Adriano Dal Pastro 437cf11199 research(equities): EQ-GTAA01 trend multi-asset + COMBO cross-mercato (diversifica il crypto) ...

(1) GTAA: trend difensivo long-flat su SPY/QQQ/IWM/TLT/GLD/HYG (EW sugli asset disponibili).
  GTAA lf vt12%: Sharpe 0.64 (OOS 0.89), maxDD 15% (8% sui 6-asset 2016+), corr SPY 0.64.
  Migliore sleeve equity: rischio-aggiustato > mono-SPY, DD bassissimo, diversificatore migliore.
  Difensiva (CAGR basso). Bear DD: GFC 14% vs 55%, COVID 10% vs 34%.

(2) COMBO cross-mercato: crypto (TP01+XS01+VRP01) x equity (GTAA vt12), finestra 2019-2026.
  corr crypto<->equity = +0.17 (bassissima). blend 50/50 Sharpe 1.81 > crypto solo 1.60 >
  equity 1.12; maxDD dimezzato 14%->7%. DIVERSIFICA: primo miglioramento STRUTTURALE del
  rischio-aggiustato complessivo della ricerca post-reset (diversificazione vera, non alpha).

CAVEAT: finestra crypto corta/favorevole (Sharpe assoluti ottimistici), cross-venue Deribit+IB,
XS01/VRP01 STAT-MODE -> il combo deployable reale e' ~TP01+GTAA. Non risolve EUR50/g (capitale).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>

2026-06-22 21:42:42 +00:00

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2026-06-19-beat-tp01-wave1.md

research: wave1 beat-TP01 (26 agenti BTC/ETH) — nessun 3o sleeve robusto, portafoglio invariato

2026-06-19 20:19:47 +00:00

2026-06-19-cerbero-bite-mainnet-verified.md

research: porta artefatti da strategy-research-calendar (tracks F-I + eval crypto_backtest + lead OPZIONI/VRP)

2026-06-19 20:24:16 +00:00

2026-06-19-deribit-history.md

chore(reset): v2.0.0 — storico certificato Deribit mainnet, ripartenza pulita

2026-06-19 15:20:59 +00:00

2026-06-19-eval-crypto-backtest-options.md

research: porta artefatti da strategy-research-calendar (tracks F-I + eval crypto_backtest + lead OPZIONI/VRP)

2026-06-19 20:24:16 +00:00

2026-06-19-fractal-multiagent-search.md

research(v2.0.0): honest harness + fasi 0-3 + ricerca frattale 63 agenti — nessun edge robusto su BTC/ETH

2026-06-19 18:37:05 +00:00

2026-06-19-hyperliquid-xsec.md

feat(portfolio): XS01 cross-sectional (Hyperliquid) BATTE il portafoglio -> TP01 70% + XS01 30%

2026-06-19 20:05:45 +00:00

2026-06-19-options-vrp-lab.md

research: calibra VRP su quote REALI cerbero-bite — f≈1.0 (non 1.29), lead DEBOLE confermato non-deploy

2026-06-19 20:38:54 +00:00

2026-06-19-research-phase0-1.md

research(v2.0.0): honest harness + fasi 0-3 + ricerca frattale 63 agenti — nessun edge robusto su BTC/ETH

2026-06-19 18:37:05 +00:00

2026-06-19-research-phase2-options.md

research(v2.0.0): honest harness + fasi 0-3 + ricerca frattale 63 agenti — nessun edge robusto su BTC/ETH

2026-06-19 18:37:05 +00:00

2026-06-19-research-phase3-confirm.md

research(v2.0.0): honest harness + fasi 0-3 + ricerca frattale 63 agenti — nessun edge robusto su BTC/ETH

2026-06-19 18:37:05 +00:00

2026-06-19-research-synthesis.md

integra(TP01): merge ricerca branch strategy-research-2026-06 (squash) — strategia vincente + harness + track A-E

2026-06-19 18:55:04 +00:00

2026-06-19-second-sleeve-hunt.md

research: caccia al 2o sleeve — nessun diversificatore robusto, TP01-only resta

2026-06-19 19:28:51 +00:00

2026-06-19-strategy-portfolio.md

feat(portfolio): contenitore di strategie ESTENSIBILE — TP01 primo sleeve

2026-06-19 19:17:18 +00:00

2026-06-19-tp01-lookahead-fix-lf.md

fix(TP01): bug look-ahead ffill mixed-TF -> deploy a >=12h (1d), strategia DIFENSIVA

2026-06-19 19:04:38 +00:00

2026-06-19-tp01-verification.md

research: stress-test TP01 — robusto come strategia DIFENSIVA (DD-cut), edge ritorno hold-out sottile

2026-06-19 18:57:22 +00:00

2026-06-19-trackA-trend.md

integra(TP01): merge ricerca branch strategy-research-2026-06 (squash) — strategia vincente + harness + track A-E

2026-06-19 18:55:04 +00:00

2026-06-19-trackB-ml.md

integra(TP01): merge ricerca branch strategy-research-2026-06 (squash) — strategia vincente + harness + track A-E

2026-06-19 18:55:04 +00:00

2026-06-19-trackC-meanrev.md

integra(TP01): merge ricerca branch strategy-research-2026-06 (squash) — strategia vincente + harness + track A-E

