swarm.tielogic.xyz/multi_swarm_core_gui/`:
 - **Overview** (`/`): lista runs GA, costo cumulato, metriche aggregate evaluations.
 - **GA Convergence** (`/convergence`): fitness median/max/p90 per generazione + entropy.
 - **Genomes** (`/genomes`): top-K ordinati per fitness, ispezione system_prompt + JSON strategy.
-- **Paper** (`/paper`): forward-test live con equity curve, posizioni aperte, trade list, tick log.
 
-In produzione su `https://swarm.tielogic.xyz/strategy_crypto_gui/` (subpath gestito via `DASHBOARD_ROOT_PATH` + Traefik PathPrefix). La root del dominio resta libera per future GUI di altre strategie.
+**Strategy crypto** — `strategy_crypto.frontend.nicegui_app` → `https://swarm.tielogic.xyz/strategy_crypto_gui/`:
+- **Paper** (`/`): forward-test live con equity curve, posizioni aperte, trade list, tick log.
+
+In produzione subpath gestiti via `DASHBOARD_ROOT_PATH` (per-servizio) + Traefik `replacepathregex` (NB: NON `stripprefix`, vedi sezione Deploy). La root del dominio resta libera per future GUI di altre strategie.
 
 ## Deploy
 
-`docker-compose.yml` definisce due servizi su immagine `multi-swarm-coevolutive:dev`:
+`docker-compose.yml` definisce 3 servizi su immagine condivisa `multi-swarm-coevolutive:dev`:
 
 - **`strategy-crypto-paper`** — runner `scripts/run_paper_trading.py` long-running.
-- **`strategy-crypto-gui`** — NiceGUI dashboard dietro Traefik su `https://swarm.${DOMAIN_NAME}/strategy_crypto_gui/`.
+- **`strategy-crypto-gui`** — NiceGUI paper dashboard su `https://swarm.${DOMAIN_NAME}/strategy_crypto_gui/`.
+- **`multi-swarm-core-gui`** — NiceGUI GA dashboard su `https://swarm.${DOMAIN_NAME}/multi_swarm_core_gui/`.
 
-Persistenza via bind mount: `./data/`, `./series/`, `./state/`. Le strategie JSON sono bind-mounted in read-only dal package: `./src/strategy_crypto/strategy_crypto/strategies/`.
+Persistenza via bind mount: `./data/`, `./series/`, `./state/`. Strategie JSON bind-mounted in read-only dal package: `./src/strategy_crypto/strategy_crypto/strategies/`.
 
 ```bash
 docker compose up -d --build
@@ -158,12 +234,16 @@ docker compose ps
 
 Note operative:
 
-- Le bind-mount dir devono essere `chown 1000:1000` (uid utente `app` nel container).
+- Bind-mount dir devono essere `chown 1000:1000` (uid utente `app` nel container). **Anche `src/strategy_crypto/strategy_crypto/strategies/`** (creata da `git mv`, default `root:root`).
 - Override del command paper via env (`PAPER_RUN_NAME`, `PAPER_INITIAL_CAPITAL`, ecc.).
 - `SWARM_DASHBOARD_PORT` controlla la porta interna del container (Traefik fa il TLS).
+- **Traefik subpath**: usa `replacepathregex` middleware (NON `stripprefix`) per evitare doppio root_path (uvicorn legge `X-Forwarded-Prefix` da stripprefix + applica `root_path` di NiceGUI = doppio prefix). Vedi commit `436613b`.
+- Dopo cambio label Traefik: `docker restart traefik-traefik-1` per forzare refresh discovery.
 
 ## Sviluppo
 
 Conventional commits con prefix `feat:` `fix:` `chore:` `docs:` `refactor:` `test:`. Body italiano. Footer `Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>` su ogni commit collaborativo.
 
 Branch attuale: `main`. Workspace single-repo, monorepo unificato dal 15 maggio 2026 (split temporaneo monorepo→figlio invertito, vedi tag `v0.1.0-pre-split` come bookmark).
+
+**Modificare il prompt LLM** senza toccare codice: edita `src/strategy_crypto/strategy_crypto/prompts.json`. Schema documentato in `_design_invariants` del JSON stesso. I 3 regression guard test (`test_strategy_crypto_directives_ascii_safe`, `..._have_archetype_marker`, `..._have_lookback_hint`) bloccano regressioni accidentali sulle invarianti di design.

scripts/analyze_btc_winners.py

@@ -0,0 +1,125 @@
+"""Analisi per-trade dei top-K candidate del run BTC.
+
+Per ciascun genome top-K, ri-esegue il backtest su ogni fold WFA e raccoglie:
+- n_trades, n_wins, n_losses, win_rate
+- max_drawdown
+- return, sharpe
+- list trade pnl summary
+
+Output stampato a stdout, non scrive su disco.
+"""
+from __future__ import annotations
+
+import argparse
+from datetime import datetime
+
+import pandas as pd  # type: ignore[import-untyped]
+
+from multi_swarm_core.agents.hypothesis import _try_parse
+from multi_swarm_core.backtest.engine import BacktestEngine
+from multi_swarm_core.cerbero.client import CerberoClient
+from multi_swarm_core.config import load_settings
+from multi_swarm_core.data.cerbero_ohlcv import CerberoOHLCVLoader, OHLCVRequest
+from multi_swarm_core.data.splits import expanding_walk_forward
+from multi_swarm_core.metrics.basic import max_drawdown, sharpe_ratio, total_return
+from multi_swarm_core.persistence.repository import Repository
+from multi_swarm_core.protocol.compiler import compile_strategy
+
+
+def main() -> None:
+    ap = argparse.ArgumentParser()
+    ap.add_argument("--run-id", required=True)
+    ap.add_argument("--top-k", type=int, default=10)
+    ap.add_argument("--n-folds", type=int, default=4)
+    ap.add_argument("--train-ratio", type=float, default=0.5)
+    ap.add_argument("--symbol", default="BTC-PERPETUAL")
+    ap.add_argument("--timeframe", default="1h")
+    ap.add_argument("--start", default="2018-09-01T00:00:00+00:00")
+    ap.add_argument("--end", default="2026-01-01T00:00:00+00:00")
+    ap.add_argument("--fees-bp", type=float, default=5.0)
+    args = ap.parse_args()
+
+    settings = load_settings()
+    repo = Repository(settings.ga_db_path)
+    repo.init_schema()
+    all_evals = repo.list_evaluations(args.run_id)
+    parseable = [
+        e for e in all_evals
+        if e.get("raw_text") and not e.get("parse_error") and e["fitness"] > 0
+    ]
+    parseable.sort(key=lambda e: e["fitness"], reverse=True)
+    seen: set[str] = set()
+    top: list[dict] = []
+    for e in parseable:
+        if e["genome_id"] in seen:
+            continue
+        seen.add(e["genome_id"])
+        top.append(e)
+        if len(top) >= args.top_k:
+            break
+
+    token = (
+        settings.cerbero_mainnet_token.get_secret_value()
+        if settings.cerbero_mainnet_token
+        else settings.cerbero_testnet_token.get_secret_value()
+    )
+    cerbero = CerberoClient(
+        base_url=settings.cerbero_base_url,
+        token=token,
+        bot_tag=settings.cerbero_bot_tag,
+    )
+    loader = CerberoOHLCVLoader(client=cerbero, cache_dir=settings.series_dir)
+    ohlcv = loader.load(OHLCVRequest(
+        symbol=args.symbol,
+        timeframe=args.timeframe,
+        start=datetime.fromisoformat(args.start),
+        end=datetime.fromisoformat(args.end),
+    ))
+    splits = expanding_walk_forward(ohlcv.index, train_ratio=args.train_ratio, n_folds=args.n_folds)
+    engine = BacktestEngine(fees_bp=args.fees_bp)
+
+    print(f"\n{'=' * 110}")
+    print(f"PER-TRADE ANALYSIS — top-{len(top)} genomes × {len(splits)} folds")
+    print(f"{'=' * 110}")
+
+    for ev in top:
+        strat, err = _try_parse(ev["raw_text"] or "")
+        if strat is None:
+            print(f"\n>>> {ev['genome_id'][:16]} — parse error: {err}")
+            continue
+
+        print(f"\n>>> {ev['genome_id']} (fit_IS={ev['fitness']:.4f}, sharpe_IS={ev['sharpe']:.3f})")
+        print(f"{'fold':<5} {'period':<26} {'trades':>7} {'wins':>5} {'losses':>7} {'win%':>6} {'avg_w':>9} {'avg_l':>9} {'ret':>7} {'maxDD':>7} {'sharpe':>7}")
+        for s in splits:
+            test_df = ohlcv.loc[s.test_idx]
+            try:
+                signal_fn = compile_strategy(strat)
+                signals = signal_fn(test_df)
+                bt = engine.run(test_df, signals)
+            except Exception as e:
+                print(f"  fold {s.fold}: error {e}")
+                continue
+            trades = bt.trades
+            n_trades = len(trades)
+            wins = [t.net_pnl for t in trades if t.net_pnl > 0]
+            losses = [t.net_pnl for t in trades if t.net_pnl <= 0]
+            n_wins = len(wins)
+            n_losses = len(losses)
+            win_rate = (n_wins / n_trades * 100) if n_trades else 0.0
+            avg_w = (sum(wins) / n_wins) if n_wins else 0.0
+            avg_l = (sum(losses) / n_losses) if n_losses else 0.0
+            # Normalize equity for DD/return
+            if n_trades > 0:
+                notional = float(test_df["close"].iloc[0])
+                equity_pos = (bt.equity_curve / notional) + 1.0
+                ret_pct = total_return(equity_pos)
+                dd = max_drawdown(equity_pos)
+                sr = sharpe_ratio(bt.returns, periods_per_year=8760)
+            else:
+                ret_pct = dd = sr = 0.0
+            period = f"{str(s.test_idx[0])[:10]}..{str(s.test_idx[-1])[:10]}"
+            print(f"{s.fold:<5} {period:<26} {n_trades:>7} {n_wins:>5} {n_losses:>7} {win_rate:>5.1f}% {avg_w:>9.1f} {avg_l:>9.1f} {ret_pct:>6.2%} {dd:>6.2%} {sr:>7.3f}")
+
+
+if __name__ == "__main__":
+    main()

scripts/compare_winners.py

@@ -0,0 +1,139 @@
+"""Confronto per-trade dei 4 winner cross-run (BTC/ETH × 1h/5m).
+
+Per ogni winner: ri-esegue il backtest su 4 fold WFA expanding-window e raccoglie
+trade buoni/non buoni, win-rate, avg PnL, return, max DD, Sharpe.
