- spot sleeve independently confirms our TP01 (12h vol-targeted trend); our multi-horizon
blend is slightly better (Sharpe 1.32 vs their 0.77 window / 1.07 full)
- options sleeve (75% weight) = the most promising lead to break the ~1.3 Sharpe ceiling
(adds VRP, a different return source) BUT priced on modeled IV (DVOL+BS, no real bid/ask,
ATM vol on OTM puts ignoring skew, tail under-modeled, leverage no funding, window bias)
-> headline blend Sharpe 1.21 must be discounted until validated on real option quotes
- next steps: real Deribit quotes/skew, crash-week stress, testnet paper trading
Adriano
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