2026-06-19 18:55:04 +00:00

2026-06-19-trackD-trendport.md

integra(TP01): merge ricerca branch strategy-research-2026-06 (squash) — strategia vincente + harness + track A-E

2026-06-19 18:55:04 +00:00

2026-06-19-trackE-xsec-ensemble.md

integra(TP01): merge ricerca branch strategy-research-2026-06 (squash) — strategia vincente + harness + track A-E

2026-06-19 18:55:04 +00:00

2026-06-19-trackF-seasonality.md

research: porta artefatti da strategy-research-calendar (tracks F-I + eval crypto_backtest + lead OPZIONI/VRP)

2026-06-19 20:24:16 +00:00

2026-06-19-trackG-prior-levels.md

research: porta artefatti da strategy-research-calendar (tracks F-I + eval crypto_backtest + lead OPZIONI/VRP)

2026-06-19 20:24:16 +00:00

2026-06-19-trackH-volume-vol.md

research: porta artefatti da strategy-research-calendar (tracks F-I + eval crypto_backtest + lead OPZIONI/VRP)

2026-06-19 20:24:16 +00:00

2026-06-19-trackI-momentum-reversal.md

research: porta artefatti da strategy-research-calendar (tracks F-I + eval crypto_backtest + lead OPZIONI/VRP)

2026-06-19 20:24:16 +00:00

2026-06-19-trend-multiasset.md

research: strato trend multi-asset (52 alt) RIDONDANTE col trend TP01 -> non aggiunto

2026-06-19 21:17:16 +00:00

2026-06-19-xsec-blend.md

feat(XS01): affina con blend di lookback [30,90] — FULL 0.80->1.10, portafoglio 1.41->1.48

2026-06-19 22:19:12 +00:00

2026-06-19-xsec-dispgate.md

feat(XS01): + gate di dispersione (p30) — portafoglio FULL 1.48->1.55, HOLD 1.06->1.55

2026-06-19 22:24:04 +00:00

2026-06-19-xsec-universe-expansion.md

research: universo top-liquidità DINAMICO per XS — anch'esso peggiore del fisso-19 (memecoin diluiscono)

2026-06-19 21:09:48 +00:00

2026-06-20-alt-strategies-100agent-sweep.md

research(alt): sweep 104 strategie alternative su Deribit (153 agenti) + marginal scorer

2026-06-20 19:50:39 +00:00

2026-06-20-cerbero-backfill-fix.md

fix(fetch_hyperliquid): taglia il backfill sintetico di cerbero MCP (vol=0) — universo 52->51

2026-06-20 11:53:55 +00:00

2026-06-20-financeold-analysis-vrp-v2.md

feat: integra VRP01 come sleeve del portafoglio (put credit spread + gate IV-rank)

2026-06-20 11:24:40 +02:00

2026-06-20-vrp-active-management.md

research(xsec): sweep cross-sectional su Hyperliquid (43 script/257 config) + verifica avversariale

2026-06-20 21:36:57 +00:00

2026-06-20-xsec-strategies-sweep.md

research(xsec): sweep cross-sectional su Hyperliquid (43 script/257 config) + verifica avversariale

2026-06-20 21:36:57 +00:00

2026-06-21-blind-signal-fleet.md

research(blind): 52 agenti ciechi su curve anonime BTC/ETH — orchestratore valuta PnL/maxDD, niente di nuovo regge

2026-06-21 07:05:04 +00:00

2026-06-21-intraday-microstructure.md

harness(causality): guardia look-ahead + calendar-artifact self-policing nel lab intraday

2026-06-21 15:22:58 +00:00

2026-06-21-ortho-tp01-relative-value.md

harness(marginal): indurisci marginal_vs_tp01 con la lezione dell'onda ortho (17/18 -> 1)

2026-06-21 12:50:26 +00:00

2026-06-21-prevday-bootstrap.md

research(intraday): PREVDAY block-bootstrap -> coda-fortuna vs persistente (blocker #2/#3)

2026-06-21 19:56:11 +00:00

2026-06-21-prevday-fill-haircut.md

research(intraday): fill-haircut PREVDAY a basso capitale -> blocker d'esecuzione BENIGNO

2026-06-21 19:41:20 +00:00

2026-06-21-prevday-overlay-portfolio.md

research(portfolio): simula PREVDAY come overlay tail-hedge su TP01+XS01+VRP01 (NON deploy)

2026-06-21 20:01:20 +00:00

2026-06-21-prevday-turnover-and-hedge.md

research(intraday): PREVDAY turnover-reduction (no free lunch) + long-only probe (e' un HEDGE)

2026-06-21 19:45:54 +00:00

2026-06-22-equities-gtaa-and-crypto-combo.md

research(equities): EQ-GTAA01 trend multi-asset + COMBO cross-mercato (diversifica il crypto)

2026-06-22 21:42:42 +00:00

2026-06-22-equities-sector-momentum.md

research(equities): EQ-MOM01 momentum settoriale -> NON batte SPY

2026-06-22 21:33:38 +00:00

2026-06-22-equities-spy-trend.md

research(equities): EQ-TREND01 trend difensivo su SPY = edge difensivo REALE (analogo TP01)

2026-06-22 21:37:37 +00:00

2026-06-22-funding-carry-hl.md

research(funding-carry): FC01 cross-sectional su HL -> fragile, NON regge + infra IB paper

2026-06-22 20:56:18 +00:00