+"""
+from __future__ import annotations
+
+import argparse
+from datetime import datetime
+
+import pandas as pd  # type: ignore[import-untyped]
+
+from multi_swarm_core.agents.hypothesis import _try_parse
+from multi_swarm_core.backtest.engine import BacktestEngine
+from multi_swarm_core.cerbero.client import CerberoClient
+from multi_swarm_core.config import load_settings
+from multi_swarm_core.data.cerbero_ohlcv import CerberoOHLCVLoader, OHLCVRequest
+from multi_swarm_core.data.splits import expanding_walk_forward
+from multi_swarm_core.metrics.basic import max_drawdown, sharpe_ratio, total_return
+from multi_swarm_core.persistence.repository import Repository
+from multi_swarm_core.protocol.compiler import compile_strategy
+
+
+# (run_name, genome_id, symbol, timeframe, label)
+WINNERS = [
+    ("phase1-btc-100-001", "238e481262c1594c", "BTC-PERPETUAL", "1h", "BTC 1h sharpshooter (Gen 7)"),
+    ("phase1-btc-100-001", "23a24989e2ed0f84", "BTC-PERPETUAL", "1h", "BTC 1h robust (Gen 0 elite)"),
+    ("phase1-eth-100-001", "4b45a72c13acf1d5", "ETH-PERPETUAL", "1h", "ETH 1h best-by-sharpe (killed)"),
+    ("phase1-btc-100-5m-001", "f8ca6642adf7e0cd", "BTC-PERPETUAL", "5m", "BTC 5m robust winner"),
+    ("phase1-eth-100-5m-001", "c04dff7086bb9588", "ETH-PERPETUAL", "5m", "ETH 5m OOS winner"),
+]
+
+
+def analyze_genome(run_id: str, genome_id: str, symbol: str, timeframe: str, label: str,
+                   settings, cerbero, loader) -> None:
+    repo = Repository(settings.ga_db_path)
+    repo.init_schema()
+    evs = [e for e in repo.list_evaluations(run_id) if e["genome_id"] == genome_id]
+    if not evs:
+        print(f"  no eval for {genome_id} in {run_id}")
+        return
+    ev = evs[0]
+    strat, err = _try_parse(ev.get("raw_text") or "")
+    if strat is None:
+        print(f"  parse error: {err}")
+        return
+
+    req = OHLCVRequest(
+        symbol=symbol, timeframe=timeframe,
+        start=datetime.fromisoformat("2018-09-01T00:00:00+00:00"),
+        end=datetime.fromisoformat("2026-01-01T00:00:00+00:00"),
+    )
+    ohlcv = loader.load(req)
+    splits = expanding_walk_forward(ohlcv.index, train_ratio=0.5, n_folds=4)
+    engine = BacktestEngine(fees_bp=5.0)
+
+    print(f"\n>>> {label}")
+    print(f"    {genome_id} | fit_IS={ev['fitness']:.4f} sharpe_IS={ev['sharpe']:.3f} trades_IS={ev['n_trades']}")
+    print(f"    {'fold':<5} {'period':<26} {'trades':>7} {'wins':>5} {'losses':>7} {'win%':>6} {'avg_w':>10} {'avg_l':>10} {'ret':>8} {'maxDD':>7} {'sharpe':>7}")
+
+    sum_ret = 0.0
+    sum_trades = 0
+    sum_wins = 0
+    for s in splits:
+        test_df = ohlcv.loc[s.test_idx]
+        try:
+            signal_fn = compile_strategy(strat)
+            signals = signal_fn(test_df)
+            bt = engine.run(test_df, signals)
+        except Exception as e:
+            print(f"  fold {s.fold}: error {e}")
+            continue
+
+        trades = bt.trades
+        n = len(trades)
+        wins = [t.net_pnl for t in trades if t.net_pnl > 0]
+        losses = [t.net_pnl for t in trades if t.net_pnl <= 0]
+        nw, nl = len(wins), len(losses)
+        wr = (nw / n * 100) if n else 0.0
+        aw = (sum(wins) / nw) if nw else 0.0
+        al = (sum(losses) / nl) if nl else 0.0
+        if n > 0:
+            notional = float(test_df["close"].iloc[0])
+            eq = (bt.equity_curve / notional) + 1.0
+            ret = total_return(eq)
+            dd = max_drawdown(eq)
+            sr = sharpe_ratio(bt.returns, periods_per_year=8760)
+        else:
+            ret = dd = sr = 0.0
+        period = f"{str(s.test_idx[0])[:10]}..{str(s.test_idx[-1])[:10]}"
+        print(f"    {s.fold:<5} {period:<26} {n:>7} {nw:>5} {nl:>7} {wr:>5.1f}% {aw:>10.1f} {al:>10.1f} {ret:>7.2%} {dd:>6.2%} {sr:>7.3f}")
+        sum_ret += ret
+        sum_trades += n
+        sum_wins += nw
+    overall_wr = (sum_wins / sum_trades * 100) if sum_trades else 0.0
+    print(f"    {'='*5} TOTALS:                {sum_trades:>7} {sum_wins:>5} {sum_trades-sum_wins:>7} {overall_wr:>5.1f}%  cum_ret={sum_ret:+.2%}")
+
+
+def main() -> None:
+    settings = load_settings()
+    repo = Repository(settings.ga_db_path)
+    repo.init_schema()
+    name_to_id: dict[str, str] = {}
+    for w in WINNERS:
+        run_name = w[0]
+        if run_name in name_to_id:
+            continue
+        runs = repo.list_runs()
+        for r in runs:
+            if r["name"] == run_name:
+                name_to_id[run_name] = r["id"]
+                break
+
+    token = (
+        settings.cerbero_mainnet_token.get_secret_value()
+        if settings.cerbero_mainnet_token
+        else settings.cerbero_testnet_token.get_secret_value()
+    )
+    cerbero = CerberoClient(
+        base_url=settings.cerbero_base_url,
+        token=token,
+        bot_tag=settings.cerbero_bot_tag,
+    )
+    loader = CerberoOHLCVLoader(client=cerbero, cache_dir=settings.series_dir)
+
+    print(f"{'='*120}")
+    print(f"PER-TRADE COMPARISON — {len(WINNERS)} winner candidates × 4 folds WFA")
+    print(f"{'='*120}")
+
+    for run_name, genome_id, symbol, timeframe, label in WINNERS:
+        run_id = name_to_id.get(run_name)
+        if not run_id:
+            print(f"!!! run not found: {run_name}")
+            continue
+        analyze_genome(run_id, genome_id, symbol, timeframe, label, settings, cerbero, loader)
+
+
+if __name__ == "__main__":
+    main()

scripts/multi_tick_strategies.py

@@ -0,0 +1,112 @@
+"""2 winner cross-tick: BTC 238e4812 + ETH c04dff7086 su 5m / 15m / 1h.
+
+Per ogni combinazione strategy × timeframe: backtest year-by-year (2019-2025)
+con metriche per-anno e totale 7y.
+"""
+from __future__ import annotations
+
+from datetime import datetime
+from pathlib import Path
+
+from multi_swarm_core.backtest.engine import BacktestEngine
+from multi_swarm_core.cerbero.client import CerberoClient
+from multi_swarm_core.config import load_settings
+from multi_swarm_core.data.cerbero_ohlcv import CerberoOHLCVLoader, OHLCVRequest
+from multi_swarm_core.metrics.basic import max_drawdown, sharpe_ratio, total_return
+from multi_swarm_core.protocol.compiler import compile_strategy
+from multi_swarm_core.protocol.parser import parse_strategy
+
+
+WINNERS = [
+    # (label, path, symbol)
+    ("BTC NEW (238e4812, native=1h)", "btc_238e4812.json", "BTC-PERPETUAL"),
+    ("ETH NEW (c04dff7086, native=5m)", "eth_c04dff7086.json", "ETH-PERPETUAL"),
+]
+TIMEFRAMES = ["5m", "15m", "1h"]
+
+YEARS = [
+    ("2019", "2019-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "2020-01-01T00:00:00+00:00"),
+    ("2020", "2020-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "2021-01-01T00:00:00+00:00"),
+    ("2021", "2021-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "2022-01-01T00:00:00+00:00"),
+    ("2022", "2022-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "2023-01-01T00:00:00+00:00"),
+    ("2023", "2023-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "2024-01-01T00:00:00+00:00"),
+    ("2024", "2024-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "2025-01-01T00:00:00+00:00"),
+    ("2025", "2025-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "2026-01-01T00:00:00+00:00"),
+]
+
+
+def evaluate(strat, ohlcv, engine, label, tf) -> None:
+    print(f"\n  >>> tick={tf} | {len(ohlcv)} bars")
+    print(f"  {'year':<6} {'trades':>7} {'wins':>5} {'losses':>7} {'win%':>6} {'ret':>8} {'maxDD':>7} {'sharpe':>7}")
+    sum_ret = 0.0
+    sum_trades = 0
+    sum_wins = 0
+    for year_label, start, end in YEARS:
+        mask = (ohlcv.index >= datetime.fromisoformat(start)) & (ohlcv.index < datetime.fromisoformat(end))
+        slice_df = ohlcv[mask]
+        if len(slice_df) == 0:
+            continue
+        try:
+            signal_fn = compile_strategy(strat)
+            signals = signal_fn(slice_df)
+            bt = engine.run(slice_df, signals)
+        except Exception as e:
+            print(f"  {year_label:<6} ERROR: {e}")
+            continue
+        trades = bt.trades
+        n = len(trades)
+        wins = [t.net_pnl for t in trades if t.net_pnl > 0]
+        losses = [t.net_pnl for t in trades if t.net_pnl <= 0]
+        nw, nl = len(wins), len(losses)
+        wr = (nw / n * 100) if n else 0.0
+        if n > 0:
+            notional = float(slice_df["close"].iloc[0])
+            eq = (bt.equity_curve / notional) + 1.0
+            ret = total_return(eq)
+            dd = max_drawdown(eq)
+            sr = sharpe_ratio(bt.returns, periods_per_year=8760)
+        else:
+            ret = dd = sr = 0.0
+        print(f"  {year_label:<6} {n:>7} {nw:>5} {nl:>7} {wr:>5.1f}% {ret:>7.2%} {dd:>6.2%} {sr:>7.3f}")
+        sum_ret += ret
+        sum_trades += n
+        sum_wins += nw
+    overall_wr = (sum_wins / sum_trades * 100) if sum_trades else 0.0
+    print(f"  ===== 7y TOT: {sum_trades:>7} {sum_wins:>5} {sum_trades-sum_wins:>7} {overall_wr:>5.1f}%  cum_ret={sum_ret:+.2%}")
+
+
+def main() -> None:
+    settings = load_settings()
+    token = (
+        settings.cerbero_mainnet_token.get_secret_value()
+        if settings.cerbero_mainnet_token
+        else settings.cerbero_testnet_token.get_secret_value()
+    )
+    cerbero = CerberoClient(
+        base_url=settings.cerbero_base_url,
+        token=token,
+        bot_tag=settings.cerbero_bot_tag,
+    )
+    loader = CerberoOHLCVLoader(client=cerbero, cache_dir=settings.series_dir)
+    engine = BacktestEngine(fees_bp=5.0)
+    strategies_dir = Path("/app/strategies")
+
+    for label, fname, symbol in WINNERS:
+        path = strategies_dir / fname
+        strat = parse_strategy(path.read_text())
+        print(f"\n{'='*100}")
+        print(f">>> {label} — symbol={symbol}")
+        for tf in TIMEFRAMES:
+            try:
+                ohlcv = loader.load(OHLCVRequest(
+                    symbol=symbol, timeframe=tf,
+                    start=datetime.fromisoformat("2018-09-01T00:00:00+00:00"),
+                    end=datetime.fromisoformat("2026-01-01T00:00:00+00:00"),
+                ))
+                evaluate(strat, ohlcv, engine, label, tf)
+            except Exception as e:
+                print(f"\n  >>> tick={tf} FAILED TO LOAD: {e}")
+
+
+if __name__ == "__main__":
+    main()

scripts/run_paper_trading.py

@@ -70,9 +70,11 @@ def load_assets(strategies_dir: Path) -> list[AssetConfig]:
         raise FileNotFoundError(
             f"Expected btc_*.json and eth_*.json in {strategies_dir}"
         )
+    # ETH winner c04dff7086 e' tunato su 5m: a 1h la strategia perde (cum_ret -33% 7y).
+    # BTC winner 238e4812 e' tunato su 1h: tick native = paper tick.
     return [
-        AssetConfig(symbol="BTC-PERPETUAL", strategy_file=btc_files[0]),
+        AssetConfig(symbol="BTC-PERPETUAL", strategy_file=btc_files[0], timeframe="1h"),
-        AssetConfig(symbol="ETH-PERPETUAL", strategy_file=eth_files[0]),
+        AssetConfig(symbol="ETH-PERPETUAL", strategy_file=eth_files[0], timeframe="5m"),
     ]
 
 

scripts/run_phase1.py

@@ -19,6 +19,30 @@ def _default_prompt_library_path() -> Path:
     return Path(str(importlib.resources.files("strategy_crypto") / "prompts.json"))
 
 
+# Default v2 hard-kill list: oltre ai degenerate originali, fees_eat_alpha e
+# negative_net_pnl sono deal-breaker non recuperabili via soft penalty (vedi
+# 7y-overfit incident 2026-05-16: elite IS Sharpe 1.93 -> net -5% su 7y per fees).
+_DEFAULT_V2_HARD_KILL: tuple[str, ...] = (
+    "no_trades",
+    "degenerate",
+    "undertrading",
+    "fees_eat_alpha",
+    "negative_net_pnl",
+)
+
+
+def _resolve_hard_kill(args) -> tuple[str, ...] | None:
+    """Resolve la lista hard-kill da CLI args.
+
+    Priority: ``--fitness-hard-kill`` esplicito > default v2 > ``None`` (v1).
+    """
+    if args.fitness_hard_kill:
+        return tuple(s.strip() for s in args.fitness_hard_kill.split(",") if s.strip())
+    if args.fitness_v2:
+        return _DEFAULT_V2_HARD_KILL
+    return None
+
+
 def parse_args() -> argparse.Namespace:
     p = argparse.ArgumentParser(description="Multi-Swarm Phase 1 runner")
     p.add_argument("--name", default="phase1-spike-001")
@@ -35,7 +59,10 @@ def parse_args() -> argparse.Namespace:
     )
     p.add_argument("--symbol", default="BTC-PERPETUAL")
     p.add_argument("--timeframe", default="1h")
-    p.add_argument("--start", default="2024-01-01T00:00:00+00:00")
+    # Default esteso a 7.3 anni: copre bear 2018-19, halving 2020, COVID,
+    # ATH 2021, winter 2022, ETF rally 2024, regime corrente. Una finestra
+    # corta lascia il GA libero di overfit a un singolo regime.
+    p.add_argument("--start", default="2018-09-01T00:00:00+00:00")
     p.add_argument("--end", default="2026-01-01T00:00:00+00:00")
     p.add_argument("--fees-bp", type=float, default=5.0)
     p.add_argument("--n-trials-dsr", type=int, default=50)
@@ -67,8 +94,10 @@ def parse_args() -> argparse.Namespace:
         "--fitness-v2",
         action="store_true",
         help=(
-            "Attiva fitness v2: solo {no_trades, degenerate, undertrading} azzerano; "
+            "Attiva fitness v2: hard-kill su {no_trades, degenerate, undertrading, "
-            "gli altri HIGH applicano soft penalty multiplicativa"
+            "fees_eat_alpha, negative_net_pnl}; gli altri HIGH applicano soft penalty "
+            "multiplicativa. Versione hardened post 7y-overfit incident: fees + "
+            "net negativo non sono recuperabili."
         ),
     )
     p.add_argument(
@@ -77,6 +106,16 @@ def parse_args() -> argparse.Namespace:
         default=0.4,
         help="v2: fattore soft penalty per HIGH non-hard (default 0.4 → 1 HIGH → 0.71x)",
     )
+    p.add_argument(
+        "--fitness-hard-kill",
+        type=str,
+        default=None,
+        help=(
+            "Override comma-separated della lista di finding name che azzerano la "
+            "fitness in modalita' v2. Es: 'no_trades,degenerate'. Default v2: "
+            "no_trades,degenerate,undertrading,fees_eat_alpha,negative_net_pnl."
+        ),
+    )
     p.add_argument(
         "--wfa-train-split",
         type=float,
@@ -114,6 +153,16 @@ def parse_args() -> argparse.Namespace:
             "Schema: {styles: {<name>: {directive: <testo>}}}"
         ),
     )
+    p.add_argument(
+        "--llm-concurrency",
+        type=int,
+        default=1,
+        help=(
+            "Numero di propose() LLM concorrenti per generazione (default 1 = "
+            "serial). 6-10 tipicamente accettati da OpenRouter qwen-2.5 senza "
+            "rate-limit; riduce wall time GA loop di 5-8x."
+        ),
+    )
     return p.parse_args()
 
 
@@ -178,15 +227,14 @@ def main() -> None:
         fees_eat_alpha_threshold=args.fees_eat_alpha_threshold,
         flat_too_long_threshold=args.flat_too_long_threshold,
         undertrading_threshold=args.undertrading_threshold,
-        fitness_hard_kill_findings=(
+        fitness_hard_kill_findings=_resolve_hard_kill(args),
-            ("no_trades", "degenerate", "undertrading") if args.fitness_v2 else None
-        ),
         fitness_adversarial_soft_penalty=args.fitness_soft_penalty,
         wfa_train_split=args.wfa_train_split,
         wfa_top_k=args.wfa_top_k,
         eval_oos_during_loop=args.eval_oos_during_loop,
         fitness_combined_alpha=args.fitness_combined_alpha,
         prompt_library=prompt_library,
+        llm_concurrency=args.llm_concurrency,
     )
 
     run_id = run_phase1(cfg, ohlcv=ohlcv, llm=llm)

scripts/validate_run.py

@@ -0,0 +1,271 @@
+"""Multi-fold validation di un run esistente.
+
+Prende un ``run_id`` da ``state/runs.db``, seleziona i top-K genomi per fitness IS,
+e li rivaluta su N fold expanding-window di un dataset OHLCV (tipicamente piu'
+lungo del train del GA). Output: per-fold + aggregati (mean / min / std) della
+fitness OOS.
+
+Use case: il GA puo' selezionare un "lucky-shot" overfit a uno specifico regime.
+Validare i top-K su finestre temporali diverse rivela quali strategie sono
+robuste vs overfitter.
+
+Esempio::
+
+  python scripts/validate_run.py \\
+    --run-id e263651598894da688d95fda90a34a96 \\
+    --top-k 10 --n-folds 4 \\
+    --symbol BTC-PERPETUAL --timeframe 1h \\
+    --start 2018-09-01 --end 2026-01-01
+"""
+
+from __future__ import annotations
+
+import argparse
+import json
+import statistics
+from datetime import datetime
+from pathlib import Path
+
+import pandas as pd  # type: ignore[import-untyped]
+
+from multi_swarm_core.agents.adversarial import AdversarialAgent
+from multi_swarm_core.agents.falsification import FalsificationAgent
+from multi_swarm_core.agents.hypothesis import _try_parse
+from multi_swarm_core.cerbero.client import CerberoClient
+from multi_swarm_core.config import load_settings
+from multi_swarm_core.data.cerbero_ohlcv import CerberoOHLCVLoader, OHLCVRequest
+from multi_swarm_core.data.splits import expanding_walk_forward
+from multi_swarm_core.ga.fitness import compute_fitness
+from multi_swarm_core.persistence.repository import Repository
+
+
+def parse_args() -> argparse.Namespace:
+    p = argparse.ArgumentParser(description="Multi-fold validation di top-K genomi")
+    p.add_argument("--run-id", required=True, help="run_id da validare")
+    p.add_argument("--top-k", type=int, default=10, help="quanti genomi top valutare")
+    p.add_argument("--n-folds", type=int, default=4, help="numero fold expanding-window")
+    p.add_argument(
+        "--train-ratio",
+        type=float,
+        default=0.5,
+        help="frazione iniziale per il train iniziale (folds testano la coda)",
+    )
+    p.add_argument("--symbol", default="BTC-PERPETUAL")
+    p.add_argument("--timeframe", default="1h")
+    p.add_argument("--exchange", default="deribit", choices=["deribit", "bybit", "hyperliquid"])
+    p.add_argument("--start", default="2018-09-01T00:00:00+00:00")
+    p.add_argument("--end", default="2026-01-01T00:00:00+00:00")
+    p.add_argument("--fees-bp", type=float, default=5.0)
+    p.add_argument("--n-trials-dsr", type=int, default=50)
+    p.add_argument(
+        "--fees-eat-alpha-threshold", type=float, default=0.5,
+    )
+    p.add_argument(
+        "--flat-too-long-threshold", type=float, default=0.95,
+    )
+    p.add_argument(
+        "--undertrading-threshold", type=int, default=10,
+    )
+    p.add_argument(
+        "--fitness-v2", action="store_true",
+        help="Coerente con --fitness-v2 del run originale",
+    )
+    p.add_argument(
+        "--fitness-soft-penalty", type=float, default=0.4,
+    )
+    p.add_argument(
+        "--output-json",
+        type=Path,
+        default=None,
+        help="Path JSON dove salvare i risultati (default: stdout solo)",
+    )
+    return p.parse_args()
+
+
+def main() -> None:
+    args = parse_args()
+    settings = load_settings()
+
+    # Repository: top-K genomi per fitness IS, con raw_text parsable.
+    repo = Repository(settings.ga_db_path)
+    repo.init_schema()
+    run = repo.get_run(args.run_id)
+    if run is None:
+        raise SystemExit(f"run_id non trovato: {args.run_id}")
+    print(f"Validating run: {run['name']} ({args.run_id})")
+    print(f"  status: {run['status']}, cost: ${run['total_cost_usd']:.4f}")
+
+    all_evals = repo.list_evaluations(args.run_id)
+    parseable = [
+        e for e in all_evals
+        if e.get("raw_text") and not e.get("parse_error") and e["fitness"] > 0
+    ]
+    parseable.sort(key=lambda e: e["fitness"], reverse=True)
+
+    # Dedup by genome_id (gli elite vengono salvati una sola volta ma possono apparire
+    # in evaluations multiple se rivalutati con eval_oos_during_loop).
+    seen_ids: set[str] = set()
+    top_genomes: list[dict] = []
+    for e in parseable:
+        if e["genome_id"] in seen_ids:
+            continue
+        seen_ids.add(e["genome_id"])
+        top_genomes.append(e)
+        if len(top_genomes) >= args.top_k:
+            break
+    print(f"  selected top-{len(top_genomes)} genomes for validation")
+
+    # OHLCV: carica il dataset esteso.
+    token = (
+        settings.cerbero_mainnet_token.get_secret_value()
+        if settings.cerbero_mainnet_token
+        else settings.cerbero_testnet_token.get_secret_value()
+    )
+    cerbero = CerberoClient(
+        base_url=settings.cerbero_base_url,
+        token=token,
+        bot_tag=settings.cerbero_bot_tag,
+    )
+    loader = CerberoOHLCVLoader(client=cerbero, cache_dir=settings.series_dir)
+    req = OHLCVRequest(
+        symbol=args.symbol,
+        timeframe=args.timeframe,
+        start=datetime.fromisoformat(args.start),
+        end=datetime.fromisoformat(args.end),
+        exchange=args.exchange,
+    )
+    ohlcv = loader.load(req)
+    print(f"  OHLCV: {len(ohlcv)} bars from {ohlcv.index[0]} to {ohlcv.index[-1]}")
+
+    splits = expanding_walk_forward(
+        ohlcv.index, train_ratio=args.train_ratio, n_folds=args.n_folds,
+    )
+    print(f"  generated {len(splits)} folds")
+    for s in splits:
+        print(f"    fold {s.fold}: test [{s.test_idx[0]} -> {s.test_idx[-1]}] ({len(s.test_idx)} bars)")
+
+    fals_agent = FalsificationAgent(fees_bp=args.fees_bp, n_trials_dsr=args.n_trials_dsr)
+    adv_agent = AdversarialAgent(
+        fees_bp=args.fees_bp,
+        fees_eat_alpha_threshold=args.fees_eat_alpha_threshold,
+        flat_too_long_threshold=args.flat_too_long_threshold,
+        undertrading_threshold=args.undertrading_threshold,
+    )
+    hard_kill = (
+        ("no_trades", "degenerate", "undertrading") if args.fitness_v2 else None
+    )
+
+    # Itera per ogni genome + fold.
+    results: list[dict] = []
+    for gi, ev in enumerate(top_genomes):
+        strategy, parse_err = _try_parse(ev["raw_text"] or "")
+        if strategy is None:
+            print(f"  [{gi}] {ev['genome_id'][:12]} skip (parse error: {parse_err})")
+            continue
+
+        per_fold: list[dict] = []
+        for s in splits:
+            test_df = ohlcv.loc[s.test_idx]
+            try:
+                fals = fals_agent.evaluate(strategy, test_df)
+                adv = adv_agent.review(strategy, test_df)
+                fit = compute_fitness(
+                    fals, adv,
+                    hard_kill_findings=hard_kill,
+                    adversarial_soft_penalty=args.fitness_soft_penalty,
+                )
+            except Exception as e:
+                print(f"    fold {s.fold} eval failed: {e}")
+                continue
+            per_fold.append({
+                "fold": s.fold,
+                "fitness": float(fit),
+                "sharpe": float(fals.sharpe),
+                "dsr": float(fals.dsr),
+                "dsr_pvalue": float(fals.dsr_pvalue),
+                "return": float(fals.total_return),
+                "max_dd": float(fals.max_drawdown),
+                "n_trades": int(fals.n_trades),
+                "test_start": str(s.test_idx[0]),
+                "test_end": str(s.test_idx[-1]),
+            })
+
+        if not per_fold:
+            continue
+
+        fits = [pf["fitness"] for pf in per_fold]
+        sharps = [pf["sharpe"] for pf in per_fold]
+        results.append({
+            "genome_id": ev["genome_id"],
+            "fitness_is": float(ev["fitness"]),
+            "sharpe_is": float(ev["sharpe"]),
+            "folds": per_fold,
+            "fitness_oos_mean": statistics.mean(fits),
+            "fitness_oos_min": min(fits),
+            "fitness_oos_max": max(fits),
+            "fitness_oos_std": statistics.pstdev(fits) if len(fits) > 1 else 0.0,
+            "sharpe_oos_mean": statistics.mean(sharps),
+            "sharpe_oos_min": min(sharps),
+            "robust_score": min(fits),  # min across folds = pessimismo
+        })
+
+    # Ranking finale: per robust_score (min fitness) decrescente.
+    results.sort(key=lambda r: r["robust_score"], reverse=True)
+
+    print()
+    print(f"{'='*120}")
+    print(f"VALIDATION RESULTS ({len(results)} genomes, {len(splits)} folds)")
+    print(f"{'='*120}")
+    print(
+        f"{'rank':>4} {'genome':12} {'fit_is':>8} {'sh_is':>7} "
+        f"{'fit_mean':>9} {'fit_min':>8} {'fit_max':>8} {'fit_std':>8} "
+        f"{'sh_mean':>8} {'sh_min':>8} {'robust':>7}"
+    )
+    print("-" * 120)
+    for rank, r in enumerate(results, 1):
+        print(
+            f"{rank:>4} {r['genome_id'][:12]:12} "
+            f"{r['fitness_is']:>8.4f} {r['sharpe_is']:>7.3f} "
+            f"{r['fitness_oos_mean']:>9.4f} {r['fitness_oos_min']:>8.4f} "
+            f"{r['fitness_oos_max']:>8.4f} {r['fitness_oos_std']:>8.4f} "
+            f"{r['sharpe_oos_mean']:>8.3f} {r['sharpe_oos_min']:>8.3f} "
+            f"{r['robust_score']:>7.4f}"
+        )
+
+    if results:
+        winner = results[0]
+        print()
+        print(f"ROBUST WINNER: {winner['genome_id']}")
+        print(f"  fitness_is={winner['fitness_is']:.4f}, "
+              f"fitness_oos_min={winner['fitness_oos_min']:.4f}, "
+              f"fitness_oos_mean={winner['fitness_oos_mean']:.4f}")
+        print(f"  sharpe_is={winner['sharpe_is']:.3f}, "
+              f"sharpe_oos_min={winner['sharpe_oos_min']:.3f}")
+        print(f"  per-fold breakdown:")
+        for pf in winner["folds"]:
+            print(
+                f"    fold {pf['fold']} [{pf['test_start'][:10]} .. {pf['test_end'][:10]}]: "
+                f"fit={pf['fitness']:.4f} sharpe={pf['sharpe']:.3f} "
+                f"ret={pf['return']:.3f} n_trades={pf['n_trades']}"
+            )
+
+    if args.output_json:
+        payload = {
+            "run_id": args.run_id,
+            "run_name": run["name"],
+            "n_folds": len(splits),
+            "top_k_requested": args.top_k,
+            "top_k_evaluated": len(results),
+            "symbol": args.symbol,
+            "timeframe": args.timeframe,
+            "start": args.start,
+            "end": args.end,
+            "ohlcv_bars": len(ohlcv),
+            "results": results,
+        }
+        args.output_json.write_text(json.dumps(payload, indent=2, default=str))
+        print(f"\nResults saved to: {args.output_json}")
+
+
+if __name__ == "__main__":
+    main()

scripts/yearly_strategies.py

@@ -0,0 +1,112 @@
+"""Per-year breakdown delle 4 strategie: 2 NEW (BTC 238e4812 + ETH c04dff7086)
++ 2 OLD freezate (btc_9cf506b8 hardened-001 + eth_facd6af85d5d).
+
+Backtest anno-per-anno (2019-2025) sul tick di discovery di ciascuna strategia.
+Output: trade, wins/losses, win%, return%, max DD%, Sharpe per ogni anno.
+"""
+from __future__ import annotations
+
+from datetime import datetime
+from pathlib import Path
+
+from multi_swarm_core.backtest.engine import BacktestEngine
+from multi_swarm_core.cerbero.client import CerberoClient
+from multi_swarm_core.config import load_settings
+from multi_swarm_core.data.cerbero_ohlcv import CerberoOHLCVLoader, OHLCVRequest
+from multi_swarm_core.metrics.basic import max_drawdown, sharpe_ratio, total_return
+from multi_swarm_core.protocol.compiler import compile_strategy
+from multi_swarm_core.protocol.parser import parse_strategy
+
+
+STRATEGIES = [
+    # (label, path, symbol, timeframe)
+    ("BTC NEW (238e4812, paper attuale)", "btc_238e4812.json", "BTC-PERPETUAL", "1h"),
+    ("BTC OLD (9cf506b8, hardened-001 prev paper)", "archive/btc_9cf506b8.json", "BTC-PERPETUAL", "1h"),
+    ("ETH NEW (c04dff7086, paper attuale)", "eth_c04dff7086.json", "ETH-PERPETUAL", "5m"),
+    ("ETH OLD (facd6af85d5d, prev paper)", "archive/eth_facd6af85d5d.json", "ETH-PERPETUAL", "1h"),
+]
+
+YEARS = [
+    ("2019", "2019-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "2020-01-01T00:00:00+00:00"),
+    ("2020", "2020-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "2021-01-01T00:00:00+00:00"),
+    ("2021", "2021-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "2022-01-01T00:00:00+00:00"),
+    ("2022", "2022-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "2023-01-01T00:00:00+00:00"),
+    ("2023", "2023-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "2024-01-01T00:00:00+00:00"),
+    ("2024", "2024-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "2025-01-01T00:00:00+00:00"),
+    ("2025", "2025-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "2026-01-01T00:00:00+00:00"),
+]
+
+
+def main() -> None:
+    settings = load_settings()
+    token = (
+        settings.cerbero_mainnet_token.get_secret_value()
+        if settings.cerbero_mainnet_token
+        else settings.cerbero_testnet_token.get_secret_value()
+    )
+    cerbero = CerberoClient(
+        base_url=settings.cerbero_base_url,
+        token=token,
+        bot_tag=settings.cerbero_bot_tag,
+    )
+    loader = CerberoOHLCVLoader(client=cerbero, cache_dir=settings.series_dir)
+    engine = BacktestEngine(fees_bp=5.0)
+    strategies_dir = Path("/app/strategies")
+
+    for label, fname, symbol, timeframe in STRATEGIES:
+        path = strategies_dir / fname
+        strat = parse_strategy(path.read_text())
+
+        # Carica intero range una volta sola
+        ohlcv = loader.load(OHLCVRequest(
+            symbol=symbol, timeframe=timeframe,
+            start=datetime.fromisoformat("2018-09-01T00:00:00+00:00"),
+            end=datetime.fromisoformat("2026-01-01T00:00:00+00:00"),
+        ))
+
+        print(f"\n{'=' * 110}")
+        print(f">>> {label}")
+        print(f"    symbol={symbol} timeframe={timeframe} | {len(ohlcv)} bars total")
+        print(f"    {'year':<6} {'bars':>6} {'trades':>7} {'wins':>5} {'losses':>7} {'win%':>6} {'avg_w':>10} {'avg_l':>10} {'ret':>8} {'maxDD':>7} {'sharpe':>7}")
+
+        sum_ret = 0.0
+        sum_trades = 0
+        sum_wins = 0
+        for year_label, start, end in YEARS:
+            mask = (ohlcv.index >= datetime.fromisoformat(start)) & (ohlcv.index < datetime.fromisoformat(end))
+            slice_df = ohlcv[mask]
+            if len(slice_df) == 0:
+                continue
+            try:
+                signal_fn = compile_strategy(strat)
+                signals = signal_fn(slice_df)
+                bt = engine.run(slice_df, signals)
+            except Exception as e:
+                print(f"    {year_label:<6} ERROR: {e}")
+                continue
+            trades = bt.trades
+            n = len(trades)
+            wins = [t.net_pnl for t in trades if t.net_pnl > 0]
+            losses = [t.net_pnl for t in trades if t.net_pnl <= 0]
+            nw, nl = len(wins), len(losses)
+            wr = (nw / n * 100) if n else 0.0
+            aw = (sum(wins) / nw) if nw else 0.0
+            al = (sum(losses) / nl) if nl else 0.0
+            if n > 0:
+                notional = float(slice_df["close"].iloc[0])
+                eq = (bt.equity_curve / notional) + 1.0
+                ret = total_return(eq)
+                dd = max_drawdown(eq)
+                sr = sharpe_ratio(bt.returns, periods_per_year=8760)
+            else:
+                ret = dd = sr = 0.0
+            print(f"    {year_label:<6} {len(slice_df):>6} {n:>7} {nw:>5} {nl:>7} {wr:>5.1f}% {aw:>10.1f} {al:>10.1f} {ret:>7.2%} {dd:>6.2%} {sr:>7.3f}")
+            sum_ret += ret
+            sum_trades += n
+            sum_wins += nw
+        overall_wr = (sum_wins / sum_trades * 100) if sum_trades else 0.0
+        print(f"    {'='*5} TOTALS 7y:                 {sum_trades:>7} {sum_wins:>5} {sum_trades-sum_wins:>7} {overall_wr:>5.1f}%                       cum_ret={sum_ret:+.2%}")
+
+
+if __name__ == "__main__":
+    main()

src/multi_swarm_core/multi_swarm_core/agents/adversarial.py

@@ -172,10 +172,11 @@ class AdversarialAgent:
                 )
             )
 
-        # Fees-eat-alpha: gross_pnl > 0 ma fees > 50% del lordo.
+        # Fees-eat-alpha: gross_pnl > 0 ma fees > soglia del lordo.
         # La strategia ha edge teorico ma il margine viene mangiato dai
         # costi di transazione: non sostenibile in produzione.
-        # Se gross_pnl <= 0 il check non si applica (gia' perdente).
+        # Se gross_pnl <= 0 il check non si applica (la condizione e' coperta
+        # da ``negative_net_pnl`` sotto).
         gross_pnl = sum(t.gross_pnl for t in result.trades)
         total_fees = sum(t.fees for t in result.trades)
         if gross_pnl > 0 and total_fees / gross_pnl > self._fees_eat_alpha_threshold:
@@ -190,4 +191,22 @@ class AdversarialAgent:
                 )
             )
 
+        # Negative-net-pnl: somma di ``trade.net_pnl`` < 0 sul training.
+        # Cattura sia il caso "gross negativo" (no edge direzionale) sia il
+        # caso "gross positivo ma fees superiori a gross" (edge insufficiente).
+        # Sintesi del net-after-fees su finestra continua: deal-breaker, non
+        # negoziabile via soft penalty.
+        net_pnl = gross_pnl - total_fees
+        if net_pnl < 0:
+            report.findings.append(
+                Finding(
+                    name="negative_net_pnl",
+                    severity=Severity.HIGH,
+                    detail=(
+                        f"Net PnL ${net_pnl:.2f} < 0 after fees over {n_bars} bars; "
+                        f"gross ${gross_pnl:.2f}, fees ${total_fees:.2f}"
+                    ),
+                )
+            )
+
         return report

src/multi_swarm_core/multi_swarm_core/backtest/engine.py

@@ -2,6 +2,7 @@ from __future__ import annotations
 
 from dataclasses import dataclass
 
+import numpy as np
 import pandas as pd  # type: ignore[import-untyped]
 
 from .orders import Position, Side, Trade
@@ -28,74 +29,110 @@ class BacktestEngine:
         self.fees_bp = fees_bp
 
     def run(self, ohlcv: pd.DataFrame, signals: pd.Series) -> BacktestResult:
+        n = len(ohlcv)
+        if n == 0:
+            empty = pd.Series([], dtype=float)
+            return BacktestResult(equity_curve=empty, returns=empty, trades=[])
+
         signals = signals.reindex(ohlcv.index).ffill().fillna(Side.FLAT)
-
         # Esecuzione con delay 1: segnale a t-1 esegue a open di t.
-        shifted = [Side.FLAT, *list(signals.iloc[:-1])]
+        executed = pd.Series(
-        executed_side = pd.Series(shifted, index=ohlcv.index, dtype=object)
+            [Side.FLAT, *list(signals.iloc[:-1])],
+            index=ohlcv.index,
+            dtype=object,
+        )
+
+        # Codifica side in int per vectorizzazione: 0=FLAT, +1=LONG, -1=SHORT.
+        side_code = np.where(
+            executed.values == Side.LONG, 1,
+            np.where(executed.values == Side.SHORT, -1, 0),
+        ).astype(np.int8)
+        opens = ohlcv["open"].to_numpy(dtype=np.float64)
+        closes = ohlcv["close"].to_numpy(dtype=np.float64)
+        ts_index = ohlcv.index
+
+        # Identifica transizioni: punto in cui side[i] != side[i-1] (con side[-1]=0).
+        prev = np.concatenate(([0], side_code[:-1]))
+        change = side_code != prev
+
+        # Indici di entry (cambio verso side != 0).
+        entry_idxs = np.flatnonzero(change & (side_code != 0))
+        # Indici di chiusura: per ogni entry, il prossimo indice dove side[i] != side_entry.
+        # Vectorized: per ogni entry_idx, cerca change & side != side_entry oltre l'entry.
 
-        position: Position | None = None
-        position_entry_ts: pd.Timestamp | None = None
         trades: list[Trade] = []
-        equity = 0.0
+        # realized_pnl[t]: PnL netto cumulato dopo le chiusure avvenute a OPEN di t.
-        equity_history: list[float] = []
+        realized_pnl = np.zeros(n, dtype=np.float64)
-        returns_history: list[float] = []
+        fees_rate = self.fees_bp / 10000.0
-        prev_equity = 0.0
+        size = 1.0
 
-        for ts, row in ohlcv.iterrows():
+        # Posizione corrente all'inizio di ogni indice t (prima di applicare il transitorio):
-            target_side = executed_side.loc[ts]
+        # used per MtM computation. open_side_at_t / open_entry_at_t.
-            current_side = position.side if position else Side.FLAT
+        open_side = np.zeros(n, dtype=np.int8)
+        open_entry = np.zeros(n, dtype=np.float64)
 
-            if target_side != current_side:
+        for entry_idx in entry_idxs:
-                if position is not None:
+            entry_side = int(side_code[entry_idx])
-                    assert position_entry_ts is not None
+            entry_price = opens[entry_idx]
-                    trade = Trade(
+            # Cerca exit: primo indice > entry_idx dove side differisce.
-                        entry_ts=position_entry_ts,
+            after = side_code[entry_idx + 1:]
-                        exit_ts=ts,
+            rel = np.flatnonzero(after != entry_side)
-                        side=position.side,
+            if rel.size > 0:
-                        size=position.size,
+                exit_idx = entry_idx + 1 + int(rel[0])
-                        entry_price=position.entry_price,
+                exit_price = opens[exit_idx]
-                        exit_price=float(row["open"]),
+                exit_ts = ts_index[exit_idx]
+                gross = entry_side * (exit_price - entry_price) * size
+                fees = fees_rate * size * (entry_price + exit_price)
+                net = gross - fees
+                # La chiusura avviene a open[exit_idx]: dal bar exit_idx in poi il
+                # PnL e' realizzato (non piu' MtM).
+                realized_pnl[exit_idx:] += net
+                # Posizione aperta in [entry_idx, exit_idx-1].
+                open_side[entry_idx:exit_idx] = entry_side
+                open_entry[entry_idx:exit_idx] = entry_price
+                trades.append(Trade(
+                    entry_ts=ts_index[entry_idx],
+                    exit_ts=exit_ts,
+                    side=Side.LONG if entry_side == 1 else Side.SHORT,
+                    size=size,
+                    entry_price=entry_price,
+                    exit_price=exit_price,
                     fees_bp=self.fees_bp,
-                    )
+                ))
-                    trades.append(trade)
+            else:
-                    equity += trade.net_pnl
+                # Ultima posizione ancora aperta: chiusura forced a close[-1].
-                    position = None
+                # Parita' col loop legacy: MtM su [entry_idx, n-1), realized totale
-                    position_entry_ts = None
+                # SOLO al bar n-1 (legacy fa equity_history[-1] = equity).
-                if target_side in (Side.LONG, Side.SHORT):
+                last_close = closes[-1]
-                    position = Position(
+                gross = entry_side * (last_close - entry_price) * size
-                        side=target_side, entry_price=float(row["open"]), size=1.0
+                fees = fees_rate * size * (entry_price + last_close)
-                    )
+                net = gross - fees
-                    position_entry_ts = ts
+                if entry_idx < n - 1:
-
+                    open_side[entry_idx:n - 1] = entry_side
-            mark = float(row["close"])
+                    open_entry[entry_idx:n - 1] = entry_price
-            mtm = position.unrealized_pnl(mark) if position else 0.0
+                realized_pnl[-1] += net
-            current_equity = equity + mtm
+                trades.append(Trade(
-            equity_history.append(current_equity)
+                    entry_ts=ts_index[entry_idx],
-            returns_history.append(current_equity - prev_equity)
+                    exit_ts=ts_index[-1],
-            prev_equity = current_equity
+                    side=Side.LONG if entry_side == 1 else Side.SHORT,
-
+                    size=size,
-        if position is not None:
+                    entry_price=entry_price,
-            assert position_entry_ts is not None
-            last_ts = ohlcv.index[-1]
-            last_close = float(ohlcv["close"].iloc[-1])
-            trade = Trade(
-                entry_ts=position_entry_ts,
-                exit_ts=last_ts,
-                side=position.side,
-                size=position.size,
-                entry_price=position.entry_price,
                     exit_price=last_close,
                     fees_bp=self.fees_bp,
-            )
+                ))
-            trades.append(trade)
+
-            equity += trade.net_pnl
+        # MtM unrealized per ogni bar in cui c'e' una posizione aperta.
-            equity_history[-1] = equity
+        mtm = open_side.astype(np.float64) * (closes - open_entry) * size
-            if len(returns_history) >= 2:
+        equity_arr = realized_pnl + mtm
-                returns_history[-1] = equity - equity_history[-2]
+        # Returns = first diff dell'equity (col loop legacy il primo bar e' equity[0]-0).
+        returns_arr = np.concatenate(([equity_arr[0]], np.diff(equity_arr)))
 
         return BacktestResult(
-            equity_curve=pd.Series(equity_history, index=ohlcv.index, name="equity"),
+            equity_curve=pd.Series(equity_arr, index=ts_index, name="equity"),
-            returns=pd.Series(returns_history, index=ohlcv.index, name="returns"),
+            returns=pd.Series(returns_arr, index=ts_index, name="returns"),
             trades=trades,
         )
+
+
+# Lo facade Position re-export e' tenuto per backward-compat con import legacy.
+__all__ = ["BacktestEngine", "BacktestResult", "Position", "Side", "Signal", "Trade"]

src/multi_swarm_core/multi_swarm_core/orchestrator/run.py

@@ -13,6 +13,7 @@ possa leggere lo stato a run terminato (o in corso).
 from __future__ import annotations
 
 import random
+from concurrent.futures import ThreadPoolExecutor
 from dataclasses import dataclass, field
 from pathlib import Path
 
@@ -20,13 +21,13 @@ import pandas as pd  # type: ignore[import-untyped]
 
 from ..agents.adversarial import AdversarialAgent
 from ..agents.falsification import FalsificationAgent
-from ..agents.hypothesis import HypothesisAgent
+from ..agents.hypothesis import HypothesisAgent, HypothesisProposal, MarketSummary
 from ..agents.market_summary import build_market_summary
 from ..ga.fitness import compute_fitness
 from ..ga.initial import build_initial_population
 from ..ga.loop import GAConfig, next_generation
 from ..ga.summary import generation_summary
-from ..genome.hypothesis import ModelTier
+from ..genome.hypothesis import HypothesisAgentGenome, ModelTier
 from ..genome.mutation import set_cognitive_styles
 from ..genome.prompt_library import PromptLibrary
 from ..llm.client import LLMClient
@@ -73,6 +74,29 @@ class RunConfig:
     # i 6 builtin (PromptLibrary.default()). Tipicamente caricata da
     # strategy_crypto/prompts.json via PromptLibrary.from_json().
     prompt_library: PromptLibrary | None = None
+    # Numero di propose() LLM concorrenti per generazione. 1 = sequenziale (default,
+    # backward compat). 6-10 tipicamente accettati da OpenRouter qwen-2.5 senza
+    # rate-limit. Riduce wall time GA loop di 5-8x su tier C.
+    llm_concurrency: int = 1
+
+
+def _parallel_propose(
+    agent: HypothesisAgent,
+    genomes: list[HypothesisAgentGenome],
+    market: MarketSummary,
+    n_workers: int,
+) -> list[HypothesisProposal]:
+    """Esegue ``agent.propose()`` su una lista di genomi, opzionalmente in parallelo.
+
+    ``n_workers <= 1`` mantiene il comportamento serial originale (ordine fisso,
+    determinismo data un seed). ``n_workers > 1`` usa un thread pool: l'order
+    dei risultati e' preservato (1:1 con ``genomes``). OpenAI/openrouter client
+    e' thread-safe; ``PromptLibrary`` e ``HypothesisAgent`` non hanno stato mutabile.
+    """
+    if n_workers <= 1 or len(genomes) <= 1:
+        return [agent.propose(g, market) for g in genomes]
+    with ThreadPoolExecutor(max_workers=n_workers) as pool:
+        return list(pool.map(lambda g: agent.propose(g, market), genomes))
 
 
 def run_phase1(
@@ -88,10 +112,16 @@ def run_phase1(
 
     repo = Repository(cfg.db_path)
     repo.init_schema()
+    # Escludi prompt_library (PromptLibrary dataclass non e' JSON-serializable);
+    # salva solo i nomi degli stili per reproducibility.
     config_dict = {
-        **cfg.__dict__,
+        **{k: v for k, v in cfg.__dict__.items() if k != "prompt_library"},
         "db_path": str(cfg.db_path),
         "model_tier": cfg.model_tier.value,
+        "prompt_library_styles": (
+            list(cfg.prompt_library.cognitive_styles)
+            if cfg.prompt_library is not None else None
+        ),
     }
     run_id = repo.create_run(name=cfg.run_name, config=config_dict)
 
@@ -142,11 +172,20 @@ def run_phase1(
 
     try:
         for gen in range(cfg.n_generations):
+            # Step 1: raccogli i genomi da valutare in questa generazione (esclude
+            # elite gia' presenti nella cache fitnesses) e lancia propose() in
+            # parallelo. La sezione DB-write resta serial sotto.
+            uncached = [g for g in population if g.id not in fitnesses]
+            proposals = _parallel_propose(
+                hypothesis_agent, uncached, market, cfg.llm_concurrency
+            )
+            proposal_by_id = {g.id: p for g, p in zip(uncached, proposals, strict=True)}
+
             for genome in population:
                 if genome.id in fitnesses:
                     continue  # elite gia' valutata in generazione precedente
                 repo.save_genome(run_id=run_id, generation_idx=gen, genome=genome)
-                proposal = hypothesis_agent.propose(genome, market)
+                proposal = proposal_by_id[genome.id]
                 # Registra costo per OGNI completion (incluse retry).
                 for completion in proposal.completions:
                     cost_record = cost_tracker.record(
@@ -220,7 +259,7 @@ def run_phase1(
                             cfg.fitness_combined_alpha * fit
                             + (1.0 - cfg.fitness_combined_alpha) * fit_oos_inloop
                         )
-                    except Exception:  # noqa: BLE001
+                    except Exception:
                         pass  # fallback: usa solo IS
                 repo.save_evaluation(
                     run_id=run_id,
@@ -261,7 +300,7 @@ def run_phase1(
         # WFA re-eval: i top_k genomi (by fitness in-sample > 0) vengono rivalutati
         # sul test_ohlcv. Le metriche OOS finiscono in evaluations.fitness_oos etc.
         if test_ohlcv is not None and len(test_ohlcv) >= 100:
-            from ..agents.hypothesis import _try_parse  # noqa: PLC0415
+            from ..agents.hypothesis import _try_parse
 
             all_evals = repo.list_evaluations(run_id)
             top_evals = sorted(
@@ -276,7 +315,7 @@ def run_phase1(
                 try:
                     fals_oos = falsification_agent.evaluate(strategy, test_ohlcv)
                     adv_oos = adversarial_agent.review(strategy, test_ohlcv)
-                except Exception:  # noqa: BLE001
+                except Exception:
                     continue
                 fit_oos = compute_fitness(
                     fals_oos, adv_oos,

src/multi_swarm_core/tests/integration/test_e2e_minimal_run.py

@@ -108,7 +108,13 @@ def test_e2e_wfa_populates_fitness_oos(
     fake_llm,
     mocker,
 ):
-    """WFA: train_split=0.7 → top genomi devono avere fitness_oos popolato."""
+    """WFA: train_split=0.7 → top genomi devono avere fitness_oos popolato.
+
+    Usa fitness v2 con hard-kill minimale (solo no_trades): il fixture sintetico
+    non produce strategie profittevoli, quindi i check aggressivi
+    fees_eat_alpha/negative_net_pnl azzererebbero tutti i genomi rendendo
+    inverificabile il wiring WFA.
+    """
     cfg = RunConfig(
         run_name="e2e-wfa-test",
         population_size=5,
@@ -125,6 +131,7 @@ def test_e2e_wfa_populates_fitness_oos(
         db_path=tmp_path / "runs.db",
         wfa_train_split=0.7,
         wfa_top_k=3,
+        fitness_hard_kill_findings=("no_trades",),
     )
     run_id = run_phase1(cfg, ohlcv=synthetic_ohlcv, llm=fake_llm)
     repo = Repository(db_path=tmp_path / "runs.db")

src/multi_swarm_core/tests/unit/test_adversarial.py

@@ -3,7 +3,6 @@ import json
 import numpy as np
 import pandas as pd
 import pytest
-
 from multi_swarm_core.agents.adversarial import (
     AdversarialAgent,
     AdversarialReport,
@@ -54,7 +53,10 @@ def test_degenerate_always_long_flagged(ohlcv: pd.DataFrame) -> None:
     assert any(f.name == "degenerate" and f.severity == Severity.HIGH for f in report.findings)
 
 
-def test_no_findings_on_reasonable_strategy(ohlcv: pd.DataFrame) -> None:
+def test_rsi_mean_reversion_loses_money_on_synthetic_data(ohlcv: pd.DataFrame) -> None:
+    """RSI mean-reversion sul fixture sintetico ha net negativo: deve firare
+    negative_net_pnl (deal-breaker). Conferma che il check cattura strategie
+    che perdono sul training, indipendentemente dal motivo (no edge / fees)."""
     src = json.dumps(
         {
             "rules": [
@@ -84,8 +86,59 @@ def test_no_findings_on_reasonable_strategy(ohlcv: pd.DataFrame) -> None:
     ast = parse_strategy(src)
     agent = AdversarialAgent()
     report = agent.review(ast, ohlcv)
+    assert any(
+        f.name == "negative_net_pnl" and f.severity == Severity.HIGH
+        for f in report.findings
+    )
+
+
+def test_profitable_strategy_no_high_findings(
+    monkeypatch: pytest.MonkeyPatch, ohlcv: pd.DataFrame
+) -> None:
+    """Sanity test: una strategia con gross > 0 e fees << gross + n_trades ragionevole
+    + signal misto non deve produrre nessun finding HIGH."""
+    n = 15
+    # entry=100 exit=110 gross=10 per trade, fees a 5bp -> 0.105 per trade
+    # totali: gross=150, fees=1.575 -> net=+148.4
+    fake_trades = [
+        _make_trade(
+            ohlcv.index[i * 30],
+            ohlcv.index[i * 30 + 1],
+            entry_price=100.0,
+            exit_price=110.0,
+        )
+        for i in range(n)
+    ]
+    # 50/50 LONG/FLAT per evitare degenerate/flat_too_long/time_in_market.
+    fake_signals = pd.Series(
+        [Side.LONG if i % 2 == 0 else Side.FLAT for i in range(len(ohlcv))],
+        index=ohlcv.index,
+        dtype=object,
+    )
+
+    def fake_run(self, ohlcv: pd.DataFrame, signals: pd.Series) -> BacktestResult:  # type: ignore[no-untyped-def]
+        return BacktestResult(
+            equity_curve=pd.Series([0.0] * len(ohlcv), index=ohlcv.index, name="equity"),
+            returns=pd.Series([0.0] * len(ohlcv), index=ohlcv.index, name="returns"),
+            trades=fake_trades,
+        )
+
+    def fake_compile(strategy):  # type: ignore[no-untyped-def]
+        return lambda df: fake_signals
+
+    monkeypatch.setattr(
+        "multi_swarm_core.agents.adversarial.BacktestEngine.run", fake_run
+    )
+    monkeypatch.setattr(
+        "multi_swarm_core.agents.adversarial.compile_strategy", fake_compile
+    )
+
+    ast = parse_strategy(_MINIMAL_STRATEGY_SRC)
+    report = AdversarialAgent().review(ast, ohlcv)
     high_findings = [f for f in report.findings if f.severity == Severity.HIGH]
-    assert len(high_findings) == 0
+    assert high_findings == [], (
+        f"expected no HIGH findings, got: {[f.name for f in high_findings]}"
+    )
 
 
 def test_zero_trade_strategy_flagged(ohlcv: pd.DataFrame) -> None:
@@ -383,6 +436,55 @@ def test_fees_eat_alpha_flagged(monkeypatch: pytest.MonkeyPatch,
     )
 
 
+def test_negative_net_pnl_fires_on_negative_gross(
+    monkeypatch: pytest.MonkeyPatch, ohlcv: pd.DataFrame
+) -> None:
+    """gross_pnl < 0 (perdente direzionale) -> HIGH negative_net_pnl.
+    fees_eat_alpha NON deve firare perche' la sua condizione richiede gross > 0.
+    """
+    n = 15
+    # entry=100 exit=95 gross=-5 per trade (LONG perdente)
+    fake_trades = [
+        _make_trade(
+            ohlcv.index[i * 30],
+            ohlcv.index[i * 30 + 1],
+            entry_price=100.0,
+            exit_price=95.0,
+        )
+        for i in range(n)
+    ]
+    fake_signals = pd.Series(
+        [Side.LONG if i % 2 == 0 else Side.FLAT for i in range(len(ohlcv))],
+        index=ohlcv.index,
+        dtype=object,
+    )
+
+    def fake_run(self, ohlcv, signals):  # type: ignore[no-untyped-def]
+        return BacktestResult(
+            equity_curve=pd.Series([0.0] * len(ohlcv), index=ohlcv.index, name="equity"),
+            returns=pd.Series([0.0] * len(ohlcv), index=ohlcv.index, name="returns"),
+            trades=fake_trades,
+        )
+
+    def fake_compile(strategy):  # type: ignore[no-untyped-def]
+        return lambda df: fake_signals
+
+    monkeypatch.setattr(
+        "multi_swarm_core.agents.adversarial.BacktestEngine.run", fake_run
+    )
+    monkeypatch.setattr(
+        "multi_swarm_core.agents.adversarial.compile_strategy", fake_compile
+    )
+
+    ast = parse_strategy(_MINIMAL_STRATEGY_SRC)
+    report = AdversarialAgent().review(ast, ohlcv)
+    assert any(
+        f.name == "negative_net_pnl" and f.severity == Severity.HIGH
+        for f in report.findings
+    )
+    assert not any(f.name == "fees_eat_alpha" for f in report.findings)
+
+
 def test_time_in_market_too_high_flagged(monkeypatch: pytest.MonkeyPatch,
                                           ohlcv: pd.DataFrame) -> None:
     """Signal LONG per >80% delle bar -> HIGH time_in_market_too_high."""

src/multi_swarm_core/tests/unit/test_backtest_engine_vectorized.py

@@ -0,0 +1,160 @@
+"""Parity check: engine vettorializzato vs reference iterrows implementation.
+
+Mantiene una copia inline del loop ``iterrows`` come reference per garantire
+che la vettorizzazione produca esattamente gli stessi trades, equity_curve e
+returns su input pseudocasuali, indipendentemente dal regime di prezzo.
+"""
+
+from __future__ import annotations
+
+import numpy as np
+import pandas as pd
+import pytest
+from multi_swarm_core.backtest.engine import BacktestEngine, BacktestResult
+from multi_swarm_core.backtest.orders import Position, Side, Trade
+
+
+def _legacy_run(
+    ohlcv: pd.DataFrame, signals: pd.Series, fees_bp: float = 5.0
+) -> BacktestResult:
+    """Reference implementation: il loop iterrows originale (pre-vectorize).
+
+    Mantenuto qui esclusivamente come oracolo per i test di parità.
+    """
+    signals = signals.reindex(ohlcv.index).ffill().fillna(Side.FLAT)
+    shifted = [Side.FLAT, *list(signals.iloc[:-1])]
+    executed_side = pd.Series(shifted, index=ohlcv.index, dtype=object)
+
+    position: Position | None = None
+    position_entry_ts: pd.Timestamp | None = None
+    trades: list[Trade] = []
+    equity = 0.0
+    equity_history: list[float] = []
+    returns_history: list[float] = []
+    prev_equity = 0.0
+
+    for ts, row in ohlcv.iterrows():
+        target_side = executed_side.loc[ts]
+        current_side = position.side if position else Side.FLAT
+        if target_side != current_side:
+            if position is not None:
+                assert position_entry_ts is not None
+                trade = Trade(
+                    entry_ts=position_entry_ts,
+                    exit_ts=ts,
+                    side=position.side,
+                    size=position.size,
+                    entry_price=position.entry_price,
+                    exit_price=float(row["open"]),
+                    fees_bp=fees_bp,
+                )
+                trades.append(trade)
+                equity += trade.net_pnl
+                position = None
+                position_entry_ts = None
+            if target_side in (Side.LONG, Side.SHORT):
+                position = Position(
+                    side=target_side, entry_price=float(row["open"]), size=1.0
+                )
+                position_entry_ts = ts
+        mark = float(row["close"])
+        mtm = position.unrealized_pnl(mark) if position else 0.0
+        current_equity = equity + mtm
+        equity_history.append(current_equity)
+        returns_history.append(current_equity - prev_equity)
+        prev_equity = current_equity
+    if position is not None:
+        assert position_entry_ts is not None
+        last_ts = ohlcv.index[-1]
+        last_close = float(ohlcv["close"].iloc[-1])
+        trade = Trade(
+            entry_ts=position_entry_ts,
+            exit_ts=last_ts,
+            side=position.side,
+            size=position.size,
+            entry_price=position.entry_price,
+            exit_price=last_close,
+            fees_bp=fees_bp,
+        )
+        trades.append(trade)
+        equity += trade.net_pnl
+        equity_history[-1] = equity
+        if len(returns_history) >= 2:
+            returns_history[-1] = equity - equity_history[-2]
+
+    return BacktestResult(
+        equity_curve=pd.Series(equity_history, index=ohlcv.index, name="equity"),
+        returns=pd.Series(returns_history, index=ohlcv.index, name="returns"),
+        trades=trades,
+    )
+
+
+def _random_ohlcv(n: int, seed: int) -> pd.DataFrame:
+    rng = np.random.default_rng(seed)
+    rets = rng.normal(0.0, 0.01, size=n)
+    close = 100.0 * np.exp(np.cumsum(rets))
+    idx = pd.date_range("2024-01-01", periods=n, freq="1h", tz="UTC")
+    return pd.DataFrame(
+        {
+            "open": close * (1 + rng.normal(0, 0.001, n)),
+            "high": close * 1.005,
+            "low": close * 0.995,
+            "close": close,
+            "volume": rng.uniform(1.0, 100.0, n),
+        },
+        index=idx,
+    )
+
+
+def _random_signals(n: int, seed: int, p_change: float = 0.1) -> pd.Series:
+    """Segnali con persistenza: ad ogni bar con prob p_change cambia stato."""
+    rng = np.random.default_rng(seed + 999)
+    states = [Side.LONG, Side.SHORT, Side.FLAT]
+    out: list[Side] = [rng.choice(states)]
+    for _ in range(1, n):
+        out.append(rng.choice(states) if rng.random() < p_change else out[-1])
+    idx = pd.date_range("2024-01-01", periods=n, freq="1h", tz="UTC")
+    return pd.Series(out, index=idx, dtype=object)
+
+
+@pytest.mark.parametrize("seed", [0, 1, 42, 123, 999])
+def test_vectorized_equals_legacy(seed: int) -> None:
+    df = _random_ohlcv(500, seed)
+    signals = _random_signals(500, seed)
+    engine = BacktestEngine(fees_bp=5.0)
+    new = engine.run(df, signals)
+    ref = _legacy_run(df, signals, fees_bp=5.0)
+
+    pd.testing.assert_series_equal(
+        new.equity_curve, ref.equity_curve, rtol=1e-9, atol=1e-9
+    )
+    pd.testing.assert_series_equal(
+        new.returns, ref.returns, rtol=1e-9, atol=1e-9
+    )
+    assert len(new.trades) == len(ref.trades)
+    for nt, rt in zip(new.trades, ref.trades, strict=True):
+        assert nt.entry_ts == rt.entry_ts
+        assert nt.exit_ts == rt.exit_ts
+        assert nt.side == rt.side
+        assert nt.entry_price == pytest.approx(rt.entry_price, abs=1e-12)
+        assert nt.exit_price == pytest.approx(rt.exit_price, abs=1e-12)
+        assert nt.net_pnl == pytest.approx(rt.net_pnl, abs=1e-12)
+
+
+def test_vectorized_handles_position_still_open_at_end() -> None:
+    """Edge case: signal LONG fino all'ultimo bar (exit a close[-1] forced)."""
+    df = _random_ohlcv(100, seed=7)
+    signals = pd.Series([Side.LONG] * 100, index=df.index)
+    new = BacktestEngine(fees_bp=10.0).run(df, signals)
+    ref = _legacy_run(df, signals, fees_bp=10.0)
+    pd.testing.assert_series_equal(new.equity_curve, ref.equity_curve, atol=1e-9)
+    assert len(new.trades) == 1
+    assert new.trades[0].side == Side.LONG
+
+
+def test_vectorized_zero_signals_no_trades() -> None:
+    df = _random_ohlcv(50, seed=3)
+    signals = pd.Series([Side.FLAT] * 50, index=df.index)
+    new = BacktestEngine().run(df, signals)
+    assert len(new.trades) == 0
+    assert (new.equity_curve == 0).all()

src/multi_swarm_core/tests/unit/test_orchestrator_parallel_propose.py

@@ -0,0 +1,78 @@
+"""Test che `_parallel_propose` preservi l'ordine dei risultati e funzioni
+sia in modalita' sequenziale (workers=1) che concorrente (workers>1).
+
+Non vogliamo testare il vero `HypothesisAgent.propose()` (che fa chiamate
+LLM); usiamo un dummy con una latenza simulata per validare ordine e parallelismo.
+"""
+
+from __future__ import annotations
+
+import time
+from dataclasses import dataclass
+from typing import Any
+
+from multi_swarm_core.orchestrator.run import _parallel_propose
+
+
+@dataclass
+class _FakeGenome:
+    id: str
+
+
+@dataclass
+class _FakeProposal:
+    genome_id: str
+
+
+class _FakeAgent:
+    """Agent dummy: propose() dorme 50ms e ritorna un proposal con l'id del genome."""
+
+    def __init__(self, delay_s: float = 0.05) -> None:
+        self._delay = delay_s
+        self.call_count = 0
+
+    def propose(self, genome: _FakeGenome, market: Any) -> _FakeProposal:
+        time.sleep(self._delay)
+        self.call_count += 1
+        return _FakeProposal(genome_id=genome.id)
+
+
+def test_parallel_propose_preserves_order_serial() -> None:
+    agent = _FakeAgent(delay_s=0.01)
+    genomes = [_FakeGenome(id=f"g{i}") for i in range(5)]
+    results = _parallel_propose(agent, genomes, market=None, n_workers=1)
+    assert [r.genome_id for r in results] == ["g0", "g1", "g2", "g3", "g4"]
+    assert agent.call_count == 5
+
+
+def test_parallel_propose_preserves_order_concurrent() -> None:
+    agent = _FakeAgent(delay_s=0.05)
+    genomes = [_FakeGenome(id=f"g{i}") for i in range(8)]
+    results = _parallel_propose(agent, genomes, market=None, n_workers=4)
+    assert [r.genome_id for r in results] == [f"g{i}" for i in range(8)]
+    assert agent.call_count == 8
+
+
+def test_parallel_propose_actually_parallelizes() -> None:
+    """Wall time con 4 worker su 4 task da 100ms deve essere ~100ms, non ~400ms."""
+    agent = _FakeAgent(delay_s=0.1)
+    genomes = [_FakeGenome(id=f"g{i}") for i in range(4)]
+    t0 = time.time()
+    _parallel_propose(agent, genomes, market=None, n_workers=4)
+    elapsed = time.time() - t0
+    # serial sarebbe 0.4s; con 4 worker scendiamo a ~0.1s (max 0.2 per overhead).
+    assert elapsed < 0.2, f"expected <200ms with 4 workers, got {elapsed * 1000:.0f}ms"
+
+
+def test_parallel_propose_handles_single_genome() -> None:
+    agent = _FakeAgent()
+    results = _parallel_propose(agent, [_FakeGenome(id="solo")], market=None, n_workers=8)
+    assert len(results) == 1
+    assert results[0].genome_id == "solo"
+
+
+def test_parallel_propose_empty_input() -> None:
+    agent = _FakeAgent()
+    results = _parallel_propose(agent, [], market=None, n_workers=4)
+    assert results == []
+    assert agent.call_count == 0

src/multi_swarm_core/tests/unit/test_prompt_library.py

@@ -88,3 +88,59 @@ def test_from_json_loads_anti_patterns_and_output_priorities(tmp_path: Path) ->
     lib = PromptLibrary.from_json(_write_json(data, tmp_path))
     assert lib.anti_patterns == "Evita overfitting."
     assert lib.output_priorities == "Robustezza > ottimalita."
+
+
+def test_strategy_crypto_directives_ascii_safe() -> None:
+    """REGRESSION GUARD: nessuna directive contiene caratteri > U+007F.
+
+    v3.1 aveva regredito introducendo il carattere circa-uguale (U+2248) in 3 stili.
+    v3.2 ripristina ASCII-strict come invariante permanente.
+    """
+    import importlib.resources
+
+    path = importlib.resources.files("strategy_crypto") / "prompts.json"
+    lib = PromptLibrary.from_json(str(path))
+
+    for style, directive in lib.styles.items():
+        non_ascii = [c for c in directive if ord(c) > 127]
+        assert not non_ascii, (
+            f"directive di {style!r} contiene caratteri non-ASCII: "
+            f"{non_ascii} (codepoints: {[hex(ord(c)) for c in non_ascii]})"
+        )
+
+
+def test_strategy_crypto_directives_have_archetype_marker() -> None:
+    """REGRESSION GUARD: ogni directive chiude con 'Archetipo dominante: ...'.
+
+    L'archetipo e' l'ancora semantica identitaria della lente; deve essere
+    presente per resistere alle riscritture di mutate_prompt_llm.
+    """
+    import importlib.resources
+
+    path = importlib.resources.files("strategy_crypto") / "prompts.json"
+    lib = PromptLibrary.from_json(str(path))
+
+    for style, directive in lib.styles.items():
+        assert "Archetipo dominante:" in directive, (
+            f"directive di {style!r} manca del marker 'Archetipo dominante:'"
+        )
+
+
+def test_strategy_crypto_directives_have_lookback_hint() -> None:
+    """REGRESSION GUARD: ogni directive contiene un hint 'Lookback consigliato: X-Y barre'.
+
+    Il range numerico orienta il parametro evoluto lookback_window del genoma;
+    differenziato per stile per favorire diversita di scala temporale nella
+    popolazione iniziale.
+    """
+    import re
+    import importlib.resources
+
+    path = importlib.resources.files("strategy_crypto") / "prompts.json"
+    lib = PromptLibrary.from_json(str(path))
+
+    pattern = re.compile(r"[Ll]ookback consigliato:\s*\d+\s*-\s*\d+", re.IGNORECASE)
+    for style, directive in lib.styles.items():
+        assert pattern.search(directive), (
+            f"directive di {style!r} manca dell'hint 'Lookback consigliato: X-Y'"
+        )

src/strategy_crypto/strategy_crypto/prompts.json

@@ -1,54 +1,49 @@
 {
   "_comment": "Stili cognitivi e direttive del system_prompt per il GA di strategy_crypto. Modifica liberamente: cambia 'directive' di uno stile esistente o aggiungi nuove voci a 'styles'. Il nome dello stile (key) viene usato come 'cognitive_style' del genoma; la 'directive' diventa il system_prompt iniziale.",
-  "_schema": "3.1",
+  "_schema": "3.2",
-  "_changelog": "v3.1 - Refactor contenuto post-diagnosi: pattern_guidance astratto (nessun riferimento a indicatori specifici, lascia il GA scoprire il mapping); domain_warnings riformulato in 'NON assumere' (rimossa inferenza su funding rate); agent_role con swarm awareness; NEW anti_patterns + output_priorities; directive ridotte sotto 900 char; focus_metrics standardizzati a 4 per stile, rimosse ridondanze (autocorr_baseline da historian, kurt/skew da psychologist sostituiti con autocorr_recent + spectral_entropy). v3.0 - Refactor compositore: prompts.json controlla agent_role/pattern_guidance/instruction/domain_warnings top-level; core fornisce solo lo SCAFFOLD universale. v2.2 - Aggiunte 5 metriche geometrico-frattali con focus_metrics per stile. v2.1 - directive estese con interpretazione dei 4 input statistici. v2.0 - Riprogettato per blind-generator GA, 7 lenti.",
+  "_changelog": "v3.2 - Patch consolidamento: ripristinati 3 invarianti regrediti in v3.1 (ASCII-safe, archetipo dominante, hint lookback); voce attiva rinforzata; anti_patterns +2 (chattering, isteresi); output_priorities +1 (#1 coerenza con lente cognitiva); domain_warnings +1 frase (soglia seasonality 0.05); NEW _design_invariants metadata. Lunghezza directive 800-950 char (era 545-614 in v3.1, troppo snellite). v3.1 - Refactor contenuto post-diagnosi. v3.0 - Refactor compositore. v2.2 - Metriche geometrico-frattali. v2.1 - directive estese. v2.0 - Riprogettato per blind-generator GA.",
-  "_focus_metrics_design": "Le focus_metrics sono ENFASI per la lente, non filtri. Standardizzate a 4 per stile (cognitive budget). Evitano ridondanze con la sezione 'Regime recente' del USER_TEMPLATE (es. autocorr_baseline non va nel focus, e' gia' visibile). Scelte per essere semantically aligned con la metafora dello stile.",
+  "_focus_metrics_design": "Le focus_metrics sono ENFASI per la lente, non filtri. Standardizzate a 4 per stile (cognitive budget). Evitano ridondanze con la sezione 'Regime recente' del USER_TEMPLATE.",
+  "_design_invariants": "Caratteristiche che future versioni DEVONO preservare: (1) ASCII-safe: nessun carattere > U+007F nelle directive (es. il carattere circa-uguale U+2248 era una regressione di v3.1, ripristinato in v3.2); (2) Archetipo dominante: ogni directive chiude con 'Archetipo dominante: <metafora>.' come ancora identitaria resistente a mutate_prompt_llm; (3) Lookback consigliato: ogni directive include un range numerico diversificato per stile per orientare il parametro evoluto lookback_window del genoma; (4) Metafora ancorante: la lente cognitiva e' descritta in forma 'Il mercato e ...' come prima frase; (5) Lunghezza directive: tra 800 e 950 char (sweet spot per robustezza a mutate_prompt_llm).",
 
-  "agent_role": "Sei un agente generatore di ipotesi di trading quantitativo per un sistema swarm coevolutivo specializzato in mercati crypto. Sei parte di una popolazione che esplora collettivamente lo spazio delle strategie: la diversita delle ipotesi e' un asset critico per il sistema. Preferisci esplorare territori meno ovvi rispetto a quelli che la tua lente cognitiva renderebbe predicibili.",
+  "agent_role": "Sei un agente generatore di ipotesi di trading quantitativo per un sistema swarm coevolutivo specializzato in mercati crypto. Sei parte di una popolazione che esplora collettivamente lo spazio delle strategie: la diversita delle ipotesi e un asset critico per il sistema. Preferisci esplorare territori meno ovvi rispetto a quelli che la tua lente cognitiva renderebbe predicibili.",
 
-  "pattern_guidance": "Forme di curva da cercare:\n  - Trend strutturale (direzione persistente con basso ritracciamento)\n  - Compressione di volatilita (pre-breakout, energia accumulata)\n  - Espansione di volatilita (regime di shock: momentum o cattura difensiva)\n  - Mean reversion strutturale (deviazione eccessiva dalla media -> ritorno atteso)\n  - Esaurimento direzionale (estremi di oscillatori, divergenza prezzo-momento)\n\nRipetibilita da sfruttare:\n  - Eventi crossover ricorrenti su serie correlate\n  - Cicli intra-day se la seasonality oraria e' significativa\n  - Cicli settimanali se la seasonality settimanale e' significativa\n  - Pattern doppio (top/bottom) con conferma su livello simile\n  - Range breakout dopo periodo di compressione\n\nCerca pattern che si REPLICANO nei dati storici, non singoli eventi rari.",
+  "pattern_guidance": "Forme di curva da cercare:\n  - Trend strutturale (direzione persistente con basso ritracciamento)\n  - Compressione di volatilita (pre-breakout, energia accumulata)\n  - Espansione di volatilita (regime di shock: momentum o cattura difensiva)\n  - Mean reversion strutturale (deviazione eccessiva dalla media verso ritorno atteso)\n  - Esaurimento direzionale (estremi di oscillatori, divergenza prezzo-momento)\n\nRipetibilita da sfruttare:\n  - Eventi crossover ricorrenti su serie correlate\n  - Cicli intra-day se la seasonality oraria e significativa\n  - Cicli settimanali se la seasonality settimanale e significativa\n  - Pattern doppio (top/bottom) con conferma su livello simile\n  - Range breakout dopo periodo di compressione\n\nCerca pattern che si REPLICANO nei dati storici, non singoli eventi rari.",
 
   "instruction": "Genera una strategia che cerchi anomalie sfruttabili in questo regime crypto.",
 
-  "domain_warnings": "Crypto trada 24/7 senza CME gap: non assumere chiusure settimanali. Tail pesanti e vol clustering esteso caratterizzano BTC/ETH: evita ipotesi gaussiane. NON tentare di inferire funding rate, news o eventi macro: non sono accessibili. Le statistiche fornite sono l'unica informazione su cui basarsi.",
+  "domain_warnings": "Crypto trada 24/7 senza CME gap: non assumere chiusure settimanali. Tail pesanti e vol clustering esteso caratterizzano BTC/ETH: evita ipotesi gaussiane. NON tentare di inferire funding rate, news o eventi macro: non sono accessibili. Le statistiche fornite sono l'unica informazione su cui basarsi. Una seasonality_hour o seasonality_dow > 0 NON significa che la stagionalita sia significativa: usa la soglia 0.05 come gate minimo (sotto e' rumore statistico).",
 
-  "anti_patterns": "Evita: (1) basare strategia su singolo evento estremo (kurt outlier senza ricorrenza nelle 500 barre recenti); (2) usare piu di 4 condizioni in AND (sovra-fitting combinatorio, brittle a piccoli shift di regime); (3) confondere correlazione storica con causalita (autocorr o pattern temporali sono BIAS, non leggi); (4) assumere stazionarieta perfetta del regime (i delta 'recente vs baseline' indicano lo scostamento); (5) usare feature temporali (hour, dow, is_weekend) quando la seasonality corrispondente e' < 0.05 (rumore, no signal).",
+  "anti_patterns": "Evita: (1) basare strategia su singolo evento estremo (kurt outlier senza ricorrenza nelle 500 barre recenti); (2) usare piu di 4 condizioni in AND (sovra-fitting combinatorio, brittle a piccoli shift di regime); (3) confondere correlazione storica con causalita (autocorr o pattern temporali sono BIAS, non leggi); (4) assumere stazionarieta perfetta del regime (i delta 'recente vs baseline' indicano lo scostamento); (5) usare feature temporali (hour, dow, is_weekend) quando la seasonality corrispondente e' < 0.05 (rumore, no signal); (6) crossover tra indicatori dello stesso tipo con lookback vicini (chattering: oscilla tra entry/exit senza segnale netto); (7) soglie hard senza isteresi tra entry ed exit (genera chattering al confine; usa soglie diverse per entry vs exit, almeno 10-20% di gap).",
 
-  "output_priorities": "Quando emerge trade-off: (1) robustezza cross-regime > ottimalita su singolo regime; (2) semplicita interpretabile (2-3 condizioni con razionale chiaro) > complessita raffinata (5+ condizioni accordate); (3) selettivita (poche entry forti, alto SNR) > attivita (molte entry deboli); (4) condizioni con razionale meccanico > pattern statistici fortuiti.",
+  "output_priorities": "Quando emerge trade-off: (1) coerenza con la lente cognitiva: la strategia deve essere riconoscibile come emanata dal tuo stile (es. engineer = pochi gate robusti, psychologist = contrarian su estremi). E' il fondamento del design swarm: ipotesi omogeneizzate riducono la diversita della popolazione; (2) robustezza cross-regime > ottimalita su singolo regime; (3) semplicita interpretabile (2-3 condizioni con razionale chiaro) > complessita raffinata (5+ condizioni accordate); (4) selettivita (poche entry forti, alto SNR) > attivita (molte entry deboli); (5) condizioni con razionale meccanico > pattern statistici fortuiti.",
 
   "styles": {
     "physicist": {
-      "directive": "Il mercato e un sistema fisico con energia (std), simmetrie (skew) e memoria (autocorr). Leggi kurt come densita di eventi estremi (fat tails = fuori equilibrio), skew come forzante asimmetrica. AR(1) positivo significativamente sopra baseline = memoria coerente, momentum legittimo; Hurst > 0.55 conferma persistenza di scala; vol percentile alto + kurt bassa = energia immagazzinata non ancora rilasciata; efficiency_ratio alto = movimento efficiente; spectral_entropy bassa + dominant_cycle definito = modi armonici sfruttabili. Pattern coerenti su piu scale temporali sono robusti, pattern singoli sono rumore.",
+      "directive": "Il mercato e un sistema fisico con energia (std), simmetrie (skew) e memoria (autocorr). Leggi kurt come densita di eventi estremi (fat tails = fuori equilibrio), skew come forzante asimmetrica. AR(1) positivo molto sopra baseline = memoria coerente, costruisci ipotesi di momentum legittimo; Hurst > 0.55 conferma persistenza di scala su orizzonti multipli; vol_pct alto con kurt bassa = energia immagazzinata non ancora rilasciata, cattura il rilascio; efficiency_ratio elevato = movimento efficiente, sfrutta direzionalita; spectral_entropy bassa con dominant_cycle definito = modi armonici sfruttabili, combina con conferma sulla fase. Preferisci pattern coerenti su piu lookback rispetto a singoli eventi rumorosi. Diagnostica regimi simmetrici e rotture di simmetria. Lookback consigliato: 150-300 barre. Archetipo dominante: sistema fisico in equilibrio (o pre-rottura di simmetria).",
       "focus_metrics": ["hurst", "dominant_cycle", "efficiency_ratio", "spectral_entropy"]
     },
-
     "biologist": {
-      "directive": "Il mercato e un ecosistema dove strategie competono per alpha finito. Skew negativo = predazione asimmetrica (vol-selling crowded che subisce shock), positivo = predatori che cacciano breakout. Kurt alta = eventi di estinzione/fioritura. AR(1) positivo persistente = una specie sta colonizzando la nicchia (overcrowding imminente, fade); Hurst > 0.55 + vol percentile basso = nicchia stabile (occupa); tail asimmetrico (left << right) = predazione asimmetrica strutturale; structural_uptrend persistente = specie dominante stabile. Cattura la coda opposta al consensus.",
+      "directive": "Il mercato e un ecosistema dove strategie competono per alpha finito. Skew negativo segnala predazione asimmetrica (vol-selling crowded subisce shock), positivo predatori che cacciano breakout. Kurt alta = eventi di estinzione o fioritura. AR(1) positivo persistente = una specie sta colonizzando la nicchia (overcrowding imminente, preferisci fade); Hurst > 0.55 con vol_pct basso = nicchia stabile (occupa con strategie direzionali); tail asimmetrico (left molto piu pesante di right) = predazione asimmetrica strutturale, costruisci contrarian sulla coda; structural_uptrend persistente = specie dominante stabile. Combina seasonality con uno o due gate di regime per evitare di sovrapporti a fasi gia mature. Cattura la coda opposta al consensus. Lookback consigliato: 80-200 barre. Archetipo dominante: ecosistema con dinamiche predator-prey e nicchie evolutive.",
       "focus_metrics": ["tail_left", "tail_right", "structural_uptrend", "seasonality_hour"]
     },
-
     "historian": {
-      "directive": "Il mercato attraversa fasi cicliche che si ripetono in forma simile. Mean = drift strutturale, std = ampiezza ciclo. Kurt alta + vol regime medium/high = fase tardiva (pre-transizione); kurt bassa + skew ≈0 = accumulazione/stabilita. AR(1) recente >> baseline storica = regime accelera rispetto al normale; Hurst > 0.55 + vol percentile alto = fase markup matura, mean reversion attesa; structural_uptrend sostenuto = fase di accumulo/markup; compression < 1 = consolidamento pre-fase nuova. Identifica analogie tra il regime corrente e fasi tipiche.",
+      "directive": "Il mercato attraversa fasi cicliche che si ripetono in forma simile. Mean = drift strutturale, std = ampiezza ciclo, kurt alta + vol regime medium/high = fase tardiva (pre-transizione); kurt bassa + skew vicino a zero = fase di accumulazione o stabilita. AR(1) recente molto sopra baseline storica = regime accelera rispetto al normale, diagnostica se markup o distribuzione; Hurst > 0.55 con vol_pct alto = fase markup matura, costruisci ipotesi di mean reversion strutturale attesa; structural_uptrend sostenuto = fase di accumulo o markup attiva, sfrutta la direzionalita; compression < 1 = consolidamento pre-fase nuova, preferisci breakout direzionali a conferma di rottura. Identifica analogie tra il regime corrente e fasi tipiche (accumulazione, markup, distribuzione, markdown). Lookback consigliato: 200-500 barre. Archetipo dominante: ciclo storico ricorrente in fasi tipiche.",
       "focus_metrics": ["autocorr_recent", "structural_uptrend", "compression", "hurst"]
     },
-
     "meteorologist": {
-      "directive": "La volatilita ha climi persistenti e fronti di transizione. Vol_regime + std + kurt definiscono microclima: std bassa + kurt bassa = calma stabile (vendi vol), std alta + kurt alta = tempesta (compra convexity), std bassa + kurt alta = calma ingannevole (riduci esposizione). AR(1) recente > baseline = fronte persistente in arrivo; Hurst > 0.55 = sistema su scala lunga, Hurst < 0.45 = turbolenza locale; vol percentile estremo = posizione nel ciclo seasonal; compression < 1 = compressione vol (pre-rilascio); tail pesanti = clima instabile. Pattern multi-regime sono robusti.",
+      "directive": "La volatilita ha climi persistenti e fronti di transizione. Vol_regime + std + kurt definiscono il microclima: std bassa + kurt bassa = calma stabile (preferisci vendere vol con gate sicuri); std alta + kurt alta = tempesta (compra convexity o resta flat); std bassa + kurt alta = calma ingannevole pre-fronte (riduci esposizione). AR(1) recente sopra baseline = fronte persistente in arrivo, cattura la direzione del fronte; Hurst > 0.55 = sistema su scala lunga (ciclone), Hurst < 0.45 = turbolenza locale (no trend persistente, preferisci range-trading); vol_pct estremo = posizione nel ciclo seasonal, modula la size; compression < 1 = compressione vol pre-rilascio, posizionati per il breakout. Costruisci strategie con gate espliciti su vol che attivano logiche diverse. Lookback consigliato: 50-150 barre. Archetipo dominante: clima atmosferico con fronti e regimi persistenti.",
       "focus_metrics": ["vol_pct", "compression", "tail_right", "dominant_cycle"]
     },
-
     "engineer": {
-      "directive": "Tratta ogni segnale come un sistema di controllo: SNR favorevole, causalita, robustezza. Std e il rumore di fondo. Kurt alta riduce affidabilita dei segnali medi. AR(1) > 0.05 con std contenuta = SNR favorevole; AR(1) ≈0 = random walk, non costruirci; Hurst < 0.45 = filtro mean-reversion causale efficace; efficiency_ratio < 0.2 = no signal, non costruire; spectral_entropy > 0.8 = white noise, regime non modellabile; tail_index < 2.5 = saturazione, riduci leverage; seasonality < 0.05 = feature temporali sono rumore. Robustezza > ottimalita.",
+      "directive": "Tratta ogni segnale come un sistema di controllo: serve SNR favorevole, causalita, robustezza. Std e il rumore di fondo. Kurt alta riduce affidabilita dei segnali medi (gli estremi dominano le statistiche). AR(1) > 0.05 con std contenuta = SNR favorevole, costruisci ipotesi di momentum filtrato; AR(1) vicino a zero = random walk, evita di costruire signal su questo; Hurst < 0.45 = filtro mean-reversion causale efficace, sfrutta con isteresi; efficiency_ratio < 0.2 = no signal, non costruire; spectral_entropy > 0.8 = white noise, regime non modellabile; tail_index < 2.5 = saturazione dei sensori, riduci leverage; seasonality < 0.05 = feature temporali sono rumore, NON usarle. Preferisci pattern semplici e tarabili: poche condizioni in AND, soglie con margine, isteresi entry/exit. Lookback consigliato: 60-120 barre. Archetipo dominante: sistema di controllo ingegneristico con SNR e robustezza.",
       "focus_metrics": ["efficiency_ratio", "spectral_entropy", "tail_left", "autocorr_recent"]
     },
-
     "military_strategist": {
-      "directive": "Distingui campagna offensiva da campagna difensiva e adatta dottrina. Vol regime medium/low + skew positivo + kurt moderata = terreno offensivo (entry direzionali). Vol regime high + kurt elevata = terreno ostile (difesa: posizioni limitate). AR(1) > 0 = vento alle spalle, carica con momentum; structural_uptrend > 0.7 = terreno occupato, hold; compression < 0.5 = preparazione attacco, posizionati; vol percentile alta = artiglieria nemica, ritirata; seasonality forte = via predicibile. Concentrazione: poche condizioni forti. Sorpresa: contrarian su consensus estremo.",
+      "directive": "Distingui campagna offensiva da campagna difensiva e adatta dottrina. Vol regime medium/low + skew positivo + kurt moderata = terreno favorevole all'attacco (costruisci entry direzionali su breakout o momentum). Vol regime high + kurt elevata = terreno ostile (difesa: posizioni limitate, exit rapide, gate restrittivi). AR(1) > 0 = vento alle spalle, carica con momentum; AR(1) negativo = imboscata possibile, preferisci contrarian; Hurst > 0.55 = posizione difendibile, hold trade; structural_uptrend > 0.7 = terreno occupato dall'avversario (decidi se attaccare o ritirarti); compression < 0.5 = preparazione attacco silenziosa, posizionati per breakout; vol_pct alta = artiglieria nemica attiva, ritirata. Concentrazione: poche condizioni forti. Sorpresa: contrarian su consensus estremo. Lookback consigliato: 100-200 barre. Archetipo dominante: stratega militare che bilancia offesa e difesa.",
       "focus_metrics": ["structural_uptrend", "compression", "vol_pct", "tail_left"]
     },
-
     "psychologist": {
-      "directive": "Il mercato e folla con emozioni misurabili. Skew e kurt sono il termometro emotivo: skew neg + kurt alta = paura ricorrente (capitulation, fade gli estremi ribasso); skew pos + kurt alta = euforia (FOMO, fade rialzo); skew ≈0 + kurt bassa = apatia. AR(1) recente >> baseline = euforia coordinata in corso, posizionati contro l'ultimo arrivato; Hurst > 0.55 = trance collettiva (dura piu del razionale); tail_left pesante (Hill < 2.5) = paura sistemica; spectral_entropy alta = caos comportamentale; vol percentile estremo = momentum emozionale. Contrarian sugli estremi.",
+      "directive": "Il mercato e folla con emozioni misurabili. Skew e kurt sono il termometro emotivo: skew neg + kurt alta = paura ricorrente (capitulation spikes, cattura il rimbalzo); skew pos + kurt alta = euforia (FOMO spikes, preferisci fade gli estremi al rialzo); skew vicino a zero + kurt bassa = apatia o range (gioca i bordi del range). AR(1) recente molto sopra baseline = euforia coordinata in corso, posizionati contro l'ultimo arrivato; Hurst > 0.55 = trance collettiva (trend trance, dura piu del razionale); tail_left pesante (Hill < 2.5) = paura sistemica strutturale, contrarian sulla capitulation; spectral_entropy alta = caos comportamentale, riduci dimensionalita del signal; vol_pct estremo = momentum emozionale puro, fade gli estremi. Sfrutta crossover di oscillatori in regimi razionali (kurt vicina a 3). Lookback consigliato: 50-120 barre. Archetipo dominante: psicologo del comportamento collettivo.",
       "focus_metrics": ["tail_left", "tail_right", "autocorr_recent", "spectral_entropy"]
     }
   }

src/strategy_crypto/strategy_crypto/strategies/archive/btc_9cf506b8.json

@@ -0,0 +1,140 @@
+{
+  "rules": [
+    {
+      "condition": {
+        "op": "and",
+        "args": [
+          {
+            "op": "gt",
+            "args": [
+              {
+                "kind": "indicator",
+                "name": "realized_vol",
+                "params": [150]
+              },
+              {
+                "kind": "literal",
+                "value": 0.01
+              }
+            ]
+          },
+          {
+            "op": "lt",
+            "args": [
+              {
+                "kind": "indicator",
+                "name": "atr_pct",
+                "params": [150]
+              },
+              {
+                "kind": "literal",
+                "value": 0.02
+              }
+            ]
+          },
+          {
+            "op": "gt",
+            "args": [
+              {
+                "kind": "indicator",
+                "name": "sma_pct",
+                "params": [150]
+              },
+              {
+                "kind": "literal",
+                "value": 0.05
+              }
+            ]
+          }
+        ]
+      },
+      "action": "entry-long"
+    },
+    {
+      "condition": {
+        "op": "and",
+        "args": [
+          {
+            "op": "lt",
+            "args": [
+              {
+                "kind": "indicator",
+                "name": "realized_vol",
+                "params": [150]
+              },
+              {
+                "kind": "literal",
+                "value": 0.005
+              }
+            ]
+          },
+          {
+            "op": "gt",
+            "args": [
+              {
+                "kind": "indicator",
+                "name": "atr_pct",
+                "params": [150]
+              },
+              {
+                "kind": "literal",
+                "value": 0.03
+              }
+            ]
+          },
+          {
+            "op": "lt",
+            "args": [
+              {
+                "kind": "indicator",
+                "name": "sma_pct",
+                "params": [150]
+              },
+              {
+                "kind": "literal",
+                "value": -0.05
+              }
+            ]
+          }
+        ]
+      },
+      "action": "entry-short"
+    },
+    {
+      "condition": {
+        "op": "or",
+        "args": [
+          {
+            "op": "eq",
+            "args": [
+              {
+                "kind": "indicator",
+                "name": "sma_pct",
+                "params": [150]
+              },
+              {
+                "kind": "literal",
+                "value": 0.0
+              }
+            ]
+          },
+          {
+            "op": "lt",
+            "args": [
+              {
+                "kind": "indicator",
+                "name": "realized_vol",
+                "params": [150]
+              },
+              {
+                "kind": "literal",
+                "value": 0.001
+              }
+            ]
+          }
+        ]
+      },
+      "action": "exit"
+    }
+  ]
+}

src/strategy_crypto/strategy_crypto/strategies/btc_238e4812.json

@@ -0,0 +1,84 @@
+{
+  "rules": [
+    {
+      "condition": {
+        "op": "and",
+        "args": [
+          {
+            "op": "gt",
+            "args": [
+              {
+                "kind": "indicator",
+                "name": "realized_vol",
+                "params": [
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+              },
+              {
+                "kind": "literal",
+                "value": 0.007
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+            ]
+          },
+          {
+            "op": "lt",
+            "args": [
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+                "kind": "indicator",
+                "name": "atr_pct",
+                "params": [
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+              },
+              {
+                "kind": "literal",
+                "value": 0.0042
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+            ]
+          }
+        ]
+      },
+      "action": "entry-long"
+    },
+    {
+      "condition": {
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+            "op": "crossunder",
+            "args": [
+              {
+                "kind": "indicator",
+                "name": "rsi",
+                "params": [
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+              },
+              {
+                "kind": "literal",
+                "value": 70.0
+              }
+            ]
+          },
+          {
+            "op": "gt",
+            "args": [
+              {
+                "kind": "indicator",
+                "name": "atr_pct",
+                "params": [
+                  150
+                ]
+              },
+              {
+                "kind": "literal",
+                "value": 0.007
+              }
+            ]
+          }
+        ]
+      },
+      "action": "exit"
+    }
+  ]
+}

src/strategy_crypto/strategy_crypto/strategies/eth_c04dff7086.json

@@ -0,0 +1,120 @@
+{
+  "rules": [
+    {
+      "condition": {
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+      "action": "entry-long"
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+    {
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+              {
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+          },
+          {
+            "op": "lt",
+            "args": [
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+                "name": "atr_pct",
+                "params": [
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+              {
+                "kind": "literal",
+                "value": 0.005
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+            ]
+          },
+          {
+            "op": "gt",
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+              {
+                "kind": "indicator",
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+                "params": [
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+              },
+              {
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+            ]
+          }
+        ]
+      },
+      "action": "exit"
+    }
+  ]
+}

state/validation-btc-100-001-thr3.json

@@ -0,0 +1,634 @@
+{
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state/validation-btc-100-001.json

@@ -0,0 +1,634 @@
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state/validation-btc-100-5m-thr3.json

@@ -0,0 +1,634 @@
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state/validation-extended-001.json

@@ -0,0 +1,634 @@
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